Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.3#13
Expected Predictive Rating+17.2#8
Pace60.0#336
Improvement+0.2#170

Offense
Total Offense+12.8#3
Improvement+3.6#30

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#103
Improvement-3.4#320
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.8% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 13.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 63.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round90.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen56.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight28.9% n/a n/a
Final Four13.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.9% n/a n/a
National Champion2.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 318   Umass Lowell W 69-42 99%     1 - 0 +13.8 +0.0 +17.6
  Nov 12, 2013 341   South Carolina St. W 93-59 99%     2 - 0 +16.8 +11.6 +4.5
  Nov 17, 2013 14   @ Iowa St. L 70-77 41%     2 - 1 +10.6 -0.9 +12.1
  Nov 21, 2013 140   Long Beach St. W 85-61 89%     3 - 1 +25.8 +14.9 +11.2
  Nov 22, 2013 43   Florida St. W 82-80 OT 68%     4 - 1 +12.5 +12.2 +0.3
  Nov 24, 2013 179   Charlotte L 61-63 93%     4 - 2 -2.9 -12.3 +9.4
  Nov 29, 2013 295   Coppin St. W 87-45 98%     5 - 2 +30.5 +23.0 +15.1
  Dec 03, 2013 8   @ Duke L 69-79 34%     5 - 3 +9.6 +4.2 +4.9
  Dec 07, 2013 344   Houston Baptist W 107-53 99%     6 - 3 +36.5 +32.1 +6.8
  Dec 14, 2013 2   Arizona L 70-72 42%     6 - 4 +15.3 +18.1 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2013 34   Stanford W 68-65 64%     7 - 4 +14.6 +5.8 +9.0
  Dec 28, 2013 165   Holy Cross W 88-66 94%     8 - 4 +19.3 +20.0 +0.5
  Jan 02, 2014 53   @ Minnesota W 63-60 62%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +15.2 +4.0 +11.6
  Jan 05, 2014 116   Northwestern W 74-51 91%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +23.8 +19.6 +7.7
  Jan 09, 2014 49   @ Nebraska W 71-70 60%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +13.6 +17.3 -3.5
  Jan 14, 2014 76   Penn St. W 80-67 85%     12 - 4 4 - 0 +17.0 +21.1 -2.1
  Jan 18, 2014 12   @ Wisconsin W 77-70 38%     13 - 4 5 - 0 +25.4 +11.8 +13.7
  Jan 22, 2014 20   Iowa W 75-67 65%     14 - 4 6 - 0 +19.4 +7.7 +12.1
  Jan 25, 2014 10   @ Michigan St. W 80-75 36%     15 - 4 7 - 0 +24.1 +22.4 +2.1
  Jan 30, 2014 84   Purdue W 75-66 86%     16 - 4 8 - 0 +12.4 +8.5 +4.4
  Feb 02, 2014 58   @ Indiana L 52-63 64%     16 - 5 8 - 1 +0.6 +1.8 -4.4
  Feb 05, 2014 49   Nebraska W 79-50 78%     17 - 5 9 - 1 +36.0 +18.1 +20.4
  Feb 08, 2014 20   @ Iowa L 67-85 43%     17 - 6 9 - 2 -1.0 +5.2 -7.9
  Feb 11, 2014 18   @ Ohio St. W 70-60 43%     18 - 6 10 - 2 +27.2 +23.5 +5.7
  Feb 16, 2014 12   Wisconsin L 62-75 59%     18 - 7 10 - 3 -0.2 +2.0 -4.1
  Feb 23, 2014 10   Michigan St. W 79-70 57%     19 - 7 11 - 3 +22.5 +21.4 +2.2
  Feb 26, 2014 84   @ Purdue W 77-76 OT 73%     20 - 7 12 - 3 +10.0 +8.2 +1.8
  Mar 01, 2014 53   Minnesota W 66-56 79%     21 - 7 13 - 3 +16.6 +7.1 +11.2
  Mar 04, 2014 59   @ Illinois W 84-53 64%     22 - 7 14 - 3 +42.5 +30.3 +15.9
  Mar 08, 2014 58   Indiana W 84-80 81%     23 - 7 15 - 3 +10.0 +22.6 -12.3
  Mar 14, 2014 59   Illinois W 64-63 73%     24 - 7 +9.8 +12.4 -2.4
  Mar 15, 2014 18   Ohio St. W 72-69 53%     25 - 7 +17.4 +16.6 +1.0
  Mar 16, 2014 10   Michigan St. L 55-69 46%     25 - 8 +2.3 -1.1 +1.0
Projected Record 25.0 - 8.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.3 13.5 50.3 32.5 3.7 0.0 100.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.3 13.5 50.3 32.5 3.7 0.0 100.0%