Preseason Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2026-27
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +11.1 51
INCC Stats Results Rating +0.0 1
Consistency
Pace 72.0 84
Improvement - -

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense A- 28 B+ B A B B
Defense B- 89 C B B+ C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 106 B- 58% 92 +3.4 62
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 287 D 31% 309 -2.6 301
Three Pointers 44% 119 A- 37% 10 +5.1 31
Selection / Accuracy B +1.0 62 B +3.5 60
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.06 40
Second Chance C 31.0% 162 A 1.24 10 B 0.38 44
Opponents' Steals A 6.7% 8
Other Turnovers B 6.7% 41
Turnovers A 13.4% 7
Freethrows B- 0.33 91 B 76% 42 B 0.25 58
Total Offense A- +8.2 28

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 53% 145 B+ 8.0% 33
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 193 B+ 2.4% 23
Three Pointers B- 92% 87 B- 0.6% 112
Total B- 65% 79 B+ 3.9% 23


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 258 C+ 53% 107 -2.7 85
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 309 C+ 35% 149 -2.0 34
Three Pointers 47% 29 C- 33% 226 +3.0 312
Selection / Accuracy D+ +0.4 246 C -0.4 150
1st FG Attempt C 0.97 169
Second Chance B 26.5% 54 B- 0.96 79 B 0.26 46
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.3% 19
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 131
Turnovers B+ 19.8% 30
Freethrows C 0.30 179 B+ 69% 36 C+ 0.21 139
Total Defense B- +2.9 89

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 40% 20 B- 14.1% 58
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 23% 101 B 7.7% 45
Three Pointers B+ 79% 21 C- 0.7% 197
Total B- 52% 70 B- 6.8% 84

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.5 30 18.5 324
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 83 0.17 193
Consistency 0 0

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Chances Bubble - Out (47%)
Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Overall Record 14 - 17 21 - 12 26 - 7
Predictive Rating Rank 92 51 19
Results Rating Rank 106 53 14
Conference Record 5 - 13 10 - 8 14 - 4
Conference Finish 16 8 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 4
NCAA Tourney Finish None None Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 1% 1% 0%
Top 2 Seed 1% 2% 0%
Top 4 Seed 5% 6% 2%
Top 6 Seed 12% 12% 6%
Opening Round Bye 61% 61% 59%
NCAA Tourney Bid 49% 50% 33%
At-Large Status Bubble - Out Bubble - Out Bubble - Out
At-Large Bid 47% 48% 32%
Average Seed 8.5 8.5 8.7
.500 or above 90% 91% 74%
.500 or above in Conf 65% 65% 54%
Conference Champion 4% 4% 3%
Last Place in Conference 3% 3% 5%
Opening Round19% 20% 14%
First Round40% 41% 26%
Second Round22% 22% 15%
Sweet Sixteen9% 10% 8%
Elite Eight4% 4% 3%
Final Four2% 2% 2%
Championship Game1% 1% 1%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Campbell (Home) - 96% chance of victory

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance At-Large
Chance
Avg Seed At-Large
Selection Chances
Indiv. Cumul.
34 - 0 34 - 0 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
33 - 1 33 - 1 0% 100% 1 Auto Bid
31 - 3 31 - 3 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
30 - 4 30 - 4 0% 100% 100% 1 Lock
29 - 5 29 - 5 1% 100% 100% 2 Lock
28 - 6 28 - 6 1% 99% 100% 3 Lock
27 - 7 27 - 7 2% 98% 100% 4 Lock
26 - 7 26 - 7 4% 96% 100% 5 Lock
25 - 8 25 - 8 5% 92% 100% 7 Lock
24 - 9 24 - 9 7% 87% 100% 8 Lock
23 - 10 23 - 10 10% 79% 95% 9 Likely In
22 - 11 22 - 11 11% 70% 84% 10 Likely In
21 - 12 21 - 12 11% 59% 55% 11 Bubble - In
20 - 13 20 - 13 11% 47% 28% 11 Bubble - Out
19 - 14 19 - 14 9% 37% 11% 11 Likely Out
18 - 14 18 - 14 8% 28% 3% 11 Likely Out
17 - 15 17 - 15 6% 20% 0% 12 Negligible
16 - 16 16 - 16 5% 13% Negligible
15 - 17 15 - 17 3% 9% Negligible
14 - 17 14 - 17 3% 5% Negligible
13 - 18 13 - 18 1% 3% Negligible
12 - 19 12 - 19 1% 1% Negligible
11 - 20 11 - 20 0% 1% Negligible
10 - 21 10 - 21 0% 0% Negligible
9 - 22 9 - 22 0% 0% Negligible
8 - 23 8 - 23 0% 0% Negligible

