Pre-tourney Rankings
Towson
Colonial Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.3#331
Expected Predictive Rating-21.7#343
Pace61.2#303
Improvement+4.1#42

Offense
Total Offense-9.4#335
Improvement+2.5#55

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#294
Improvement+1.5#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 5   @ Kansas L 54-100 0.4%    0 - 1 -24.2 -7.3 -17.5
  Nov 14, 2011 23   @ Michigan L 47-64 1%     0 - 2 -1.1 -14.5 +11.4
  Nov 19, 2011 24   Belmont L 41-87 2%     0 - 3 -34.0 -28.9 -6.0
  Nov 20, 2011 284   UNC Greensboro L 60-72 25%     0 - 4 -19.1 -15.8 -3.3
  Nov 26, 2011 92   Oregon St. L 46-66 7%     0 - 5 -18.0 -21.1 -0.2
  Nov 30, 2011 78   @ Massachusetts L 56-86 2%     0 - 6 -20.2 -18.3 +2.2
  Dec 03, 2011 112   George Mason L 53-65 9%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -11.4 -7.2 -6.6
  Dec 07, 2011 53   La Salle L 51-89 5%     0 - 8 -33.2 -13.9 -22.8
  Dec 10, 2011 340   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 58-62 71%     0 - 9 -23.9 -21.4 -2.8
  Dec 14, 2011 277   @ Coppin St. L 57-71 16%     0 - 10 -17.5 -22.9 +5.3
  Dec 20, 2011 127   Manhattan L 62-81 11%     0 - 11 -19.8 -11.2 -8.0
  Dec 23, 2011 139   Vermont L 49-65 11%     0 - 12 -17.2 -12.5 -8.3
  Dec 30, 2011 31   @ Virginia L 50-57 1%     0 - 13 +7.3 +0.3 +5.3
  Jan 02, 2012 200   Northeastern L 48-57 20%     0 - 14 0 - 2 -14.3 -13.5 -3.2
  Jan 04, 2012 63   @ Drexel L 27-60 2%     0 - 15 0 - 3 -22.1 -32.5 +1.8
  Jan 07, 2012 107   @ Old Dominion L 38-75 3%     0 - 16 0 - 4 -29.4 -23.1 -10.4
  Jan 11, 2012 290   William & Mary L 49-66 38%     0 - 17 0 - 5 -28.1 -22.0 -9.0
  Jan 14, 2012 98   @ Georgia St. L 42-57 3%     0 - 18 0 - 6 -6.6 -22.5 +15.6
  Jan 18, 2012 107   Old Dominion L 41-71 9%     0 - 19 0 - 7 -29.2 -21.9 -11.5
  Jan 21, 2012 112   @ George Mason L 60-72 3%     0 - 20 0 - 8 -4.6 -7.4 +2.8
  Jan 23, 2012 166   @ Delaware L 43-62 6%     0 - 21 0 - 9 -15.5 -24.9 +7.8
  Jan 25, 2012 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 42-67 5%     0 - 22 0 - 10 -20.1 -27.7 +7.6
  Jan 28, 2012 236   UNC Wilmington W 66-61 27%     1 - 22 1 - 10 -2.8 -4.6 +2.3
  Feb 01, 2012 218   @ Hofstra L 49-74 9%     1 - 23 1 - 11 -24.7 -22.5 -2.3
  Feb 04, 2012 63   Drexel L 57-65 5%     1 - 24 1 - 12 -3.9 +1.7 -7.7
  Feb 08, 2012 52   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 43-66 2%     1 - 25 1 - 13 -11.3 -19.5 +6.3
  Feb 11, 2012 249   James Madison L 56-58 29%     1 - 26 1 - 14 -10.5 -7.7 -3.3
  Feb 14, 2012 200   @ Northeastern L 51-70 8%     1 - 27 1 - 15 -17.5 -15.6 -3.5
  Feb 18, 2012 295   @ New Hampshire L 58-72 19%     1 - 28 -18.9 -5.8 -14.8
  Feb 22, 2012 166   Delaware L 69-76 15%     1 - 29 1 - 16 -10.3 -8.4 -1.8
  Feb 25, 2012 249   @ James Madison L 59-65 12%     1 - 30 1 - 17 -7.7 -10.8 +2.5
  Mar 02, 2012 166   Delaware L 65-72 10%     1 - 31 -6.9 -7.3 +0.2
Projected Record 1.0 - 31.0 1.0 - 17.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%