Pre-tourney Rankings
Belmont
Atlantic Sun
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#24
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#49
Pace71.2#87
Improvement+1.7#96

Offense
Total Offense+9.8#8
Improvement+0.0#169

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#112
Improvement+1.6#92
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round41.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen21.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.3% n/a n/a
Final Four2.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 15   @ Duke L 76-77 30%     0 - 1 +16.3 +3.3 +13.1
  Nov 15, 2011 10   @ Memphis L 81-97 27%     0 - 2 +2.5 +5.6 -0.9
  Nov 19, 2011 331   Towson W 87-41 98%     1 - 2 +31.7 +11.0 +21.6
  Nov 20, 2011 54   @ Middle Tennessee W 87-84 2OT 52%     2 - 2 +14.6 +8.1 +6.0
  Dec 01, 2011 314   Kennesaw St. W 98-52 98%     3 - 2 1 - 0 +31.2 +25.1 +10.7
  Dec 03, 2011 115   Mercer W 82-78 86%     4 - 2 2 - 0 +4.3 +10.9 -6.6
  Dec 06, 2011 165   Tennessee St. W 75-62 92%     5 - 2 +9.7 +8.2 +2.7
  Dec 13, 2011 54   @ Middle Tennessee L 62-65 52%     5 - 3 +8.6 +4.3 +3.9
  Dec 15, 2011 267   Troy W 78-55 97%     6 - 3 +13.4 -4.6 +17.8
  Dec 17, 2011 189   @ Miami (OH) L 61-66 83%     6 - 4 -3.1 -6.3 +2.8
  Dec 19, 2011 76   @ Marshall L 86-87 57%     6 - 5 +9.1 +9.4 -0.3
  Dec 21, 2011 212   @ Austin Peay W 77-67 85%     7 - 5 +10.8 +0.4 +9.9
  Dec 29, 2011 76   Marshall W 79-74 80%     8 - 5 +8.3 +2.4 +5.6
  Jan 02, 2012 190   @ North Florida W 83-53 83%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +31.8 +15.7 +18.1
  Jan 04, 2012 248   @ Jacksonville W 75-63 89%     10 - 5 4 - 0 +10.4 +1.2 +9.1
  Jan 06, 2012 216   Lipscomb L 74-85 95%     10 - 6 4 - 1 -17.4 -5.5 -11.4
  Jan 14, 2012 260   Stetson W 84-71 96%     11 - 6 5 - 1 +3.8 +2.8 +0.7
  Jan 16, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast W 95-53 92%     12 - 6 6 - 1 +37.9 +23.9 +16.6
  Jan 21, 2012 147   @ South Carolina Upstate L 78-79 75%     12 - 7 6 - 2 +3.8 +7.5 -3.7
  Jan 23, 2012 152   @ East Tennessee St. W 82-70 76%     13 - 7 7 - 2 +16.7 +8.1 +7.8
  Jan 28, 2012 248   Jacksonville W 85-71 96%     14 - 7 8 - 2 +5.6 +14.5 -7.9
  Jan 30, 2012 190   North Florida W 83-69 93%     15 - 7 9 - 2 +9.0 +2.0 +6.1
  Feb 03, 2012 216   @ Lipscomb W 84-58 86%     16 - 7 10 - 2 +26.4 +17.3 +10.9
  Feb 06, 2012 212   Austin Peay W 94-55 94%     17 - 7 +33.0 +13.9 +17.6
  Feb 11, 2012 178   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 86-63 81%     18 - 7 11 - 2 +25.7 +17.7 +9.5
  Feb 13, 2012 260   @ Stetson W 106-93 90%     19 - 7 12 - 2 +10.6 +21.9 -12.3
  Feb 18, 2012 152   East Tennessee St. W 80-58 90%     20 - 7 13 - 2 +19.9 +12.6 +8.6
  Feb 20, 2012 147   South Carolina Upstate W 88-79 90%     21 - 7 14 - 2 +7.0 -0.6 +6.0
  Feb 23, 2012 314   @ Kennesaw St. W 90-50 96%     22 - 7 15 - 2 +32.0 +16.3 +18.2
  Feb 25, 2012 115   @ Mercer W 62-61 68%     23 - 7 16 - 2 +8.1 -2.8 +11.0
  Feb 29, 2012 248   Jacksonville W 76-62 93%     24 - 7 +9.0 +0.2 +8.6
  Mar 02, 2012 152   East Tennessee St. W 69-61 84%     25 - 7 +9.3 +7.2 +3.1
  Mar 03, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast W 83-69 88%     26 - 7 +13.3 +6.3 +6.8
Projected Record 26.0 - 7.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.3 0.1 1.5 10.9 48.8 38.5 0.3
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.3 0.1 1.5 10.9 48.8 38.5 0.3