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 7
Quad 25 - 38 - 11
Quad 35 - 114 - 12
Quad 47 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 2 244 Campbell W 89 - 70 96%
Fri, Nov 6 170 East Tennessee St. W 82 - 67 92%
Tue, Nov 10 215 Presbyterian W 80 - 63 94%
Fri, Nov 13 173 Troy W 80 - 65 91%
Thu, Nov 19 100 Murray St. W 85 - 79 71%
Wed, Nov 25 310 Norfolk St. W 87 - 65 98%
Sat, Nov 28 224 Elon W 85 - 67 93%
Tue, Dec 1 90 South Carolina W 79 - 71 75%
Sun, Dec 6 17 Tennessee L 72 - 78 32%
Fri, Dec 11 283 UNC Greensboro W 87 - 66 95%
Tue, Dec 15 36 North Carolina L 75 - 77 43%
Sat, Dec 19 53 Mississippi W 74 - 73 52%
Tue, Dec 22 306 Alabama A&M W 84 - 62 96%
Tue, Dec 29 18 Miami (FL) L 74 - 82 29% ✓
Sat, Jan 2 49 Clemson W 73 - 70 61% ✓
Wed, Jan 6 73 Pittsburgh W 74 - 68 68% ✓
Sat, Jan 9 36 North Carolina L 74 - 79 33% ✓
Tue, Jan 12 58 SMU W 80 - 75 64% ✓
Tue, Jan 19 106 Georgia Tech W 83 - 79 60% ✓
Sat, Jan 23 82 Wake Forest W 80 - 73 71% ✓
Wed, Jan 27 81 California W 77 - 76 51% ✓
Sat, Jan 30 65 Stanford L 75 - 76 43% ✓
Wed, Feb 3 64 Florida St. W 82 - 77 67% ✓
Wed, Feb 10 82 Wake Forest W 77 - 76 49% ✓
Sat, Feb 13 110 Boston College W 80 - 69 80% ✓
Wed, Feb 17 50 Virginia Tech L 75 - 78 38% ✓
Sat, Feb 20 81 California W 80 - 73 71% ✓
Wed, Feb 24 83 Notre Dame W 78 - 71 70% ✓
Sat, Feb 27 1 Duke L 67 - 82 19% ✓
Tue, Mar 2 10 Louisville L 77 - 80 45% ✓
Sat, Mar 6 15 Virginia L 70 - 79 26% ✓
Totals 21 - 12 9 - 9 +11 A- +8 C B B B- +3 A- B B


