Boys
-
Girls
West Noble Regional
2014
-
2015 -
2016
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Regional Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
---|
Carroll (FW) |
100.0% |
1.2 |
42 |
18 |
78 |
80.8 |
19.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Homestead |
100.0% |
1.8 |
58 |
28 |
92 |
19.2 |
80.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DeKalb |
100.0% |
3.5 |
105 |
71 |
148 |
|
0.0 |
54.0 |
45.9 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
East Noble |
100.0% |
3.5 |
108 |
70 |
150 |
|
0.1 |
45.9 |
53.7 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bishop Dwenger |
99.9% |
5.3 |
156 |
119 |
198 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
69.5 |
28.2 |
1.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
Columbia City |
97.3% |
5.8 |
165 |
120 |
212 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
28.6 |
58.7 |
9.0 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
|
Fort Wayne North Side |
33.3% |
7.0 |
184 |
144 |
219 |
|
|
|
|
0.7 |
4.4 |
22.1 |
5.1 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Concordia Lutheran |
45.5% |
7.2 |
187 |
152 |
225 |
|
|
|
|
0.6 |
6.2 |
27.7 |
7.2 |
3.5 |
0.2 |
Snider |
23.6% |
7.6 |
196 |
160 |
229 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.0 |
12.5 |
5.7 |
4.1 |
0.3 |
Garrett |
0.4% |
8.0 |
199 |
176 |
222 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
Angola |
99.9% |
8.2 |
202 |
159 |
242 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
18.3 |
38.8 |
37.3 |
4.1 |
Fremont |
98.5% |
8.5 |
204 |
177 |
239 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
8.4 |
40.7 |
45.5 |
3.9 |
Lakeland |
95.4% |
9.9 |
227 |
184 |
255 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.6 |
8.1 |
85.5 |
Westview |
4.3% |
10.0 |
239 |
213 |
264 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
4.2 |
West Noble |
1.9% |
10.0 |
240 |
219 |
269 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.8 |
Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
Madison Fruchey |
Carroll (FW) |
18:20 |
100.0% |
1.0 |
57.8 |
25.3 |
10.9 |
4.3 |
1.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tyler Schwartz |
DeKalb |
18:31 |
100.0% |
1.9 |
24.9 |
27.4 |
21.9 |
15.0 |
8.4 |
2.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Abby Green |
Carroll (FW) |
18:39 |
100.0% |
3.0 |
4.1 |
21.3 |
25.8 |
23.3 |
17.2 |
6.2 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Josey Korte |
Angola |
18:42 |
100.0% |
3.3 |
7.9 |
14.5 |
20.7 |
25.2 |
21.1 |
7.6 |
2.1 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Grace Walther |
Homestead |
18:46 |
100.0% |
3.8 |
5.1 |
10.1 |
17.4 |
23.1 |
27.9 |
11.8 |
3.2 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kayla McCulloch |
East Noble |
19:06 |
100.0% |
5.7 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
2.9 |
6.8 |
15.3 |
34.4 |
18.6 |
9.2 |
5.0 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Riley Welch |
Fremont |
19:19 |
100.0% |
7.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
5.0 |
16.4 |
22.9 |
16.0 |
10.7 |
7.3 |
5.6 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
Kelsey Batt |
Homestead |
19:27 |
100.0% |
8.7 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
7.7 |
15.1 |
16.0 |
14.4 |
10.5 |
8.5 |
6.5 |
5.5 |
4.2 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
Lauren Beckmann |
DeKalb |
19:30 |
100.0% |
9.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
5.9 |
11.3 |
13.8 |
12.5 |
10.7 |
8.3 |
7.3 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
Leah Metzger |
Carroll (FW) |
19:36 |
100.0% |
10.8 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.9 |
6.5 |
9.3 |
11.1 |
10.7 |
10.7 |
9.8 |
8.6 |
7.3 |
6.4 |
4.8 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
Kara Kline |
East Noble |
19:37 |
100.0% |
11.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
6.6 |
10.2 |
10.2 |
9.9 |
9.1 |
8.1 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
6.2 |
5.2 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
2.3 |
Madison Distelrath |
Homestead |
19:41 |
100.0% |
12.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.0 |
3.1 |
5.6 |
7.6 |
9.1 |
9.8 |
9.7 |
9.1 |
8.4 |
7.9 |
7.5 |
6.3 |
5.1 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
Meagan Hathaway |
Carroll (FW) |
19:43 |
100.0% |
13.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.4 |
4.6 |
6.6 |
7.9 |
8.3 |
9.0 |
9.3 |
9.0 |
8.3 |
7.9 |
6.7 |
5.6 |
4.6 |
3.3 |
Maggie Falater |
Carroll (FW) |
19:46 |
100.0% |
14.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
3.1 |
4.5 |
6.2 |
7.4 |
8.9 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.2 |
8.9 |
