Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa
Big Ten
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.2#20
Expected Predictive Rating+10.9#44
Pace78.2#16
Improvement-7.3#351

Offense
Total Offense+10.9#5
Improvement+0.9#132

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#88
Improvement-8.1#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 66.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four23.8% n/a n/a
First Round58.4% n/a n/a
Second Round32.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen14.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight6.9% n/a n/a
Final Four2.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 279   UNC Wilmington W 82-39 98%     1 - 0 +33.6 +2.1 +28.6
  Nov 10, 2013 170   Nebraska Omaha W 83-75 94%     2 - 0 +4.9 -1.3 +5.2
  Nov 14, 2013 336   Maryland Eastern Shore W 109-63 99%     3 - 0 +29.8 +5.2 +16.3
  Nov 17, 2013 346   Abilene Christian W 103-41 99%     4 - 0 +43.3 +19.4 +23.4
  Nov 22, 2013 260   Penn W 86-55 97%     5 - 0 +22.7 +0.3 +18.8
  Nov 28, 2013 40   Xavier W 77-74 OT 64%     6 - 0 +13.7 +0.6 +12.8
  Nov 29, 2013 100   UTEP W 89-53 82%     7 - 0 +40.5 +30.5 +14.1
  Nov 30, 2013 5   Villanova L 83-88 OT 38%     7 - 1 +12.4 +2.8 +10.6
  Dec 03, 2013 88   Notre Dame W 98-93 85%     8 - 1 +8.2 +18.9 -10.9
  Dec 07, 2013 176   Drake W 83-66 91%     9 - 1 +16.1 +12.7 +4.2
  Dec 09, 2013 285   Fairleigh Dickinson W 92-59 98%     10 - 1 +22.7 +7.4 +13.6
  Dec 13, 2013 14   @ Iowa St. L 82-85 37%     10 - 2 +14.6 +7.4 +7.6
  Dec 22, 2013 323   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 86-61 99%     11 - 2 +10.7 +1.8 +6.7
  Dec 31, 2013 49   Nebraska W 67-57 76%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +17.0 -3.0 +19.7
  Jan 05, 2014 12   @ Wisconsin L 71-75 34%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +14.4 +2.6 +11.9
  Jan 09, 2014 116   Northwestern W 93-67 89%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +26.8 +21.6 +3.6
  Jan 12, 2014 18   @ Ohio St. W 84-74 39%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +27.2 +18.8 +7.8
  Jan 19, 2014 53   Minnesota W 94-73 77%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +27.6 +20.6 +6.3
  Jan 22, 2014 13   @ Michigan L 67-75 35%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +10.1 +1.3 +8.4
  Jan 25, 2014 116   @ Northwestern W 76-50 77%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +32.4 +16.5 +17.1
  Jan 28, 2014 10   Michigan St. L 69-71 OT 53%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +11.5 +2.4 +9.1
  Feb 01, 2014 59   @ Illinois W 81-74 60%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +18.5 +16.2 +2.3
  Feb 04, 2014 18   Ohio St. L 69-76 60%     17 - 6 6 - 4 +4.6 +6.2 -1.6
  Feb 08, 2014 13   Michigan W 85-67 57%     18 - 6 7 - 4 +30.5 +21.2 +11.0
  Feb 15, 2014 76   @ Penn St. W 82-70 67%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +21.6 +13.5 +8.1
  Feb 22, 2014 12   Wisconsin L 74-79 55%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +7.8 +11.2 -3.8
  Feb 25, 2014 53   @ Minnesota L 89-95 58%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +6.2 +17.8 -11.3
  Feb 27, 2014 58   @ Indiana L 86-93 60%     19 - 9 8 - 7 +4.6 +6.7 -1.0
  Mar 02, 2014 84   Purdue W 83-76 84%     20 - 9 9 - 7 +10.4 +9.2 +0.9
  Mar 06, 2014 10   @ Michigan St. L 76-86 32%     20 - 10 9 - 8 +9.1 +10.4 -1.1
  Mar 08, 2014 59   Illinois L 63-66 78%     20 - 11 9 - 9 +3.0 +6.3 -3.8
  Mar 13, 2014 116   Northwestern L 62-67 84%     20 - 12 -1.4 +5.8 -7.8
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 66.9% 66.9% 10.6 0.0 1.3 4.5 16.9 39.0 5.2 33.1 66.9%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 66.9% 0.0% 66.9% 10.6 0.0 1.3 4.5 16.9 39.0 5.2 33.1 66.9%