Pre-tourney Rankings
Green Bay
Horizon
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#64
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#63
Pace70.0#122
Improvement-1.6#247

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#113
Improvement-3.8#321

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#49
Improvement+2.2#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.7% n/a n/a
First Round1.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2013 12   Wisconsin L 66-69 32%     0 - 1 +9.8 -8.2 +18.2
  Nov 28, 2013 156   Pepperdine W 97-89 75%     1 - 1 +8.8 +17.1 -8.8
  Nov 29, 2013 41   Harvard L 64-76 40%     1 - 2 -1.4 +1.3 -3.4
  Nov 30, 2013 78   Tulsa W 67-59 55%     2 - 2 +14.6 -6.2 +20.1
  Dec 07, 2013 6   Virginia W 75-72 27%     3 - 2 +17.2 +19.9 -2.3
  Dec 10, 2013 126   @ Eastern Michigan L 58-67 59%     3 - 3 -3.4 -1.2 -2.9
  Dec 14, 2013 241   @ South Dakota W 89-85 82%     4 - 3 +2.4 +5.7 -3.7
  Dec 17, 2013 275   Tennessee Tech W 76-49 93%     5 - 3 +18.0 -4.1 +21.0
  Dec 21, 2013 271   Fairfield W 74-58 93%     6 - 3 +7.3 -1.5 +8.5
  Jan 02, 2014 93   Cleveland St. W 66-55 69%     7 - 3 1 - 0 +13.8 +3.1 +12.3
  Jan 04, 2014 182   Youngstown St. W 85-69 86%     8 - 3 2 - 0 +12.2 +3.3 +8.1
  Jan 07, 2014 286   @ Chicago St. W 98-62 88%     9 - 3 +31.2 +16.0 +12.3
  Jan 12, 2014 164   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 93-86 OT 69%     10 - 3 3 - 0 +10.0 +14.5 -5.0
  Jan 17, 2014 145   @ Wright St. W 79-69 64%     11 - 3 4 - 0 +14.4 +13.8 +0.8
  Jan 19, 2014 266   @ Illinois-Chicago W 69-64 85%     12 - 3 5 - 0 +2.1 +1.8 +0.7
  Jan 22, 2014 185   Oakland W 83-69 87%     13 - 3 6 - 0 +9.9 +4.0 +5.9
  Jan 26, 2014 191   Detroit Mercy W 62-52 87%     14 - 3 7 - 0 +5.6 -6.5 +13.0
  Jan 29, 2014 160   @ Valparaiso L 60-75 68%     14 - 4 7 - 1 -11.8 -11.6 +0.2
  Feb 01, 2014 145   Wright St. W 62-55 81%     15 - 4 8 - 1 +5.8 -4.7 +10.8
  Feb 05, 2014 266   Illinois-Chicago W 81-70 93%     16 - 4 9 - 1 +2.5 +2.4 -0.2
  Feb 08, 2014 164   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 63-73 84%     16 - 5 9 - 2 -12.6 -11.1 -1.5
  Feb 13, 2014 182   @ Youngstown St. W 71-40 73%     17 - 5 10 - 2 +32.8 +4.8 +31.7
  Feb 15, 2014 93   @ Cleveland St. W 68-54 49%     18 - 5 11 - 2 +22.3 +9.4 +15.3
  Feb 20, 2014 160   Valparaiso W 67-53 84%     19 - 5 12 - 2 +11.6 -1.1 +13.6
  Feb 27, 2014 185   @ Oakland W 71-63 74%     20 - 5 13 - 2 +9.5 -3.5 +13.1
  Mar 01, 2014 191   @ Detroit Mercy W 75-66 74%     21 - 5 14 - 2 +10.2 +4.4 +5.8
  Mar 08, 2014 164   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 66-73 OT 84%     21 - 6 -9.6 -11.0 +1.7
Projected Record 21.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 2.7% 2.7% 11.9 0.0 0.2 2.5 0.0 97.3 2.7%
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.7% 0.0% 2.7% 11.9 0.0 0.2 2.5 0.0 97.3 2.7%