Pre-tourney Rankings
Vermont
America East
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#139
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#153
Pace62.2#282
Improvement+2.6#75

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#161
Improvement-3.7#323

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#119
Improvement+6.3#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four83.8% n/a n/a
First Round61.7% n/a n/a
Second Round3.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 55   @ South Florida L 59-61 19%     0 - 1 +9.5 +15.7 -6.9
  Nov 16, 2011 294   @ Dartmouth W 65-53 75%     1 - 1 +7.1 +1.1 +7.5
  Nov 19, 2011 258   Marist W 84-75 78%     2 - 1 +3.3 +4.2 -1.4
  Nov 20, 2011 162   LIU Brooklyn L 75-80 57%     2 - 2 -4.6 -2.9 -1.5
  Nov 23, 2011 107   @ Old Dominion W 65-63 OT 30%     3 - 2 +9.6 -0.2 +9.8
  Nov 26, 2011 233   Siena W 64-62 82%     4 - 2 -5.3 +2.6 -7.5
  Dec 01, 2011 49   Harvard L 48-55 39%     4 - 3 -1.9 -12.3 +9.0
  Dec 03, 2011 155   @ Yale L 52-68 41%     4 - 4 -11.6 -12.3 -0.6
  Dec 07, 2011 20   @ Saint Louis L 43-62 10%     4 - 5 -2.5 -14.5 +9.4
  Dec 11, 2011 160   Quinnipiac L 58-62 69%     4 - 6 -6.9 -9.8 +2.5
  Dec 17, 2011 48   Iona L 72-73 39%     4 - 7 +4.2 +0.1 +4.1
  Dec 21, 2011 337   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 71-53 90%     5 - 7 +5.9 -4.0 +10.1
  Dec 23, 2011 331   @ Towson W 65-49 89%     6 - 7 +5.1 +3.7 +5.0
  Dec 30, 2011 200   Northeastern L 51-53 76%     6 - 8 -7.3 -11.8 +4.1
  Jan 02, 2012 158   @ Stony Brook L 59-65 43%     6 - 9 0 - 1 -1.9 -7.2 +4.8
  Jan 05, 2012 191   Boston University W 83-69 76%     7 - 9 1 - 1 +9.0 +10.0 -0.9
  Jan 08, 2012 304   @ Hartford W 72-59 79%     8 - 9 2 - 1 +6.8 +8.0 +0.5
  Jan 12, 2012 341   Binghamton W 73-53 97%     9 - 9 3 - 1 -0.5 -2.9 +3.8
  Jan 14, 2012 295   @ New Hampshire L 64-72 75%     9 - 10 3 - 2 -12.9 -9.1 -3.6
  Jan 16, 2012 282   Maine W 79-65 88%     10 - 10 4 - 2 +3.6 +9.5 -4.6
  Jan 19, 2012 202   Albany W 73-69 77%     11 - 10 5 - 2 -1.4 -7.3 +5.9
  Jan 22, 2012 340   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90-62 92%     12 - 10 6 - 2 +14.9 +6.8 +6.9
  Jan 29, 2012 295   New Hampshire W 77-60 90%     13 - 10 7 - 2 +5.3 +9.7 -2.8
  Feb 01, 2012 191   @ Boston University W 68-67 52%     14 - 10 8 - 2 +2.8 -5.6 +8.4
  Feb 04, 2012 304   Hartford W 82-56 91%     15 - 10 9 - 2 +13.0 +5.6 +7.5
  Feb 06, 2012 282   @ Maine W 73-63 71%     16 - 10 10 - 2 +6.4 -5.1 +10.9
  Feb 12, 2012 158   Stony Brook W 68-49 68%     17 - 10 11 - 2 +16.3 +6.9 +13.0
  Feb 15, 2012 202   @ Albany W 50-47 53%     18 - 10 12 - 2 +4.4 -8.4 +13.9
  Feb 18, 2012 244   Niagara W 92-70 84%     19 - 10 +13.8 +20.6 -4.9
  Feb 21, 2012 341   @ Binghamton L 53-57 92%     19 - 11 12 - 3 -17.6 -17.9 -0.2
  Feb 25, 2012 340   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 80-49 97%     20 - 11 13 - 3 +11.1 -2.3 +13.5
  Mar 03, 2012 282   Maine W 50-40 81%     21 - 11 +3.0 -21.5 +25.2
  Mar 04, 2012 304   Hartford W 77-73 2OT 86%     22 - 11 -5.6 -1.4 -4.4
  Mar 10, 2012 158   @ Stony Brook W 51-43 43%     23 - 11 +12.1 -8.9 +22.7
Projected Record 23.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 3.2 96.8
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 3.2 96.8