NCAA Tournament Selection

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Wins Chance Tourney
Bid
Auto At-Large Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Indiv. Cumul.
34 - 0 34 - 0 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
33 - 1 33 - 1 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Auto Bid 0
31 - 3 31 - 3 0% 100% 100% 80% 100% 1 Lock 0
30 - 4 30 - 4 0% 100% 100% 72% 100% 1 Lock 0
29 - 5 29 - 5 1% 100% 100% 54% 100% 2 Lock 0 0 0
28 - 6 28 - 6 1% 99% 100% 45% 100% 3 Lock 0 0 0 0 0
27 - 7 27 - 7 2% 98% 100% 31% 100% 4 Lock 0 1 1 0 0
26 - 7 26 - 7 4% 96% 100% 21% 100% 5 Lock 0 1 1 1 0
25 - 8 25 - 8 5% 92% 100% 12% 100% 7 Lock 0 1 1 1 1 0 0
24 - 9 24 - 9 7% 87% 100% 5% 100% 8 Lock 1 1 2 1 1 0 0
23 - 10 23 - 10 10% 79% 95% 2% 95% 9 Likely In 1 1 2 2 2 1
22 - 11 22 - 11 11% 70% 84% 1% 84% 10 Likely In 0 1 2 4 1 2
21 - 12 21 - 12 11% 59% 55% 0% 55% 11 Bubble - In 0 1 4 1 5
20 - 13 20 - 13 11% 47% 28% 28% 11 Bubble - Out 2 1 8
19 - 14 19 - 14 9% 37% 11% 11% 11 Likely Out 1 0 8
18 - 14 18 - 14 8% 28% 3% 3% 11 Likely Out 0 0 8
17 - 15 17 - 15 6% 20% 0% 0% 12 Negligible 0 0 6
16 - 16 16 - 16 5% 13% Negligible 5
15 - 17 15 - 17 3% 9% Negligible 3
14 - 17 14 - 17 3% 5% Negligible 3
13 - 18 13 - 18 1% 3% Negligible 1
12 - 19 12 - 19 1% 1% Negligible 1
11 - 20 11 - 20 0% 1% Negligible 0
10 - 21 10 - 21 0% 0% Negligible 0
9 - 22 9 - 22 0% 0% Negligible 0
8 - 23 8 - 23 0% 0% Negligible 0
Total 100% 49% 4% 47% 9 Bubble - Out 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 13 4 51


At-Large Selection Detail

Wins-Avg Loss Future Record Avg Conf Record Wins Chance At-Large Opening Bye Avg
Seed
At-Large
Selection Chances
Average Rating Rank Average Quad Records
Indiv. Cumul. Predictive Results NET Quad 1 Quad 2 Quad 3 Quad 4
34 - 0 34 - 0 18 - 0 0% 100% Auto Bid 4 1 1 10 - 0 8 - 0 9 - 0 7 - 0
33 - 1 33 - 1 18 - 0 0% 100% Auto Bid 1 1 1 9 - 1 12 - 0 5 - 0 7 - 0
31 - 3 31 - 3 16 - 2 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 13 2 4 9 - 2 8 - 0 7 - 0 7 - 0
30 - 4 30 - 4 15 - 3 0% 100% 100% 100% 1 Lock 10 2 4 9 - 2 8 - 1 6 - 0 7 - 0
29 - 5 29 - 5 15 - 3 1% 100% 100% 100% 2 Lock 16 4 8 8 - 4 7 - 1 6 - 0 7 - 0
28 - 6 28 - 6 14 - 4 1% 99% 100% 100% 3 Lock 17 7 11 7 - 4 7 - 1 6 - 0 7 - 0
27 - 7 27 - 7 13 - 5 2% 98% 100% 100% 4 Lock 21 11 15 7 - 5 7 - 1 6 - 0 7 - 0
26 - 7 26 - 7 13 - 5 4% 96% 100% 100% 5 Lock 24 16 19 6 - 5 6 - 2 6 - 1 7 - 0
25 - 8 25 - 8 12 - 6 5% 92% 100% 99% 7 Lock 29 21 25 6 - 6 6 - 2 6 - 1 7 - 0
24 - 9 24 - 9 12 - 6 7% 87% 100% 88% 8 Lock 33 28 30 5 - 6 6 - 2 6 - 1 7 - 0
23 - 10 23 - 10 11 - 7 10% 79% 95% 61% 9 Likely In 39 35 37 4 - 7 6 - 2 6 - 1 7 - 0
22 - 11 22 - 11 10 - 8 11% 70% 84% 34% 10 Likely In 44 43 43 4 - 7 5 - 3 6 - 1 7 - 0
21 - 12 21 - 12 10 - 8 11% 59% 55% 19% 11 Bubble - In 49 51 50 3 - 7 5 - 3 6 - 1 7 - 0
20 - 13 20 - 13 9 - 9 11% 47% 28% 7% 11 Bubble - Out 55 59 56 3 - 8 5 - 3 5 - 1 7 - 0
19 - 14 19 - 14 8 - 10 9% 37% 11% 2% 11 Likely Out 61 67 63 3 - 8 4 - 4 5 - 2 7 - 0
18 - 14 18 - 14 8 - 10 8% 28% 3% 0% 11 Likely Out 66 75 70 2 - 8 4 - 4 5 - 2 7 - 0
17 - 15 17 - 15 7 - 11 6% 20% 0% 0% 12 Negligible 72 84 77 2 - 9 4 - 4 5 - 2 7 - 0
16 - 16 16 - 16 6 - 12 5% 13% Negligible 77 92 83 2 - 9 3 - 5 4 - 2 6 - 1
15 - 17 15 - 17 6 - 12 3% 9% Negligible 83 100 90 2 - 9 3 - 5 4 - 2 6 - 1
14 - 17 14 - 17 5 - 13 3% 5% Negligible 89 109 97 1 - 9 3 - 5 4 - 2 6 - 1
13 - 18 13 - 18 4 - 14 1% 3% Negligible 97 119 106 1 - 10 2 - 5 3 - 3 6 - 1
12 - 19 12 - 19 4 - 14 1% 1% Negligible 100 131 113 1 - 10 2 - 6 3 - 3 6 - 1
11 - 20 11 - 20 4 - 14 0% 1% Negligible 109 142 123 1 - 10 2 - 6 3 - 3 6 - 1
10 - 21 10 - 21 3 - 15 0% 0% Negligible 112 157 130 1 - 10 1 - 6 2 - 4 5 - 1
9 - 22 9 - 22 3 - 15 0% 0% Negligible 123 175 146 0 - 10 1 - 6 2 - 4 5 - 2
8 - 23 8 - 23 1 - 17 0% 0% Negligible 159 200 176 0 - 12 1 - 3 3 - 6 4 - 2
Total 9 - 9 100% 47% 57% 9 Bubble - Out 52 56 53 4 - 7 5 - 3 5 - 1 7 - 0


Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

Wins Chance Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place (Percent of all possible outcomes)
Indiv. Cumul. 0 1 2 3+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th 17th 18th Total
18-0 0% 100% 100% 100% 0 0
17-1 0% 100% 100% 90% 10% 0 0
16-2 0% 100% 98% 86% 12% 0 0 0
15-3 1% 99% 76% 47% 24% 4% 1 0 0 1
14-4 3% 98% 45% 16% 21% 7% 1% 2 2 0 0 3
13-5 7% 95% 14% 2% 5% 5% 2% 1 3 2 0 0 0 7
12-6 10% 88% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0 1 4 3 1 0 0 10
11-7 13% 78% 0 1 3 5 3 1 0 0 13
10-8 15% 65% 0 0 2 5 5 2 1 0 0 15
9-9 14% 50% 0 0 2 5 5 2 1 0 14
8-10 12% 35% 0 0 2 4 4 2 0 0 12
7-11 10% 23% 0 0 2 3 3 2 0 0 10
6-12 7% 13% 0 0 1 2 2 1 0 7
5-13 4% 7% 0 0 1 1 1 0 4
4-14 2% 3% 0 1 1 0 2
3-15 1% 1% 0 0 0 1
2-16 0% 0% 0 0 0
1-17 0% 0% 0 0
0-18 0%
Total 100% 4% 2% 2% 1% 0% 4 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 5 5 4 3 3 2 1 100


