Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#40
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#38
Pace66.6#207
Improvement-2.9#296

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#31
Improvement+0.8#135

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#67
Improvement-3.7#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 84.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 84.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.6% n/a n/a
First Round81.3% n/a n/a
Second Round35.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 261   Gardner-Webb W 83-59 95%     1 - 0 +15.7 +4.9 +9.8
  Nov 12, 2013 16   Tennessee W 67-63 46%     2 - 0 +15.7 +4.9 +11.0
  Nov 15, 2013 184   Morehead St. W 79-56 91%     3 - 0 +19.0 +1.2 +16.7
  Nov 20, 2013 208   Miami (OH) W 77-51 92%     4 - 0 +20.7 +15.9 +8.7
  Nov 25, 2013 346   Abilene Christian W 93-65 99%     5 - 0 +9.3 +14.6 -4.0
  Nov 28, 2013 20   Iowa L 74-77 OT 36%     5 - 1 +11.2 -2.8 +14.3
  Nov 29, 2013 16   Tennessee L 49-64 36%     5 - 2 -0.5 -8.1 +5.1
  Nov 30, 2013 143   USC L 78-84 80%     5 - 3 -4.2 -4.5 +1.2
  Dec 07, 2013 201   Bowling Green W 85-73 OT 92%     6 - 3 +7.0 +7.3 -1.7
  Dec 10, 2013 204   Evansville W 63-60 92%     7 - 3 -2.2 -11.0 +8.9
  Dec 14, 2013 26   Cincinnati W 64-47 40%     8 - 3 +30.3 +13.1 +20.3
  Dec 21, 2013 86   @ Alabama W 77-74 57%     9 - 3 +12.0 +14.8 -2.6
  Dec 28, 2013 104   Wake Forest W 68-53 81%     10 - 3 +16.3 -3.5 +19.8
  Dec 31, 2013 35   St. John's W 70-60 59%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +18.3 +8.9 +10.1
  Jan 04, 2014 82   Butler W 79-68 75%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +14.6 +11.5 +3.3
  Jan 09, 2014 61   Marquette W 86-79 68%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +12.8 +19.5 -6.4
  Jan 12, 2014 9   @ Creighton L 89-95 20%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +13.5 +9.5 +4.7
  Jan 15, 2014 56   Georgetown W 80-67 66%     14 - 4 4 - 1 +19.5 +17.1 +3.6
  Jan 20, 2014 154   @ DePaul W 84-74 75%     15 - 4 5 - 1 +13.7 +4.7 +8.1
  Jan 25, 2014 44   @ Providence L 72-81 40%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +4.2 +7.0 -3.1
  Feb 01, 2014 70   Seton Hall L 60-68 73%     15 - 6 5 - 3 -3.5 -4.2 -0.1
  Feb 03, 2014 5   @ Villanova L 58-81 18%     15 - 7 5 - 4 -2.8 -1.6 -2.4
  Feb 08, 2014 44   Providence W 59-53 62%     16 - 7 6 - 4 +13.6 -0.8 +15.5
  Feb 11, 2014 82   @ Butler W 64-50 56%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +23.2 +12.7 +13.8
  Feb 15, 2014 61   @ Marquette L 72-81 47%     17 - 8 7 - 5 +2.4 +14.3 -13.1
  Feb 19, 2014 154   DePaul W 83-64 88%     18 - 8 8 - 5 +17.1 +9.7 +7.7
  Feb 22, 2014 56   @ Georgetown L 52-74 45%     18 - 9 8 - 6 -9.9 -1.2 -14.8
  Feb 25, 2014 35   @ St. John's W 65-53 38%     19 - 9 9 - 6 +25.9 +2.8 +23.3
  Mar 01, 2014 9   Creighton W 75-69 38%     20 - 9 10 - 6 +19.9 +5.0 +15.1
  Mar 03, 2014 70   @ Seton Hall L 62-71 53%     20 - 10 10 - 7 +1.0 -5.1 +6.1
  Mar 06, 2014 5   Villanova L 70-77 35%     20 - 11 10 - 8 +7.7 +5.1 +2.5
  Mar 13, 2014 61   Marquette W 68-65 58%     21 - 11 +11.6 +7.3 +4.7
  Mar 14, 2014 9   Creighton L 78-86 28%     21 - 12 +8.7 +15.0 -7.1
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 84.2% 84.2% 9.9 0.0 0.4 6.2 18.7 35.8 22.7 0.4 15.8 84.2%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 84.2% 0.0% 84.2% 9.9 0.0 0.4 6.2 18.7 35.8 22.7 0.4 15.8 84.2%