Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.4#5
Expected Predictive Rating+19.9#4
Pace70.2#114
Improvement-2.3#278

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#15
Improvement+0.3#165

Defense
Total Defense+8.9#11
Improvement-2.6#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 6.9% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 48.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 90.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen67.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight41.0% n/a n/a
Final Four22.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game11.4% n/a n/a
National Champion5.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 253   Lafayette W 75-59 98%     1 - 0 +8.4 -2.8 +12.1
  Nov 13, 2013 211   Mount St. Mary's W 90-59 97%     2 - 0 +25.5 +7.4 +16.8
  Nov 17, 2013 138   Towson W 78-44 95%     3 - 0 +33.2 -0.8 +32.9
  Nov 22, 2013 114   Delaware W 84-80 93%     4 - 0 +4.9 +6.2 -1.5
  Nov 28, 2013 143   USC W 94-79 92%     5 - 0 +16.8 +8.9 +5.5
  Nov 29, 2013 4   Kansas W 63-59 50%     6 - 0 +21.5 -5.5 +26.9
  Nov 30, 2013 20   Iowa W 88-83 OT 62%     7 - 0 +19.2 +1.2 +17.0
  Dec 04, 2013 260   Penn W 77-54 98%     8 - 0 +14.7 -3.9 +17.0
  Dec 07, 2013 57   @ Saint Joseph's W 98-68 70%     9 - 0 +41.9 +24.6 +15.3
  Dec 15, 2013 106   La Salle W 73-52 93%     10 - 0 +22.3 +3.5 +19.0
  Dec 21, 2013 215   Rider W 88-67 97%     11 - 0 +15.2 +7.9 +6.9
  Dec 28, 2013 21   @ Syracuse L 62-78 52%     11 - 1 +1.0 +2.5 -2.6
  Dec 31, 2013 82   @ Butler W 76-73 OT 78%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +12.2 +4.0 +8.0
  Jan 05, 2014 44   Providence W 91-61 82%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +37.6 +21.2 +16.7
  Jan 08, 2014 70   @ Seton Hall W 83-67 76%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +26.0 +17.1 +9.3
  Jan 11, 2014 35   @ St. John's W 74-67 63%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +20.9 +6.3 +14.2
  Jan 18, 2014 154   DePaul W 88-62 95%     16 - 1 5 - 0 +24.1 +22.7 +4.1
  Jan 20, 2014 9   Creighton L 68-96 63%     16 - 2 5 - 1 -14.1 -1.9 -13.1
  Jan 25, 2014 61   @ Marquette W 94-85 OT 72%     17 - 2 6 - 1 +20.4 +21.9 -1.9
  Jan 27, 2014 56   @ Georgetown W 65-60 70%     18 - 2 7 - 1 +17.1 +0.2 +17.1
  Feb 01, 2014 146   @ Temple W 90-74 89%     19 - 2 +20.3 +16.9 +3.6
  Feb 03, 2014 40   Xavier W 81-58 82%     20 - 2 8 - 1 +30.9 +14.9 +17.2
  Feb 07, 2014 70   Seton Hall W 70-53 88%     21 - 2 9 - 1 +21.5 +8.6 +15.1
  Feb 12, 2014 154   @ DePaul W 87-62 90%     22 - 2 10 - 1 +28.7 +15.9 +12.9
  Feb 16, 2014 9   @ Creighton L 80-101 42%     22 - 3 10 - 2 -1.5 +12.4 -14.4
  Feb 18, 2014 44   @ Providence W 82-79 2OT 66%     23 - 3 11 - 2 +16.2 +6.0 +10.0
  Feb 22, 2014 35   St. John's W 57-54 81%     24 - 3 12 - 2 +11.3 -5.7 +17.2
  Feb 26, 2014 82   Butler W 67-48 90%     25 - 3 13 - 2 +22.6 +10.9 +15.4
  Mar 02, 2014 61   Marquette W 73-56 86%     26 - 3 14 - 2 +22.8 +5.6 +17.8
  Mar 06, 2014 40   @ Xavier W 77-70 65%     27 - 3 15 - 2 +20.5 +10.1 +10.4
  Mar 08, 2014 56   Georgetown W 77-59 85%     28 - 3 16 - 2 +24.5 +11.0 +14.5
  Mar 13, 2014 70   Seton Hall L 63-64 83%     28 - 4 +6.2 -3.9 +10.1
Projected Record 28.0 - 4.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.6 48.6 42.2 8.2 0.9 100.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.6 48.6 42.2 8.2 0.9 100.0%