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B- D A- B 41% 29% 44% B B+ C A B A B- B B B- C+ C+ C- C 36% 17% 47% D+ C B B- B B+ C B+ C+
1.20 58% 31% 37% +4 +1 1.06 31% 1.2 .38 13% .33 76% .25 1.05 53% 35% 33% 0 0 0.97 27% 1.0 .26 20% .30 69% .23
Nov
2
Campbell 1.21 65% 31% 40% +8 48% 19% 34% +1 1.14 31% 1.4 .44 13% .33 75% .25 0.96 50% 19% 31% -5 46% 10% 43% +2 0.90 29% 1.1 .27 22% .38 67% .26
16-25 3-10 7-18 9 rb 13 pt 10 to 18-24 11-22 1-5 6-20 10 rb 9 pt 16 to 17-26
Nov
6
ETSU 1.19 64% 23% 39% +7 41% 10% 50% +2 1.14 30% 1.2 .36 15% .33 75% .25 0.97 54% 35% 30% -2 41% 16% 43% +1 0.95 22% 1.3 .22 20% .32 68% .22
13-20 1-5 9-25 9 rb 10 pt 10 to 17-22 10-19 3-7 6-20 7 rb 7 pt 14 to 13-20
Nov
10
Presbyterian 1.20 59% 39% 40% +6 49% 13% 39% +2 1.14 30% 1.2 .38 12% .33 70% .23 0.94 53% 37% 31% -2 41% 24% 35% 0 0.93 28% 1.0 .26 22% .33 65% .21
14-24 3-6 8-19 9 rb 11 pt 8 to 15-22 10-18 4-10 5-16 8 rb 8 pt 15 to 13-20
Nov
13
Troy 1.19 57% 44% 37% +5 40% 14% 46% +1 1.08 32% 1.2 .40 13% .30 72% .22 0.96 50% 24% 31% -4 42% 8% 51% +2 0.92 29% 1.1 .25 21% .30 69% .21
11-20 3-7 9-24 10 rb 12 pt 9 to 15-21 9-19 1-4 7-23 9 rb 8 pt 14 to 13-19
Nov
19
Murray St. 1.14 54% 35% 39% +3 48% 20% 32% +1 1.04 31% 1.2 .37 13% .32 70% .22 1.06 56% 37% 34% +1 36% 14% 50% +1 1.01 28% 1.2 .29 19% .33 71% .24
14-26 4-11 7-18 10 rb 13 pt 10 to 17-24 10-19 3-7 9-25 9 rb 10 pt 14 to 17-23
Nov
25
Norfolk St. 1.22 64% 29% 36% +6 42% 6% 52% +2 1.14 31% 1.3 .41 14% .40 71% .28 0.91 44% 33% 33% -5 38% 24% 38% 0 0.87 25% 1.2 .22 22% .33 63% .20
14-21 1-3 9-26 9 rb 12 pt 10 to 20-28 8-18 4-11 6-18 8 rb 7 pt 16 to 13-21
Nov
28
Elon 1.22 57% 30% 41% +6 38% 12% 50% +1 1.12 33% 1.3 .43 13% .31 71% .22 0.97 49% 14% 33% -4 42% 7% 51% +2 0.94 27% 1.2 .24 21% .31 65% .20
11-19 2-6 11-26 10 rb 14 pt 9 to 16-22 10-20 0-3 8-24 9 rb 8 pt 14 to 13-20
Dec
1
S. Carolina 1.14 60% 31% 35% +3 42% 18% 40% +1 1.04 28% 1.3 .35 12% .29 72% .21 1.02 55% 41% 31% -1 33% 15% 52% +1 0.97 25% 1.2 .24 18% .33 73% .24
13-22 3-9 7-21 9 rb 11 pt 8 to 15-21 9-16 3-7 8-25 8 rb 8 pt 12 to 16-21
Dec
6
Tennessee 1.05 54% 30% 33% -1 35% 18% 47% 0 0.95 24% 1.1 .26 14% .32 70% .22 1.13 60% 35% 35% +3 42% 16% 41% +1 1.05 43% 0.6 .43 20% .35 66% .23
9-18 3-9 8-24 8 rb 9 pt 10 to 15-21 11-19 3-7 7-19 12 rb 12 pt 14 to 15-23
Dec
11
UNCG 1.23 62% 32% 42% +9 38% 14% 48% +1 1.16 29% 1.4 .40 11% .29 70% .20 0.94 47% 33% 32% -4 34% 20% 46% 0 0.89 22% 1.3 .20 19% .36 65% .23