8.0 |
7.3 |
5.5 |
4.5 |
Saige Norris |
Homestead |
19:46 |
100.0% |
14.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
3.0 |
4.5 |
6.7 |
7.8 |
8.4 |
8.1 |
8.3 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
8.4 |
7.3 |
6.6 |
4.7 |
Allison Thomas |
Carroll (FW) |
19:48 |
100.0% |
15.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
4.8 |
6.0 |
7.0 |
7.6 |
8.7 |
9.1 |
9.0 |
8.7 |
8.1 |
7.3 |
6.2 |
Hannah Martin |
Concordia Lutheran |
19:51 |
100.0% |
15.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
6.1 |
7.0 |
7.4 |
8.0 |
8.7 |
8.4 |
8.1 |
7.6 |
Hannah Wappas |
Columbia City |
19:54 |
100.0% |
16.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
8.6 |
9.6 |
9.5 |
8.8 |
Evie Bultemeyer |
Homestead |
19:57 |
100.0% |
17.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
4.6 |
5.7 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
9.0 |
9.6 |
10.9 |
10.2 |
Krista McCormick |
DeKalb |
19:59 |
100.0% |
18.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
5.0 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
7.3 |
8.8 |
9.7 |
10.3 |
Lindsey Marriott |
Leo |
20:00 |
100.0% |
18.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
5.2 |
6.4 |
7.5 |
8.6 |
9.8 |
9.9 |
Bailie Brown |
Columbia City |
20:17 |
100.0% |
22.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
6.7 |
Hannah Johanningsmeier |
Homestead |
20:18 |
100.0% |
22.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
4.8 |
7.1 |
Chaelynn Wilchar |
Fort Wayne North Side |
20:24 |
100.0% |
24.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.5 |
3.9 |
Makyla Wilchar |
Fort Wayne North Side |
20:25 |
100.0% |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
3.5 |
Megan Brelage |
Bishop Dwenger |
20:32 |
100.0% |
25.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
Olivia Smolinske |
East Noble |
20:36 |
100.0% |
27.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
Katie Culler |
Fremont |
20:42 |
100.0% |
28.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
Alex Ebetino |
Bishop Dwenger |
20:43 |
100.0% |
29.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
Julia Folland |
Churubusco |
20:47 |
100.0% |
30.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Abby Smith |
Homestead |
20:49 |
100.0% |
30.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
Emily Ryan |
Carroll (FW) |
20:51 |
100.0% |
31.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Brittany Linn |
Lakeland |
20:58 |
100.0% |
33.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
Abby Brelage |
Bishop Dwenger |
20:59 |
100.0% |
33.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
Michaella Burchett |
Lakeland |
21:00 |
100.0% |
34.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Sydney Weaver |
Garrett |
21:01 |
100.0% |
34.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
Kyra Warren |
East Noble |
21:04 |
100.0% |
35.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
Brigit Nemitz |
Whitko |
21:12 |
99.9% |
38.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Krista Boese |
East Noble |
21:15 |
100.0% |
39.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ashtyn Robertson |
Snider |
21:17 |
99.8% |
40.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Maranda Malcolm |
Garrett |
21:18 |
99.7% |
40.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Morgan Plank |
West Noble |
21:19 |
100.0% |
41.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Emma Curry |
Fort Wayne North Side |
21:21 |
99.0% |
42.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sarah Fetter |
DeKalb |
21:22 |
100.0% |
42.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Caroline McMasters |
Bishop Dwenger |
21:22 |
99.9% |
42.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marci Wallace |
Snider |
21:31 |
97.2% |
45.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lauren Keller |
Columbia City |
21:35 |
98.7% |
46.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jamie Zeigler |
Churubusco |
21:37 |
100.0% |
47.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Samantha Kohlheim |
Westview |
21:43 |
100.0% |
49.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Miah DelVecchio |
Fremont |
21:45 |
100.0% |
49.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lydia Rang |
Westview |
21:50 |
100.0% |
51.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Aiden Smith |
DeKalb |
21:53 |
100.0% |
52.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Suzi Sickafoose |
Whitko |
21:53 |
71.3% |
51.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Casey Wallen |
West Noble |
21:57 |
100.0% |
54.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|