Preseason Rankings
Northeast
2026-27


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
LIU Brooklyn 25%   16   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.3 263 D+ -4 276 C- -2 225 0 1 0 1
Le Moyne 15%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.7 301 D+ -4 284 D -4 310 0 1 0 1
Mercyhurst 10%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.9 320 D -5 322 D -4 306 0 1 0 1
Fairleigh Dickinson 10%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.2 337 D- -6 340 D -4 319 0 1 0 1
Central Connecticut St. 6%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.3 338 D- -7 346 D -3 291 0 1 0 1
Wagner 12%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.7 341 D- -7 350 D -3 295 0 1 0 1
Chicago St. 7%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.4 349 D- -7 342 D- -5 338 0 1 0 1
Stonehill 8%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.7 351 D- -7 352 D -4 329 0 1 0 1
New Haven 5%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.9 352 F+ -8 356 D -4 322 0 1 0 1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
LIU Brooklyn 3 34% 23% 8% 3% 34 20 14 10 8 6 4 3 2
Wagner 4 19% 11% 5% 2% 19 16 14 12 11 9 8 7 5
Le Moyne 4 19% 11% 5% 2% 19 16 14 12 11 10 8 6 5
Fairleigh Dickinson 4 15% 9% 4% 2% 15 14 13 12 11 11 9 8 7
Stonehill 5 11% 6% 3% 1% 11 11 11 12 11 12 11 11 10
Chicago St. 5 11% 6% 3% 1% 11 11 11 12 11 12 11 11 10
Mercyhurst 5 7% 3% 2% 2% 7 11 13 13 13 12 12 10 8
New Haven 5 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 9 10 10 11 12 13 13 14
Central Connecticut St. 6 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 9 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 9 - 6 13 - 16 0 0 0 2 3 6 9 13 16 17 15 10 6 2 0
Wagner 8 - 8 10 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 14 16 15 13 9 5 3 1 0 0
Le Moyne 8 - 7 12 - 16 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 15 15 13 9 5 3 1 0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 8 11 - 18 0 0 1 3 5 9 13 14 15 14 11 7 4 2 1 0 0
Stonehill 7 - 9 10 - 18 0 0 2 4 7 11 14 16 15 12 9 5 3 1 0 0 0
Chicago St. 7 - 9 10 - 22 0 0 2 4 7 11 15 15 15 12 9 6 3 1 0 0 0
Mercyhurst 7 - 6 10 - 15 0 0 1 3 7 10 15 17 17 13 9 4 1 0
New Haven 7 - 9 10 - 17 0 1 2 5 10 13 15 15 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Central Connecticut St. 7 - 8 9 - 17 0 1 3 6 10 13 15 15 13 11 7 4 2 1 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
LIU Brooklyn 25% 25% 0% 16 Negligible 1 5 20 75
Le Moyne 15% 15% 0% Negligible 1 14 85
Mercyhurst 10% 10% 0% Negligible 1 10 90
Fairleigh Dickinson 10% 10% 0% Negligible 10 90
Central Connecticut St. 6% 6% 0% Negligible 6 94
Wagner 12% 12% 0% Negligible 12 88
Chicago St. 7% 7% 0% Negligible 7 93
Stonehill 8% 8% 0% Negligible 8 92
New Haven 5% 5% 0% Negligible 5 95

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 49% 0.5 51 49
2nd Round 1% 0.0 99 1
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100
Final Four 0% 0.0 100
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 25% 24% 14% 1%
Le Moyne 15% 15% 7%
Mercyhurst 10% 10% 5%
Fairleigh Dickinson 10% 10% 5%
Central Connecticut St. 6% 6% 3%
Wagner 12% 12% 6%
Chicago St. 7% 7% 4%
Stonehill 8% 8% 4%
New Haven 5% 5% 3%