Pre-tourney Rankings
USC
Pac-10
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.2#45
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#63
Pace61.4#312
Improvement+2.5#67

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#48
Improvement+1.2#115

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#43
Improvement+1.3#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 39.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 39.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.9% n/a n/a
First Round34.2% n/a n/a
Second Round13.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 210   UC Irvine W 62-49 93%     1 - 0 +6.9 -3.3 -2.1
  Nov 15, 2010 145   Santa Clara W 86-73 87%     2 - 0 +11.2 -0.2 -1.0
  Nov 17, 2010 110   Rider L 57-77 83%     2 - 1 -19.7 -0.4 -0.3
  Nov 20, 2010 196   Bradley L 63-64 87%     2 - 2 -2.9 -1.6 -0.4
  Nov 21, 2010 132   New Mexico St. W 80-61 78%     3 - 2 +21.2 +1.2 +1.8
  Nov 24, 2010 259   Cal St. Fullerton W 81-54 95%     4 - 2 +18.0 -4.5 -3.4
  Nov 27, 2010 54   @ Nebraska L 58-60 42%     4 - 3 +10.3 +6.0 +6.3
  Nov 29, 2010 160   @ TCU L 69-81 74%     4 - 4 -8.5 +1.5 +1.4
  Dec 05, 2010 5   Texas W 73-56 31%     5 - 4 +32.2 +7.9 +8.2
  Dec 11, 2010 135   Northern Arizona W 60-52 85%     6 - 4 +7.0 -0.6 +0.0
  Dec 18, 2010 3   @ Kansas L 68-70 11%     6 - 5 +21.6 +11.5 +12.0
  Dec 21, 2010 56   @ Tennessee W 65-64 43%     7 - 5 +13.1 +6.0 +6.2
  Dec 23, 2010 190   Lehigh W 76-49 91%     8 - 5 +22.4 -2.0 -1.3
  Dec 29, 2010 14   Washington L 67-73 OT 41%     8 - 6 0 - 1 +6.7 +5.8 +6.6
  Dec 31, 2010 48   Washington St. W 60-56 63%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +10.9 +3.2 +3.9
  Jan 09, 2011 50   UCLA W 63-52 64%     10 - 6 2 - 1 +17.5 +3.1 +4.0
  Jan 13, 2011 88   @ Oregon L 62-68 58%     10 - 7 2 - 2 +2.2 +3.9 +4.0
  Jan 15, 2011 154   @ Oregon St. L 76-80 72%     10 - 8 2 - 3 +0.1 +2.3 +1.6
  Jan 20, 2011 94   Stanford W 65-42 80%     11 - 8 3 - 3 +24.5 +0.8 +1.9
  Jan 22, 2011 65   California L 66-68 70%     11 - 9 3 - 4 +2.9 +2.3 +2.6
  Jan 27, 2011 117   @ Arizona St. W 63-61 65%     12 - 9 4 - 4 +8.2 +2.9 +3.4
  Jan 29, 2011 25   @ Arizona L 73-82 29%     12 - 10 4 - 5 +7.0 +8.0 +7.5
  Feb 02, 2011 50   @ UCLA L 50-64 40%     12 - 11 4 - 6 -1.1 +6.0 +6.1
  Feb 10, 2011 154   Oregon St. W 67-56 88%     13 - 11 5 - 6 +8.7 -1.4 -0.4
  Feb 12, 2011 88   Oregon L 51-61 79%     13 - 12 5 - 7 -8.1 +0.2 +1.1
  Feb 17, 2011 65   @ California W 78-75 46%     14 - 12 6 - 7 +14.3 +5.9 +5.5
  Feb 19, 2011 94   @ Stanford W 69-53 59%     15 - 12 7 - 7 +23.9 +4.1 +4.6
  Feb 24, 2011 25   Arizona W 65-57 52%     16 - 12 8 - 7 +17.6 +4.6 +5.5
  Feb 26, 2011 117   Arizona St. W 62-46 84%     17 - 12 9 - 7 +15.9 +0.2 +0.6
  Mar 03, 2011 48   @ Washington St. L 77-85 39%     17 - 13 9 - 8 +5.2 +6.9 +6.0
  Mar 05, 2011 14   @ Washington W 62-60 20%     18 - 13 10 - 8 +21.0 +9.3 +9.9
  Mar 10, 2011 65   California W 70-56 58%     19 - 13 +22.1 +3.8 +4.9
  Mar 11, 2011 25   Arizona L 62-67 40%     19 - 14 +7.8 +6.3 +6.2
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 39.6% 39.6% 11.4 0.0 0.5 4.3 15.4 19.3 0.1 60.5 39.6%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 39.6% 0.0% 39.6% 11.4 0.0 0.5 4.3 15.4 19.3 0.1 60.5 39.6%