Pre-tourney Rankings
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
48 Iona 17.2%   25 - 7 15 - 3 25 - 7 15 - 3 +8.6      +9.6 11 -1.0 201 76.9 22 +7.9 67 +6.9 1
120 Fairfield 0.0%   19 - 14 12 - 6 19 - 14 12 - 6 +3.3      -1.6 223 +4.9 46 64.9 239 +1.8 144 +1.7 4
127 Manhattan 0.0%   20 - 12 12 - 6 20 - 12 12 - 6 +2.6      -0.2 174 +2.8 90 71.5 80 +0.7 162 +1.8 3
135 Loyola Maryland 100.0%   15   24 - 8 13 - 5 24 - 8 13 - 5 +2.3      +0.5 152 +1.8 124 64.6 246 +5.9 88 +3.7 2
221 Rider 0.0%   13 - 19 10 - 8 13 - 19 10 - 8 -3.2      +0.9 147 -4.1 281 72.4 65 -3.6 226 -0.7 5
233 Siena 0.0%   14 - 17 8 - 10 14 - 17 8 - 10 -3.9      -3.5 271 -0.4 181 65.8 213 -2.7 208 -4.0 7
244 Niagara 0.0%   14 - 19 8 - 10 14 - 19 8 - 10 -4.8      -0.1 170 -4.7 291 72.3 68 -3.6 225 -3.8 6
258 Marist 0.0%   14 - 18 7 - 11 14 - 18 7 - 11 -5.7      -3.5 269 -2.3 245 73.8 44 -4.3 240 -5.3 8
315 St. Peter's 0.0%   5 - 26 4 - 14 5 - 26 4 - 14 -11.5      -9.1 333 -2.4 250 64.4 254 -13.0 322 -10.0 9
328 Canisius 0.0%   5 - 25 1 - 17 5 - 25 1 - 17 -12.8      -5.9 300 -6.9 331 68.6 137 -14.7 327 -19.2 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Iona 1.0 100.0
Fairfield 3.0 100.0
Manhattan 3.0 100.0
Loyola Maryland 2.0 100.0
Rider 5.0 100.0
Siena 6.0 100.0
Niagara 6.0 100.0
Marist 8.0 100.0
St. Peter's 9.0 100.0
Canisius 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Iona 15 - 3 100.0
Fairfield 12 - 6 100.0
Manhattan 12 - 6 100.0
Loyola Maryland 13 - 5 100.0
Rider 10 - 8 100.0
Siena 8 - 10 100.0
Niagara 8 - 10 100.0
Marist 7 - 11 100.0
St. Peter's 4 - 14 100.0
Canisius 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Iona 100.0% 100.0
Fairfield
Manhattan
Loyola Maryland
Rider
Siena
Niagara
Marist
St. Peter's
Canisius


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Iona 17.2% 0.0% 17.2% 0.0 0.8 6.5 8.7 1.2 82.8 17.2%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.3 17.5 80.8 1.5
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Iona 17.2% 16.7% 9.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loyola Maryland 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 8.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Siena 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.2 82.8 17.2
1st Round 100.0% 1.1 0.0 90.5 9.5
2nd Round 10.9% 0.1 89.1 10.7 0.3
Sweet Sixteen 2.7% 0.0 97.3 2.7 0.0
Elite Eight 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5 0.0
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0