Pre-tourney Rankings
Valparaiso
Horizon
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#144
Expected Predictive Rating+4.0#111
Pace65.9#212
Improvement-0.2#179

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#127
Improvement-3.8#324

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#172
Improvement+3.5#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2011 47   @ Arizona L 64-73 16%     0 - 1 +3.1 -4.9 +8.4
  Nov 11, 2011 237   @ Georgia Southern W 90-81 60%     1 - 1 +7.9 +10.6 -3.4
  Nov 18, 2011 73   Akron W 62-59 43%     2 - 1 +6.4 -9.9 +16.3
  Nov 20, 2011 114   Duquesne W 84-68 55%     3 - 1 +16.3 +15.4 +2.0
  Nov 25, 2011 2   @ Ohio St. L 47-80 3%     3 - 2 -9.6 -12.2 +0.9
  Dec 03, 2011 129   @ Butler W 77-71 OT 34%     4 - 2 1 - 0 +12.0 +4.8 +6.7
  Dec 07, 2011 269   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-85 67%     4 - 3 -11.8 -0.8 -10.8
  Dec 10, 2011 126   Bowling Green W 82-79 59%     5 - 3 +2.4 +8.1 -5.7
  Dec 17, 2011 153   Oakland L 80-82 65%     5 - 4 -4.2 -6.7 +2.6
  Dec 20, 2011 317   @ Northern Illinois W 59-48 83%     6 - 4 +2.5 -8.4 +12.4
  Dec 23, 2011 194   IUPUI L 88-97 63%     6 - 5 -10.8 +0.8 -10.6
  Dec 29, 2011 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 55-57 65%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -4.3 -11.1 +6.6
  Dec 31, 2011 176   Green Bay W 90-87 71%     7 - 6 2 - 1 -1.0 +15.5 -16.5
  Jan 06, 2012 119   @ Detroit Mercy W 73-71 31%     8 - 6 3 - 1 +8.8 +2.5 +6.3
  Jan 08, 2012 214   @ Wright St. L 55-73 54%     8 - 7 3 - 2 -17.4 -10.6 -7.7
  Jan 13, 2012 169   Youngstown St. W 76-62 69%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +10.4 +3.4 +7.8
  Jan 15, 2012 88   Cleveland St. W 72-66 48%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +8.1 +4.1 +4.2
  Jan 19, 2012 275   @ Loyola Chicago W 69-48 68%     11 - 7 6 - 2 +17.8 +9.1 +12.8
  Jan 21, 2012 280   @ Illinois-Chicago W 60-55 69%     12 - 7 7 - 2 +1.5 -5.6 +7.8
  Jan 26, 2012 176   @ Green Bay L 60-75 45%     12 - 8 7 - 3 -12.2 -4.8 -8.8
  Jan 28, 2012 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 55-52 39%     13 - 8 8 - 3 +7.5 -6.2 +14.2
  Feb 02, 2012 119   Detroit Mercy W 78-73 56%     14 - 8 9 - 3 +5.0 +7.7 -2.4
  Feb 04, 2012 214   Wright St. W 63-54 77%     15 - 8 10 - 3 +2.8 -6.1 +9.3
  Feb 09, 2012 88   @ Cleveland St. W 59-41 24%     16 - 8 11 - 3 +26.9 -1.3 +30.3
  Feb 11, 2012 169   @ Youngstown St. L 53-71 44%     16 - 9 11 - 4 -14.8 -17.3 +1.5
  Feb 14, 2012 280   Illinois-Chicago W 74-65 87%     17 - 9 12 - 4 -1.3 +6.0 -6.1
  Feb 17, 2012 149   @ Loyola Marymount L 53-61 38%     17 - 10 -3.3 -6.4 +1.7
  Feb 21, 2012 275   Loyola Chicago W 66-62 OT 86%     18 - 10 13 - 4 -6.0 -6.3 +0.6
  Feb 24, 2012 129   Butler W 71-59 59%     19 - 10 14 - 4 +11.2 +8.3 +3.9
  Mar 03, 2012 129   Butler W 65-46 59%     20 - 10 +18.2 +6.6 +14.8
  Mar 06, 2012 119   Detroit Mercy L 50-70 56%     20 - 11 -20.0 -22.2 +1.0
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%