Pre-tourney Rankings
California
Pac-10
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#65
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#61
Pace71.8#77
Improvement+0.7#140

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#65
Improvement+6.3#3

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#65
Improvement-5.6#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.2% n/a n/a
First Round1.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2010 222   Cal St. Northridge W 80-63 90%     1 - 0 +10.7 -3.0 -2.6
  Nov 20, 2010 46   New Mexico W 89-64 54%     2 - 0 +32.0 +4.0 +4.1
  Nov 25, 2010 37   Temple W 57-50 39%     3 - 0 +18.1 +4.7 +6.6
  Nov 26, 2010 8   Notre Dame L 44-57 20%     3 - 1 +3.8 +6.8 +9.5
  Nov 28, 2010 62   Boston College L 46-68 49%     3 - 2 -13.6 +3.0 +4.3
  Dec 01, 2010 239   UC Davis W 74-62 92%     4 - 2 +4.5 -3.6 -3.3
  Dec 04, 2010 77   @ Iowa St. W 76-73 45%     5 - 2 +12.4 +4.5 +5.0
  Dec 08, 2010 10   San Diego St. L 57-77 31%     5 - 3 -6.9 +6.0 +6.2
  Dec 12, 2010 74   Southern Miss L 78-80 66%     5 - 4 +1.8 +1.8 +1.8
  Dec 18, 2010 164   Cal Poly W 51-41 85%     6 - 4 +6.9 -2.0 -0.6
  Dec 22, 2010 3   Kansas L 63-78 19%     6 - 5 +2.3 +7.9 +8.8
  Dec 28, 2010 278   Hartford W 74-56 95%     7 - 5 +7.5 -5.3 -4.4
  Jan 02, 2011 94   @ Stanford L 68-82 51%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -6.1 +3.9 +3.3
  Jan 06, 2011 25   @ Arizona L 71-73 23%     7 - 7 0 - 2 +14.0 +7.9 +8.0
  Jan 08, 2011 117   @ Arizona St. W 65-61 57%     8 - 7 1 - 2 +10.2 +3.1 +3.3
  Jan 13, 2011 48   Washington St. W 88-81 OT 55%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +13.9 +3.8 +3.3
  Jan 16, 2011 14   Washington L 71-92 33%     9 - 8 2 - 3 -8.3 +5.9 +5.9
  Jan 20, 2011 50   @ UCLA L 84-86 32%     9 - 9 2 - 4 +10.9 +6.9 +5.9
  Jan 22, 2011 45   @ USC W 68-66 30%     10 - 9 3 - 4 +15.4 +6.7 +6.8
  Jan 27, 2011 154   Oregon St. W 85-57 83%     11 - 9 4 - 4 +25.7 -0.7 -0.3
  Jan 29, 2011 88   Oregon W 85-77 73%     12 - 9 5 - 4 +9.9 +1.4 +0.8
  Feb 03, 2011 117   Arizona St. W 66-62 78%     13 - 9 6 - 4 +3.9 +0.3 -0.2
  Feb 05, 2011 25   Arizona L 105-107 3OT 44%     13 - 10 6 - 5 +7.6 +5.0 +4.6
  Feb 10, 2011 14   @ Washington L 77-109 15%     13 - 11 6 - 6 -13.0 +9.3 +8.5
  Feb 12, 2011 48   @ Washington St. L 71-75 31%     13 - 12 6 - 7 +9.2 +6.3 +6.8
  Feb 17, 2011 45   USC L 75-78 54%     13 - 13 6 - 8 +4.1 +3.8 +3.1
  Feb 20, 2011 50   UCLA W 76-72 OT 56%     14 - 13 7 - 8 +10.5 +3.5 +3.3
  Feb 24, 2011 88   @ Oregon W 81-71 50%     15 - 13 8 - 8 +18.2 +4.6 +4.1
  Feb 26, 2011 154   @ Oregon St. W 87-76 65%     16 - 13 9 - 8 +15.1 +2.5 +2.0
  Mar 05, 2011 94   Stanford W 74-55 74%     17 - 13 10 - 8 +20.5 +1.0 +1.4
  Mar 10, 2011 45   USC L 56-70 42%     17 - 14 -3.8 +4.4 +5.2
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 2.2% 2.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.6 97.8 2.2%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.2% 0.0% 2.2% 12.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.6 97.8 2.2%