Pre-tourney Rankings
Troy
Sun Belt
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#267
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#242
Pace73.1#50
Improvement-1.7#233

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#132
Improvement-1.5#248

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#333
Improvement-0.1#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 220   @ Texas Tech L 85-90 27%     0 - 1 -4.8 +8.2 -12.5
  Nov 19, 2011 152   @ East Tennessee St. L 71-81 16%     0 - 2 -5.3 -1.9 -2.8
  Nov 22, 2011 124   @ UAB L 59-71 12%     0 - 3 -5.6 -1.7 -5.3
  Nov 26, 2011 232   @ Southern Utah W 80-76 29%     1 - 3 +3.5 +5.6 -2.2
  Nov 29, 2011 152   East Tennessee St. W 79-71 35%     2 - 3 +5.9 +6.1 -0.3
  Dec 03, 2011 189   Miami (OH) W 73-60 45%     3 - 3 +8.1 +8.8 +1.5
  Dec 10, 2011 70   @ Mississippi St. L 68-106 7%     3 - 4 -27.7 -11.9 -10.6
  Dec 15, 2011 24   @ Belmont L 55-78 3%     3 - 5 -7.6 -14.3 +6.9
  Dec 20, 2011 232   Southern Utah W 80-72 54%     4 - 5 +0.7 +6.2 -5.4
  Dec 22, 2011 171   Texas San Antonio L 70-76 40%     4 - 6 -9.7 +0.3 -10.5
  Dec 29, 2011 79   @ Denver L 62-79 8%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -7.2 -5.1 -3.0
  Dec 31, 2011 159   @ North Texas L 65-87 17%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -17.9 -12.1 -3.2
  Jan 05, 2012 54   Middle Tennessee L 53-63 15%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -5.2 -13.2 +7.4
  Jan 07, 2012 188   @ Western Kentucky W 67-65 22%     5 - 9 1 - 3 +3.9 -0.9 +4.9
  Jan 14, 2012 205   South Alabama L 60-75 47%     5 - 10 1 - 4 -20.5 -19.6 +0.2
  Jan 19, 2012 208   Florida Atlantic L 67-88 48%     5 - 11 1 - 5 -26.8 -11.3 -14.6
  Jan 21, 2012 309   Louisiana Monroe W 91-63 77%     6 - 11 2 - 5 +14.1 +10.7 +3.6
  Jan 26, 2012 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 58-71 6%     6 - 12 2 - 6 -1.4 -3.4 +1.0
  Jan 29, 2012 205   @ South Alabama L 66-68 24%     6 - 13 2 - 7 -0.7 -4.0 +3.3
  Feb 02, 2012 231   Florida International L 50-63 54%     6 - 14 2 - 8 -20.2 -15.6 -7.3
  Feb 04, 2012 198   Louisiana L 78-83 47%     6 - 15 2 - 9 -10.3 -2.6 -7.0
  Feb 11, 2012 188   Western Kentucky W 83-77 45%     7 - 15 3 - 9 +1.1 +2.5 -2.0
  Feb 16, 2012 193   @ Arkansas St. L 59-83 23%     7 - 16 3 - 10 -22.3 -5.3 -20.7
  Feb 18, 2012 183   Arkansas Little Rock L 62-74 OT 43%     7 - 17 3 - 11 -16.5 -11.3 -5.0
  Feb 23, 2012 231   @ Florida International W 75-70 OT 29%     8 - 17 4 - 11 +4.6 +2.2 +2.4
  Feb 25, 2012 208   @ Florida Atlantic W 83-82 24%     9 - 17 5 - 11 +2.0 +14.1 -12.0
  Mar 03, 2012 205   South Alabama L 81-87 35%     9 - 18 -8.1 +7.1 -15.2
Projected Record 9.0 - 18.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%