Pre-tourney Rankings
Harvard
Ivy League
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#49
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#32
Pace58.1#328
Improvement-3.6#291

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#78
Improvement-0.6#197

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#44
Improvement-2.9#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round34.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2011 228   @ Holy Cross W 73-64 80%     1 - 0 +8.7 +5.7 +3.5
  Nov 19, 2011 149   @ Loyola Marymount W 77-67 64%     2 - 0 +14.7 +9.4 +5.6
  Nov 24, 2011 296   Utah W 75-47 93%     3 - 0 +19.6 +4.6 +17.0
  Nov 25, 2011 22   Florida St. W 46-41 34%     4 - 0 +17.7 -12.8 +31.0
  Nov 26, 2011 93   Central Florida W 59-49 62%     5 - 0 +15.4 -1.0 +18.1
  Dec 01, 2011 139   @ Vermont W 55-48 61%     6 - 0 +12.6 -3.5 +17.5
  Dec 04, 2011 223   Seattle W 80-70 91%     7 - 0 +3.3 +2.8 +0.3
  Dec 08, 2011 36   @ Connecticut L 53-67 30%     7 - 1 -0.2 -3.8 +1.0
  Dec 10, 2011 191   @ Boston University W 76-52 74%     8 - 1 +25.8 +16.5 +12.8
  Dec 22, 2011 208   Florida Atlantic W 63-51 90%     9 - 1 +6.2 +0.0 +8.6
  Dec 29, 2011 252   @ Boston College W 67-46 84%     10 - 1 +19.0 +1.3 +19.6
  Dec 31, 2011 62   Saint Joseph's W 74-69 66%     11 - 1 +9.1 +2.6 +6.7
  Jan 03, 2012 265   @ Fordham L 54-60 85%     11 - 2 -8.6 -11.3 +2.0
  Jan 07, 2012 294   Dartmouth W 63-47 96%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +4.3 +4.0 +4.5
  Jan 10, 2012 291   @ Monmouth W 70-61 88%     13 - 2 +4.7 -3.4 +8.3
  Jan 14, 2012 167   George Washington W 69-48 87%     14 - 2 +17.5 +6.9 +14.2
  Jan 21, 2012 294   @ Dartmouth W 54-38 89%     15 - 2 2 - 0 +11.1 -3.7 +19.1
  Jan 27, 2012 155   @ Yale W 65-35 65%     16 - 2 3 - 0 +34.4 +3.1 +34.5
  Jan 28, 2012 308   @ Brown W 68-59 91%     17 - 2 4 - 0 +2.4 -2.3 +5.5
  Feb 03, 2012 204   Cornell W 71-60 90%     18 - 2 5 - 0 +5.6 -2.2 +7.7
  Feb 04, 2012 192   Columbia W 57-52 89%     19 - 2 6 - 0 +0.0 -1.8 +3.3
  Feb 10, 2012 141   @ Penn W 56-50 62%     20 - 2 7 - 0 +11.5 -0.9 +13.8
  Feb 11, 2012 99   @ Princeton L 62-70 51%     20 - 3 7 - 1 +0.3 +1.1 -1.8
  Feb 17, 2012 308   Brown W 69-42 97%     21 - 3 8 - 1 +13.6 +2.1 +16.6
  Feb 18, 2012 155   Yale W 66-51 85%     22 - 3 9 - 1 +12.6 +12.3 +4.5
  Feb 24, 2012 99   Princeton W 67-64 75%     23 - 3 10 - 1 +4.5 -0.5 +5.2
  Feb 25, 2012 141   Penn L 54-55 82%     23 - 4 10 - 2 -2.3 -9.6 +7.1
  Mar 02, 2012 192   @ Columbia W 77-70 OT 74%     24 - 4 11 - 2 +8.8 +10.2 -0.9
  Mar 03, 2012 204   @ Cornell W 67-63 75%     25 - 4 12 - 2 +5.4 +6.9 -0.9
Projected Record 25.0 - 4.0 12.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.7 0.0 0.2 1.2 7.2 28.4 46.3 16.2 0.6
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.2 1.2 7.2 28.4 46.3 16.2 0.6