Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#89
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#88
Pace69.2#146
Improvement-1.5#236

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#87
Improvement+0.6#147

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#91
Improvement-2.0#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 207   Tennessee Tech W 82-69 85%     1 - 0 +7.0 -2.9 -2.5
  Nov 18, 2010 141   East Carolina W 85-65 62%     2 - 0 +21.8 +1.1 +1.6
  Nov 19, 2010 34   George Mason W 78-65 27%     3 - 0 +24.4 +5.9 +6.1
  Nov 21, 2010 22   Georgetown L 67-82 22%     3 - 1 -2.0 +6.2 +6.1
  Nov 27, 2010 320   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-67 95%     4 - 1 -4.4 -7.2 -6.8
  Dec 01, 2010 9   @ Wisconsin L 48-87 9%     4 - 2 -19.3 +8.7 +9.0
  Dec 04, 2010 15   @ Syracuse L 59-65 10%     4 - 3 +12.8 +9.0 +9.5
  Dec 11, 2010 319   South Carolina Upstate W 79-60 95%     5 - 3 +4.7 -6.4 -6.9
  Dec 16, 2010 251   Youngstown St. W 67-50 89%     6 - 3 +8.3 -4.5 -3.4
  Dec 19, 2010 25   Arizona L 62-72 33%     6 - 4 -0.4 +4.2 +4.9
  Dec 22, 2010 310   Delaware St. W 72-70 95%     7 - 4 -11.2 -6.6 -6.6
  Dec 28, 2010 325   Alabama A&M W 82-51 96%     8 - 4 +15.6 -7.1 -7.0
  Jan 01, 2011 289   San Diego W 76-54 93%     9 - 4 +10.9 -5.4 -4.8
  Jan 05, 2011 245   Elon W 87-72 82%     10 - 4 +10.2 -2.0 -2.1
  Jan 08, 2011 261   Wake Forest W 90-69 90%     11 - 4 1 - 0 +11.8 -3.7 -4.5
  Jan 11, 2011 62   @ Boston College L 66-75 27%     11 - 5 1 - 1 +2.5 +5.4 +5.7
  Jan 15, 2011 40   @ Florida St. L 71-84 19%     11 - 6 1 - 2 +1.2 +7.1 +6.5
  Jan 19, 2011 2   Duke L 78-92 12%     11 - 7 1 - 3 +3.6 +8.8 +8.2
  Jan 23, 2011 59   Miami (FL) W 72-70 48%     12 - 7 2 - 3 +7.6 +2.8 +2.9
  Jan 25, 2011 29   @ Clemson L 50-60 16%     12 - 8 2 - 4 +5.5 +7.2 +7.7
  Jan 29, 2011 13   @ North Carolina L 64-84 10%     12 - 9 2 - 5 -0.8 +8.9 +9.5
  Feb 02, 2011 33   Virginia Tech L 69-77 36%     12 - 10 2 - 6 +0.7 +4.4 +3.9
  Feb 05, 2011 2   @ Duke L 52-76 5%     12 - 11 2 - 7 +0.0 +11.0 +11.9
  Feb 13, 2011 261   @ Wake Forest W 80-55 77%     13 - 11 3 - 7 +22.2 -1.0 -0.7
  Feb 17, 2011 29   Clemson W 69-61 35%     14 - 11 4 - 7 +17.1 +4.8 +4.7
  Feb 20, 2011 38   @ Maryland L 80-87 19%     14 - 12 4 - 8 +7.2 +7.4 +6.5
  Feb 23, 2011 13   North Carolina L 63-75 23%     14 - 13 4 - 9 +0.8 +6.1 +6.2
  Feb 26, 2011 95   Georgia Tech W 79-74 63%     15 - 13 5 - 9 +6.5 +1.3 +0.5
  Mar 01, 2011 97   @ Virginia L 58-69 39%     15 - 14 5 - 10 -3.2 +3.6 +3.6
  Mar 06, 2011 40   Florida St. L 62-72 39%     15 - 15 5 - 11 -2.2 +3.7 +3.7
  Mar 10, 2011 38   Maryland L 67-75 28%     15 - 16 +3.0 +4.9 +5.8
Projected Record 15.0 - 16.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%