Pre-tourney Rankings
Fairfield
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#120
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#144
Pace64.9#239
Improvement+1.2#121

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#223
Improvement-2.0#267

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#46
Improvement+3.2#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 160   Quinnipiac W 72-60 60%     1 - 0 +12.5 -2.9 +15.0
  Nov 14, 2011 121   Providence L 72-80 63%     1 - 1 -8.2 +0.4 -9.1
  Nov 17, 2011 56   @ Minnesota L 57-67 22%     1 - 2 +1.5 -9.7 +11.1
  Nov 20, 2011 228   Holy Cross W 73-52 83%     2 - 2 +13.9 +1.9 +13.0
  Nov 24, 2011 225   Arizona St. W 55-44 74%     3 - 2 +7.6 -16.1 +24.5
  Nov 25, 2011 65   Dayton L 49-56 34%     3 - 3 +0.4 -15.6 +14.9
  Nov 27, 2011 132   Indiana St. L 66-72 53%     3 - 4 -3.6 -5.4 +2.0
  Dec 02, 2011 244   @ Niagara W 79-75 67%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +2.6 +3.8 -1.2
  Dec 04, 2011 328   @ Canisius W 68-59 88%     5 - 4 2 - 0 -0.4 -3.1 +3.5
  Dec 09, 2011 107   Old Dominion W 59-51 46%     6 - 4 +12.2 -4.8 +17.5
  Dec 11, 2011 295   New Hampshire W 58-52 91%     7 - 4 -5.7 -8.0 +3.1
  Dec 22, 2011 36   @ Connecticut L 71-79 16%     7 - 5 +5.8 +5.4 +0.3
  Dec 28, 2011 63   @ Drexel L 69-77 23%     7 - 6 +2.9 +11.2 -9.3
  Jan 01, 2012 328   Canisius W 72-54 95%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +1.8 -11.0 +12.4
  Jan 06, 2012 233   @ Siena L 60-73 64%     8 - 7 3 - 1 -13.5 -4.1 -11.0
  Jan 08, 2012 127   @ Manhattan L 51-53 39%     8 - 8 3 - 2 +4.1 -13.9 +17.8
  Jan 13, 2012 135   Loyola Maryland L 63-66 66%     8 - 9 3 - 3 -4.1 -5.4 +1.1
  Jan 16, 2012 221   Rider W 61-52 82%     9 - 9 4 - 3 +2.4 -13.6 +16.6
  Jan 19, 2012 315   @ St. Peter's W 75-63 85%     10 - 9 5 - 3 +3.9 +4.8 -0.4
  Jan 27, 2012 48   Iona L 62-71 42%     10 - 10 5 - 4 -3.8 -15.6 +12.1
  Jan 29, 2012 258   Marist W 81-53 87%     11 - 10 6 - 4 +18.9 +4.7 +14.3
  Feb 03, 2012 244   Niagara W 77-69 86%     12 - 10 7 - 4 -0.2 -1.5 +1.4
  Feb 05, 2012 233   Siena W 64-56 84%     13 - 10 8 - 4 +0.7 -5.4 +6.8
  Feb 09, 2012 127   Manhattan W 60-54 65%     14 - 10 9 - 4 +5.2 -3.3 +9.4
  Feb 12, 2012 135   @ Loyola Maryland W 68-51 40%     15 - 10 10 - 4 +22.7 +5.5 +18.9
  Feb 15, 2012 315   St. Peter's W 61-38 94%     16 - 10 11 - 4 +8.1 -15.2 +23.5
  Feb 18, 2012 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 63-67 45%     16 - 11 +0.5 -7.3 +7.9
  Feb 20, 2012 258   @ Marist W 60-49 70%     17 - 11 12 - 4 +8.7 -6.2 +16.2
  Feb 24, 2012 48   @ Iona L 72-77 20%     17 - 12 12 - 5 +7.0 +3.4 +3.4
  Feb 26, 2012 221   @ Rider L 62-65 62%     17 - 13 12 - 6 -2.8 -10.7 +7.7
  Mar 03, 2012 221   Rider W 65-63 73%     18 - 13 -1.2 -10.5 +9.3
  Mar 04, 2012 48   Iona W 85-75 30%     19 - 13 +18.6 +11.0 +7.6
  Mar 05, 2012 135   Loyola Maryland L 44-48 54%     19 - 14 -1.7 -19.5 +17.1
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%