Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois-Chicago
Horizon
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#280
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#270
Pace66.4#196
Improvement-2.1#248

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#270
Improvement-0.3#180

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#272
Improvement-1.8#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 250   @ Eastern Michigan L 57-68 31%     0 - 1 -12.8 -12.2 -0.3
  Nov 23, 2011 113   Evansville W 79-75 24%     1 - 1 +4.4 -4.7 +8.8
  Nov 26, 2011 197   @ Toledo L 67-82 21%     1 - 2 -13.5 -15.0 +3.4
  Dec 01, 2011 176   @ Green Bay L 68-71 18%     1 - 3 0 - 1 -0.2 +3.0 -3.4
  Dec 03, 2011 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-73 OT 14%     1 - 4 0 - 2 +2.5 -3.4 +6.0
  Dec 10, 2011 317   Northern Illinois W 62-55 79%     2 - 4 -8.3 -8.1 +0.8
  Dec 13, 2011 92   @ Oregon St. L 53-95 8%     2 - 5 -33.2 -24.6 -3.6
  Dec 16, 2011 247   @ Central Michigan L 67-70 30%     2 - 6 -4.6 -1.6 -3.2
  Dec 19, 2011 179   Western Illinois W 57-56 39%     3 - 6 -3.1 -3.4 +0.4
  Dec 23, 2011 65   @ Dayton L 57-64 6%     3 - 7 +3.8 -12.2 +15.9
  Dec 29, 2011 119   Detroit Mercy W 63-59 25%     4 - 7 1 - 2 +4.0 -5.9 +10.3
  Dec 31, 2011 214   Wright St. L 70-74 OT 47%     4 - 8 1 - 3 -10.2 -5.8 -4.2
  Jan 05, 2012 88   @ Cleveland St. L 56-73 8%     4 - 9 1 - 4 -8.1 -3.7 -6.6
  Jan 07, 2012 169   @ Youngstown St. L 50-71 17%     4 - 10 1 - 5 -17.8 -18.3 -1.5
  Jan 14, 2012 275   Loyola Chicago W 58-51 62%     5 - 10 2 - 5 -3.0 -7.8 +6.1
  Jan 19, 2012 129   Butler L 49-57 28%     5 - 11 2 - 6 -8.8 -15.4 +5.8
  Jan 21, 2012 144   Valparaiso L 55-60 31%     5 - 12 2 - 7 -6.8 -11.4 +3.8
  Jan 25, 2012 214   @ Wright St. L 63-69 24%     5 - 13 2 - 8 -5.4 +0.0 -5.9
  Jan 27, 2012 119   @ Detroit Mercy L 66-70 11%     5 - 14 2 - 9 +2.8 -1.3 +3.8
  Feb 02, 2012 169   Youngstown St. W 72-68 37%     6 - 14 3 - 9 +0.4 +6.4 -5.3
  Feb 05, 2012 88   Cleveland St. L 42-70 20%     6 - 15 3 - 10 -25.9 -20.4 -10.9
  Feb 11, 2012 275   @ Loyola Chicago L 69-78 36%     6 - 16 3 - 11 -12.2 -3.3 -9.0
  Feb 14, 2012 144   @ Valparaiso L 65-74 13%     6 - 17 3 - 12 -4.0 +2.5 -7.7
  Feb 18, 2012 299   @ Eastern Illinois W 67-63 44%     7 - 17 -1.4 -2.3 +1.3
  Feb 21, 2012 129   @ Butler L 44-69 12%     7 - 18 3 - 13 -19.0 -16.0 -6.3
  Feb 23, 2012 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 61-72 33%     7 - 19 3 - 14 -13.3 -5.6 -8.6
  Feb 25, 2012 176   Green Bay L 63-71 39%     7 - 20 3 - 15 -12.0 -10.5 -1.6
  Feb 28, 2012 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 55-68 14%     7 - 21 -8.5 -13.9 +5.5
Projected Record 7.0 - 21.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%