Pre-tourney Rankings
UAB
Conference USA
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#124
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#125
Pace59.8#319
Improvement+3.8#46

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#197
Improvement+5.9#7

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#69
Improvement-2.1#275
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2011 28   Creighton L 60-70 32%     0 - 1 -2.2 -17.3 +15.4
  Nov 20, 2011 42   Murray St. L 55-62 39%     0 - 2 -1.1 -10.9 +9.3
  Nov 22, 2011 267   Troy W 71-59 88%     1 - 2 +2.4 -3.1 +6.9
  Nov 25, 2011 9   Wichita St. L 46-68 13%     1 - 3 -6.9 -20.2 +12.8
  Nov 27, 2011 334   Tennessee Martin L 54-59 96%     1 - 4 -22.9 -20.2 -3.4
  Nov 30, 2011 205   @ South Alabama L 47-55 56%     1 - 5 -6.7 -13.8 +5.2
  Dec 03, 2011 116   @ Kent St. L 48-57 35%     1 - 6 -2.0 -20.3 +18.0
  Dec 07, 2011 54   Middle Tennessee W 66-56 43%     2 - 6 +14.8 +10.1 +6.7
  Dec 20, 2011 52   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 49-68 20%     2 - 7 -7.3 -12.2 +2.9
  Dec 22, 2011 248   Jacksonville W 70-65 86%     3 - 7 -3.4 -5.8 +2.4
  Dec 28, 2011 167   @ George Washington W 56-49 49%     4 - 7 +10.3 -9.1 +20.1
  Dec 31, 2011 336   Alabama A&M W 92-58 97%     5 - 7 +15.4 +6.0 +7.5
  Jan 03, 2012 16   @ Florida L 61-79 10%     5 - 8 -0.7 +0.1 -3.3
  Jan 07, 2012 10   Memphis L 59-62 20%     5 - 9 0 - 1 +8.7 -3.1 +11.4
  Jan 11, 2012 76   Marshall L 59-61 49%     5 - 10 0 - 2 +1.3 -3.1 +4.0
  Jan 14, 2012 69   @ Southern Miss L 55-59 24%     5 - 11 0 - 3 +6.4 -6.3 +12.1
  Jan 18, 2012 145   @ Rice W 61-60 OT 42%     6 - 11 1 - 3 +6.0 -2.2 +8.3
  Jan 21, 2012 93   Central Florida L 41-48 54%     6 - 12 1 - 4 -5.0 -20.5 +13.7
  Jan 25, 2012 76   Marshall W 56-49 36%     7 - 12 2 - 4 +13.7 -9.9 +24.1
  Jan 28, 2012 138   East Carolina L 66-73 65%     7 - 13 2 - 5 -8.1 +7.4 -17.1
  Feb 01, 2012 182   Houston W 80-69 76%     8 - 13 3 - 5 +6.7 +2.0 +4.6
  Feb 04, 2012 131   @ UTEP W 61-60 39%     9 - 13 4 - 5 +6.9 -0.8 +7.8
  Feb 08, 2012 69   Southern Miss W 71-61 47%     10 - 13 5 - 5 +13.6 +5.1 +9.6
  Feb 11, 2012 10   @ Memphis L 45-79 8%     10 - 14 5 - 6 -15.5 -13.0 -7.5
  Feb 15, 2012 181   @ SMU W 47-28 52%     11 - 14 6 - 6 +21.5 -8.7 +35.8
  Feb 18, 2012 186   Tulane W 81-73 77%     12 - 14 7 - 6 +3.3 +7.6 -4.3
  Feb 25, 2012 138   @ East Carolina W 61-57 40%     13 - 14 8 - 6 +9.7 -0.2 +10.5
  Feb 29, 2012 94   Tulsa W 68-64 55%     14 - 14 9 - 6 +5.8 -0.2 +6.2
  Mar 03, 2012 93   @ Central Florida L 63-71 29%     14 - 15 9 - 7 +0.8 +0.6 -0.6
  Mar 07, 2012 186   Tulane W 72-64 66%     15 - 15 +6.7 +10.7 -2.8
  Mar 08, 2012 93   Central Florida L 54-64 41%     15 - 16 -4.6 -7.6 +1.5
Projected Record 15.0 - 16.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%