Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona
Pac-10
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#25
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#17
Pace67.6#179
Improvement-4.8#326

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#23
Improvement-0.7#205

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#27
Improvement-4.0#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 65.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.9% n/a n/a
Second Round59.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen23.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.2% n/a n/a
Final Four3.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2010 291   Idaho St. W 90-42 98%     1 - 0 +36.8 -4.6 -4.3
  Nov 18, 2010 132   New Mexico St. W 83-57 90%     2 - 0 +25.1 +0.1 +0.2
  Nov 21, 2010 125   Northern Colorado W 93-70 89%     3 - 0 +22.5 +0.3 +0.1
  Nov 23, 2010 293   Bethune-Cookman W 78-45 98%     4 - 0 +21.7 -5.1 -4.6
  Nov 26, 2010 145   Santa Clara W 82-59 86%     5 - 0 +24.3 +0.8 +1.5
  Nov 27, 2010 3   Kansas L 79-87 23%     5 - 1 +12.5 +10.1 +10.0
  Dec 01, 2010 153   @ Rice W 84-57 79%     6 - 1 +31.1 +2.7 +2.7
  Dec 05, 2010 123   Oklahoma W 83-60 89%     7 - 1 +22.6 +0.6 +0.1
  Dec 08, 2010 259   Cal St. Fullerton W 73-62 97%     8 - 1 +2.0 -4.5 -4.0
  Dec 11, 2010 12   BYU L 65-87 38%     8 - 2 -5.9 +7.4 +7.8
  Dec 16, 2010 135   Northern Arizona W 63-58 90%     9 - 2 +4.0 -0.2 -0.5
  Dec 19, 2010 89   @ North Carolina St. W 72-62 67%     10 - 2 +18.2 +4.0 +4.6
  Dec 22, 2010 157   Robert Morris W 82-56 92%     11 - 2 +23.5 -0.8 -0.5
  Dec 30, 2010 88   @ Oregon W 76-57 67%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +27.2 +4.2 +4.9
  Jan 02, 2011 154   @ Oregon St. L 75-76 80%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +3.1 +1.8 +2.2
  Jan 06, 2011 65   California W 73-71 77%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +6.9 +2.5 +2.5
  Jan 09, 2011 94   Stanford W 67-57 85%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +11.5 +0.9 +1.2
  Jan 15, 2011 117   Arizona St. W 80-69 88%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +10.9 +0.4 -0.1
  Jan 20, 2011 14   @ Washington L 68-85 27%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +2.0 +8.9 +9.4
  Jan 22, 2011 48   @ Washington St. W 65-63 48%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +15.2 +6.4 +6.9
  Jan 27, 2011 50   UCLA W 85-74 73%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +17.5 +3.3 +3.6
  Jan 29, 2011 45   USC W 82-73 71%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +16.1 +4.2 +3.3
  Feb 03, 2011 94   @ Stanford W 78-69 68%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +16.9 +4.4 +3.9
  Feb 05, 2011 65   @ California W 107-105 3OT 56%     20 - 4 9 - 2 +13.3 +5.9 +5.4
  Feb 13, 2011 117   @ Arizona St. W 67-52 74%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +21.2 +3.2 +3.8
  Feb 17, 2011 48   Washington St. W 79-70 72%     22 - 4 11 - 2 +15.9 +3.8 +3.4
  Feb 19, 2011 14   Washington W 87-86 50%     23 - 4 12 - 2 +13.7 +6.5 +6.2
  Feb 24, 2011 45   @ USC L 57-65 48%     23 - 5 12 - 3 +5.4 +6.2 +6.8
  Feb 26, 2011 50   @ UCLA L 49-71 50%     23 - 6 12 - 4 -9.1 +5.7 +6.1
  Mar 03, 2011 154   Oregon St. W 70-59 91%     24 - 6 13 - 4 +8.7 -0.9 -0.8
  Mar 05, 2011 88   Oregon W 90-82 85%     25 - 6 14 - 4 +9.9 +1.8 +0.4
  Mar 10, 2011 154   Oregon St. W 78-69 86%     26 - 6 +9.9 +0.6 +0.7
  Mar 11, 2011 45   USC W 67-62 60%     27 - 6 +15.2 +5.5 +5.0
  Mar 12, 2011 14   Washington L 75-77 OT 38%     27 - 7 +13.9 +7.9 +7.9
Projected Record 27.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 98.9% 98.9% 6.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 22.4 42.1 23.4 7.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 1.1 98.9%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 98.9% 0.0% 98.9% 6.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 22.4 42.1 23.4 7.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 1.1 98.9%