Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado
Pac-12
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#86
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#64
Pace66.8#189
Improvement+3.1#65

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#139
Improvement-2.8#298

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#52
Improvement+5.9#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round24.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen6.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2011 9   Wichita St. L 58-67 19%     0 - 1 +6.1 -8.6 +14.5
  Nov 18, 2011 125   Maryland L 71-78 61%     0 - 2 -4.1 +7.3 -12.2
  Nov 20, 2011 175   Western Michigan W 81-76 73%     1 - 2 +4.5 +8.6 -4.0
  Nov 23, 2011 173   @ Air Force W 76-73 OT 60%     2 - 2 +6.0 +4.6 +1.4
  Nov 28, 2011 105   Georgia W 70-68 67%     3 - 2 +3.1 +4.7 -1.5
  Nov 30, 2011 72   @ Colorado St. L 64-65 33%     3 - 3 +9.2 -10.0 +19.2
  Dec 07, 2011 177   Fresno St. W 71-64 82%     4 - 3 +2.9 +1.5 +1.9
  Dec 09, 2011 75   Wyoming L 54-65 60%     4 - 4 -7.7 -9.8 +1.2
  Dec 19, 2011 251   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-64 90%     5 - 4 -2.7 -3.4 +1.2
  Dec 22, 2011 276   Texas Southern W 56-51 92%     6 - 4 -5.1 -11.2 +6.7
  Dec 31, 2011 296   Utah W 73-33 94%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +28.2 +7.8 +27.0
  Jan 05, 2012 67   Washington W 87-69 58%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +21.8 +6.3 +13.5
  Jan 07, 2012 136   Washington St. W 71-60 74%     9 - 4 3 - 0 +9.9 +1.8 +9.1
  Jan 12, 2012 34   @ California L 50-57 21%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +7.1 -14.3 +21.1
  Jan 14, 2012 64   @ Stanford L 64-84 31%     9 - 6 3 - 2 -9.2 +1.7 -11.7
  Jan 19, 2012 225   Arizona St. W 69-54 88%     10 - 6 4 - 2 +8.2 -0.1 +10.0
  Jan 21, 2012 47   Arizona W 64-63 52%     11 - 6 5 - 2 +6.3 -0.2 +6.6
  Jan 26, 2012 219   @ USC W 74-50 70%     12 - 6 6 - 2 +24.3 +8.9 +15.7
  Jan 28, 2012 59   @ UCLA L 60-77 30%     12 - 7 6 - 3 -5.7 -1.3 -6.0
  Feb 02, 2012 92   Oregon St. W 82-60 64%     13 - 7 7 - 3 +24.0 -0.3 +22.3
  Feb 04, 2012 66   Oregon W 72-71 57%     14 - 7 8 - 3 +4.9 -6.1 +10.9
  Feb 09, 2012 47   @ Arizona L 57-71 27%     14 - 8 8 - 4 -1.9 -8.3 +6.2
  Feb 11, 2012 225   @ Arizona St. W 63-49 71%     15 - 8 9 - 4 +14.0 -5.1 +20.2
  Feb 18, 2012 296   @ Utah W 55-48 84%     16 - 8 10 - 4 +2.1 -12.8 +15.6
  Feb 23, 2012 64   Stanford L 50-74 57%     16 - 9 10 - 5 -20.0 -17.5 -3.0
  Feb 26, 2012 34   California W 70-57 44%     17 - 9 11 - 5 +20.3 +8.3 +13.5
  Mar 01, 2012 66   @ Oregon L 81-90 31%     17 - 10 11 - 6 +1.7 +10.8 -9.0
  Mar 03, 2012 92   @ Oregon St. L 69-83 38%     17 - 11 11 - 7 -5.2 -4.3 -0.5
  Mar 07, 2012 296   Utah W 53-41 90%     18 - 11 +3.6 -14.8 +20.1
  Mar 08, 2012 66   Oregon W 63-62 44%     19 - 11 +8.3 -3.8 +12.2
  Mar 09, 2012 34   California W 70-59 32%     20 - 11 +21.7 +9.5 +13.4
  Mar 10, 2012 47   Arizona W 53-51 39%     21 - 11 +10.7 -4.3 +15.4
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.0 0.0 1.3 16.0 64.3 18.2 0.3
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 1.3 16.0 64.3 18.2 0.3