Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn
Ivy League
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#141
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#116
Pace61.9#289
Improvement+1.4#110

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#146
Improvement+0.1#166

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#137
Improvement+1.3#105
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 340   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 59-45 92%     1 - 0 +0.9 -17.5 +19.1
  Nov 14, 2011 35   Temple L 67-73 OT 31%     1 - 1 +1.2 -8.3 +9.9
  Nov 17, 2011 221   @ Rider W 78-72 OT 57%     2 - 1 +6.2 -9.4 +14.6
  Nov 19, 2011 148   Robert Morris W 66-60 66%     3 - 1 +4.0 -3.9 +8.3
  Nov 22, 2011 109   Wagner L 65-71 55%     3 - 2 -5.3 -7.3 +2.1
  Nov 25, 2011 68   Pittsburgh L 58-78 44%     3 - 3 -16.3 -8.8 -9.9
  Nov 26, 2011 249   James Madison L 58-60 84%     3 - 4 -10.5 -11.9 +1.1
  Nov 29, 2011 127   Manhattan W 75-72 61%     4 - 4 +2.2 +4.8 -2.5
  Dec 03, 2011 83   @ Villanova L 65-73 24%     4 - 5 +1.3 -1.7 +2.7
  Dec 07, 2011 166   Delaware W 69-60 70%     5 - 5 +5.7 -3.4 +9.3
  Dec 10, 2011 59   UCLA L 73-77 29%     5 - 6 +3.9 +13.1 -9.6
  Dec 23, 2011 258   Marist W 84-71 85%     6 - 6 +3.9 +4.5 -1.0
  Dec 29, 2011 74   @ Davidson L 70-75 22%     6 - 7 +5.1 -1.9 +7.1
  Jan 01, 2012 15   @ Duke L 55-85 9%     6 - 8 -12.7 -12.6 +0.1
  Jan 04, 2012 239   @ Lafayette W 78-73 62%     7 - 8 +3.9 +2.4 +1.7
  Jan 10, 2012 53   La Salle L 57-68 40%     7 - 9 -6.2 -10.5 +3.9
  Jan 13, 2012 192   @ Columbia W 66-64 51%     8 - 9 1 - 0 +3.8 +0.8 +3.2
  Jan 14, 2012 204   @ Cornell W 64-52 53%     9 - 9 2 - 0 +13.4 -2.8 +16.7
  Jan 21, 2012 62   Saint Joseph's W 84-80 42%     10 - 9 +8.1 +12.0 -3.9
  Jan 30, 2012 99   Princeton W 82-67 52%     11 - 9 3 - 0 +16.5 +21.9 -3.2
  Feb 03, 2012 155   @ Yale L 53-60 41%     11 - 10 3 - 1 -2.6 -5.7 +1.8
  Feb 04, 2012 308   @ Brown W 65-48 80%     12 - 10 4 - 1 +10.4 -4.6 +16.8
  Feb 10, 2012 49   Harvard L 50-56 38%     12 - 11 4 - 2 -0.9 -8.0 +5.7
  Feb 11, 2012 294   Dartmouth W 58-55 90%     13 - 11 5 - 2 -8.7 -5.2 -2.9
  Feb 17, 2012 204   Cornell W 73-66 76%     14 - 11 6 - 2 +1.6 +5.6 -3.5
  Feb 18, 2012 192   Columbia W 61-59 OT 75%     15 - 11 7 - 2 -3.0 -3.0 +0.3
  Feb 24, 2012 294   @ Dartmouth W 57-54 75%     16 - 11 8 - 2 -1.9 -8.0 +6.5
  Feb 25, 2012 49   @ Harvard W 55-54 18%     17 - 11 9 - 2 +12.9 -1.2 +14.3
  Mar 02, 2012 308   Brown W 54-43 92%     18 - 11 10 - 2 -2.4 -6.2 +7.8
  Mar 03, 2012 155   Yale W 68-47 67%     19 - 11 11 - 2 +18.6 +5.0 +16.4
  Mar 06, 2012 99   @ Princeton L 52-62 28%     19 - 12 11 - 3 -1.7 -11.7 +9.0
Projected Record 19.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%