Pre-tourney Rankings
Ivy League
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
49 Harvard 100.0%   12   25 - 4 12 - 2 25 - 4 12 - 2 +8.5      +3.6 78 +4.9 44 58.1 328 +11.4 32 +9.3 1
99 Princeton 0.0%   17 - 11 10 - 4 17 - 11 10 - 4 +4.9      +2.4 106 +2.5 101 61.5 300 +3.2 127 +4.7 3
141 Penn 0.0%   19 - 12 11 - 3 19 - 12 11 - 3 +2.1      +0.9 146 +1.2 137 61.9 289 +3.8 116 +7.9 2
155 Yale 0.0%   17 - 9 9 - 5 17 - 9 9 - 5 +1.0      -1.4 216 +2.4 105 70.5 99 +3.6 121 +3.3 4
192 Columbia 0.0%   13 - 15 4 - 10 13 - 15 4 - 10 -1.6      -0.4 180 -1.2 211 62.1 284 -2.5 205 -6.9 6
204 Cornell 0.0%   11 - 16 7 - 7 11 - 16 7 - 7 -2.0      -3.2 262 +1.2 136 73.1 51 -1.5 193 -0.3 5
294 Dartmouth 0.0%   4 - 25 1 - 13 4 - 25 1 - 13 -8.3      -7.2 314 -1.1 204 61.9 290 -14.8 328 -16.0 8
308 Brown 0.0%   7 - 23 2 - 12 7 - 23 2 - 12 -10.0      -4.6 287 -5.4 310 65.2 233 -10.4 309 -10.7 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Harvard 1.0 100.0
Princeton 3.0 100.0
Penn 2.0 100.0
Yale 4.0 100.0
Columbia 6.0 100.0
Cornell 5.0 100.0
Dartmouth 8.0 100.0
Brown 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Harvard 12 - 2 100.0
Princeton 10 - 4 100.0
Penn 11 - 3 100.0
Yale 9 - 5 100.0
Columbia 4 - 10 100.0
Cornell 7 - 7 100.0
Dartmouth 1 - 13 100.0
Brown 2 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Harvard 100.0% 100.0
Princeton
Penn
Yale
Columbia
Cornell
Dartmouth
Brown


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Harvard 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.2 1.2 7.2 28.4 46.3 16.2 0.6
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Harvard 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 34.3% 11.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Yale 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 34.3% 0.3 65.7 34.3
Sweet Sixteen 11.8% 0.1 88.2 11.8
Elite Eight 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Final Four 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.8
Final Game 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0