Pre-tourney Rankings
Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#127
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#162
Pace71.5#80
Improvement+0.9#129

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#174
Improvement+1.7#80

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#90
Improvement-0.8#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 302   NJIT W 62-48 91%     1 - 0 +1.5 -15.2 +17.3
  Nov 14, 2011 7   @ Syracuse L 56-92 6%     1 - 1 -15.4 -14.3 +3.9
  Nov 15, 2011 308   Brown W 54-52 88%     2 - 1 -8.0 -16.9 +9.1
  Nov 21, 2011 177   Fresno St. W 85-83 63%     3 - 1 +1.3 +4.7 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2011 72   @ Colorado St. L 86-91 OT 23%     3 - 2 +5.2 +8.9 -3.4
  Nov 26, 2011 192   Columbia L 41-59 77%     3 - 3 -23.0 -30.4 +5.4
  Nov 29, 2011 141   @ Penn L 72-75 39%     3 - 4 +2.5 +3.4 -1.0
  Dec 02, 2011 221   @ Rider W 71-55 60%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +16.2 -2.4 +19.0
  Dec 04, 2011 315   St. Peter's W 68-42 94%     5 - 4 2 - 0 +11.1 -2.4 +16.0
  Dec 07, 2011 265   Fordham W 81-47 87%     6 - 4 +24.6 +6.7 +18.3
  Dec 10, 2011 218   @ Hofstra W 68-59 59%     7 - 4 +9.3 -7.1 +15.9
  Dec 20, 2011 331   @ Towson W 81-62 89%     8 - 4 +8.1 +3.0 +4.6
  Dec 23, 2011 112   @ George Mason L 61-81 32%     8 - 5 -12.6 -10.9 -0.3
  Dec 30, 2011 341   @ Binghamton W 94-51 93%     9 - 5 +29.4 +15.0 +13.7
  Jan 02, 2012 221   Rider L 77-88 81%     9 - 6 2 - 1 -17.6 -7.4 -9.4
  Jan 05, 2012 135   @ Loyola Maryland L 60-61 38%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +4.7 -6.1 +10.7
  Jan 08, 2012 120   Fairfield W 53-51 61%     10 - 7 3 - 2 +1.9 -13.1 +15.1
  Jan 12, 2012 48   @ Iona W 75-72 19%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +15.0 +8.8 +6.4
  Jan 14, 2012 233   Siena W 72-53 83%     12 - 7 5 - 2 +11.7 -7.4 +17.9
  Jan 20, 2012 258   @ Marist W 61-44 68%     13 - 7 6 - 2 +14.7 -7.0 +23.1
  Jan 22, 2012 244   Niagara W 71-64 84%     14 - 7 7 - 2 -1.2 -8.9 +7.7
  Jan 27, 2012 328   @ Canisius W 78-66 87%     15 - 7 8 - 2 +2.6 -1.4 +3.8
  Jan 29, 2012 244   @ Niagara W 87-70 65%     16 - 7 9 - 2 +15.6 +10.0 +5.4
  Feb 02, 2012 258   Marist W 73-51 86%     17 - 7 10 - 2 +12.9 -1.3 +14.9
  Feb 04, 2012 48   Iona L 73-85 40%     17 - 8 10 - 3 -6.8 -4.2 -2.3
  Feb 09, 2012 120   @ Fairfield L 54-60 35%     17 - 9 10 - 4 +0.7 -4.7 +4.5
  Feb 11, 2012 315   @ St. Peter's W 85-63 84%     18 - 9 11 - 4 +13.9 +10.7 +3.0
  Feb 14, 2012 233   @ Siena L 64-70 62%     18 - 10 11 - 5 -6.5 -6.1 -0.6
  Feb 18, 2012 236   UNC Wilmington W 79-64 84%     19 - 10 +7.2 -8.1 +13.4
  Feb 24, 2012 328   Canisius W 90-77 95%     20 - 10 12 - 5 -3.2 +4.5 -8.3
  Feb 26, 2012 135   Loyola Maryland L 60-62 64%     20 - 11 12 - 6 -3.1 -9.0 +5.8
  Mar 03, 2012 233   Siena L 82-84 OT 74%     20 - 12 -5.9 +2.1 -7.8
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%