13-21 2-8 11-26 9 rb 13 pt 8 to 15-21 7-16 3-10 7-22 7 rb 7 pt 14 to 15-23
Dec
15
UNC 1.07 51% 30% 38% 0 36% 23% 41% 0 0.97 24% 1.0 .25 11% .22 72% .16 1.09 59% 34% 35% +3 38% 13% 48% +1 1.05 28% 0.9 .29 17% .34 62% .21
10-21 4-13 9-23 8 rb 9 pt 8 to 11-16 11-19 2-7 8-24 9 rb 9 pt 12 to 14-23
Dec
19
Ole Miss 1.07 49% 30% 35% -2 35% 18% 48% 0 0.94 28% 1.3 .35 15% .34 69% .24 1.07 62% 40% 34% +4 26% 30% 44% -2 1.01 26% 1.3 .27 17% .30 71% .22
8-17 3-9 8-23 9 rb 12 pt 10 to 16-23 8-13 6-15 7-22 8 rb 8 pt 11 to 14-20
Dec
22
Alabama A&M 1.24 63% 28% 40% +7 44% 11% 45% +2 1.15 31% 1.3 .40 12% .36 72% .26 0.91 45% 30% 33% -5 35% 23% 41% -1 0.86 20% 1.4 .18 20% .34 68% .23
14-22 2-6 9-22 9 rb 12 pt 8 to 18-25 7-16 3-11 6-19 6 rb 6 pt 14 to 14-21
Dec
29
Miami FL 1.04 55% 25% 37% +1 37% 19% 44% 0 1.00 22% 1.3 .27 16% .28 70% .19 1.16 62% 41% 36% +6 47% 16% 37% +1 1.12 36% 0.7 .40 19% .34 68% .23
11-19 2-10 9-23 7 rb 9 pt 11 to 13-19 14-23 3-8 7-18 10 rb 11 pt 13 to 15-23
Jan
2
Clemson 1.10 56% 31% 37% +2 36% 18% 46% 0 1.02 24% 1.2 .29 14% .31 79% .24 1.06 56% 40% 34% +2 39% 11% 50% +1 1.04 24% 1.1 .21 17% .35 67% .23
10-18 3-9 8-22 7 rb 9 pt 10 to 16-20 10-18 2-5 8-23 7 rb 6 pt 12 to 15-22
Jan
6
Pitt 1.13 58% 32% 38% +4 42% 14% 44% +1 1.08 25% 1.2 .30 14% .29 77% .22 1.03 55% 34% 33% 0 37% 13% 50% +1 0.99 31% 0.7 .29 20% .29 62% .18
12-21 2-7 8-22 7 rb 9 pt 9 to 14-19 9-17 2-6 8-23 9 rb 9 pt 13 to 11-18
Jan
9
UNC 1.05 50% 29% 37% -1 36% 23% 41% 0 0.95 23% 1.0 .24 11% .22 70% .16 1.11 60% 37% 35% +4 38% 13% 48% +1 1.07 29% 0.9 .31 17% .34 63% .22
10-21 4-13 8-23 8 rb 9 pt 8 to 11-16 11-19 2-7 8-24 9 rb 10 pt 12 to 15-23
Jan
12
SMU 1.12 57% 28% 37% +3 34% 18% 49% 0 1.03 29% 1.2 .34 14% .29 72% .21 1.06 56% 40% 36% +3 36% 21% 43% 0 1.03 31% 1.0 .30 19% .28 64% .18
10-18 3-9 10-26 10 rb 11 pt 10 to 15-21 10-18 4-10 8-22 10 rb 9 pt 14 to 12-19
Jan
19
GA Tech 1.12 54% 26% 36% 0 36% 17% 48% 0 0.99 28% 1.3 .36 13% .32 72% .23 1.07 58% 36% 38% +4 39% 20% 41% 0 1.06 29% 1.2 .32 21% .30 71% .21
11-20 2-9 9-26 10 rb 13 pt 10 to 17-24 11-20 4-10 8-21 9 rb 10 pt 15 to 14-20
Jan
23
Wake Forest 1.12 58% 29% 34% +2 37% 12% 51% +1 1.03 30% 1.2 .36 15% .32 74% .24 1.02 52% 36% 32% -1 36% 13% 52% +1 0.96 26% 1.3 .29 19% .32 70% .22
11-19 2-6 9-26 10 rb 12 pt 11 to 17-23 9-18 2-6 8-25 9 rb 9 pt 13 to 15-22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27
California 1.09 54% 27% 33% -1 41% 14% 46% +1 0.97 27% 1.2 .32 13% .33 66% .22 1.07 57% 37% 37% +4 32% 19% 49% 0 1.05 23% 1.3 .23 18% .32 73% .24
12-21 2-7 8-24 9 rb 11 pt 10 to 15-23 9-16 3-9 9-24 7 rb 7 pt 13 to 16-21
Jan
30
Stanford 1.07 54% 29% 34% -1 43% 19% 37% +1 0.96 26% 1.3 .33 16% .36 75% .27 1.08 53% 28% 36% +1 43% 7% 51% +2 1.04 31% 1.0 .29 18% .32 69% .22
12-21 3-10 6-18 8 rb 10 pt 11 to 18-25 11-21 1-3 9-25 10 rb 9 pt 13 to 15-22
Feb
3
FL St. 1.11 57% 32% 38% +4 34% 16% 50% 0 1.06 30% 1.1 .32 16% .30 71% .21 1.04 54% 27% 32% -1 36% 8% 56% +2 0.98 27% 1.0 .29 18% .31 65% .20
10-18 3-9 10-26 10 rb 11 pt 12 to 15-22 10-19 1-4 9-29 9 rb 10 pt 13 to 14-22
Feb
10
Wake Forest 1.08 56% 24% 33% -1 37% 12% 51% +1 0.98 28% 1.2 .33 16% .32 72% .23 1.06 55% 41% 33% +1 36% 13% 52% +1 1.01 27% 1.2 .31 18% .32 72% .23
11-19 1-6 9-26 9 rb 11 pt 11 to 16-23 10-18 3-6 9-26 9 rb 10 pt 13 to 16-22
Feb
13
Boston Col 1.17 59% 32% 37% +4 41% 17% 42% +1 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 11% .32 72% .23 1.01 52% 41% 31% -1 31% 19% 49% 0 0.94 27% 0.9 .25 18% .29 62% .18
13-21 3-9 8-22 9 rb 10 pt 8 to 16-22 8-15 4-9 7-24 9 rb 8 pt 13 to 12-19
Feb
17
VA Tech 1.07 58% 30% 32% 0 41% 18% 40% +1 0.98 28% 1.2 .34 15% .27 71% .19 1.11 61% 34% 37% +5 36% 17% 47% 0 1.08 30% 1.1 .32 18% .31 72% .22
12-22 3-9 7-21 9 rb 11 pt 10 to 13-19 11-18 3-8 9-23 9 rb 9 pt 13 to 15-21
Feb
20
California 1.13 56% 32% 34% +1 41% 14% 46% +1 1.02 28% 1.2 .34 13% .33 68% .22 1.03 54% 34% 36% +2 32% 19% 49% 0 1.01 22% 1.4 .21 18% .32 71% .23
12-21 2-7 8-24 9 rb 11 pt 9 to 16-24 9-16 3-9 9-24 7 rb 7 pt 13 to 15-21
Feb
24
Notre Dame 1.14 59% 33% 35% +3 33% 15% 52% 0 1.03 24% 1.3 .30 12% .32 75% .24 1.03 59% 33% 35% +2 32% 18% 50% 0 1.01 28% 0.8 .25 20% .32 64% .20
10-17 3-8 9-27 8 rb 10 pt 8 to 17-22 9-15 3-8 8-24 9 rb 8 pt 14 to 13-21
Feb
27
Duke 0.98 51% 25% 32% -3 33% 19% 48% 0 0.90 21% 1.0 .21 15% .23 72% .16 1.20 64% 51% 35% +6 44% 4% 52% +3 1.15 37% 0.6 .45 19% .35 70% .24
9-17 3-10 8-25 7 rb 7 pt 10 to 11-15 13-20 1-2 8-24 10 rb 12 pt 13 to 16-23
Mar
2
Louisville 1.06 56% 27% 35% 0 34% 22% 44% 0 0.96 24% 1.3 .30 14% .30 72% .22 1.11 61% 33% 36% +5 38% 4% 58% +2 1.12 30% 0.9 .28 20% .31 70% .22
10-18 3-12 8-24 8 rb 10 pt 10 to 15-21 12-19 1-2 10-29 9 rb 8 pt 14 to 15-21
Mar
6
Virginia 1.02 47% 30% 34% -4 37% 22% 41% 0 0.90 24% 1.0 .24 13% .29 75% .22 1.15 56% 45% 37% +4 38% 8% 54% +2 1.09 36% 0.7 .39 18% .30 70% .21
9-19 3-11 7-21 8 rb 8 pt 9 to 15-20 10-18 2-4 9-26 10 rb 11 pt 13 to 14-20