Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.1#78
Expected Predictive Rating+8.2#58
Pace70.1#85
Improvement+2.5#70

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#78
Improvement+2.1#74

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#78
Improvement+0.4#170
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.4% n/a n/a
First Round0.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 197   Houston L 74-77 84%     0 - 1 -7.7 -2.3 -2.3
  Nov 18, 2014 150   @ Middle Tennessee W 68-49 59%     1 - 1 +22.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Nov 24, 2014 24   @ Xavier L 62-89 19%     1 - 2 -11.6 +7.7 +7.7
  Nov 28, 2014 119   Portland L 61-64 62%     1 - 3 +0.1 +1.5 +1.5
  Nov 29, 2014 75   Valparaiso L 58-93 49%     1 - 4 -28.6 +3.2 +3.2
  Nov 30, 2014 245   Drake W 68-59 85%     2 - 4 +4.3 -2.4 -2.4
  Dec 06, 2014 144   Western Kentucky W 93-81 77%     3 - 4 +10.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Dec 13, 2014 133   @ Evansville W 81-79 55%     4 - 4 +7.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Dec 17, 2014 347   Alcorn St. W 94-56 98%     5 - 4 +18.6 -9.7 -9.7
  Dec 20, 2014 72   Illinois St. W 89-77 60%     6 - 4 +15.7 +1.8 +1.8
  Dec 22, 2014 226   @ Southern Illinois W 83-71 74%     7 - 4 +11.6 -0.2 -0.2
  Dec 30, 2014 334   Alabama A&M W 76-39 97%     8 - 4 +21.3 -7.8 -7.8
  Jan 03, 2015 153   @ Morehead St. W 66-57 60%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +12.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 08, 2015 250   @ Tennessee Tech W 83-67 78%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +13.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 11, 2015 310   @ Jacksonville St. W 84-57 87%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +20.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Jan 15, 2015 149   Belmont W 92-77 77%     12 - 4 4 - 0 +13.4 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 17, 2015 331   Tennessee St. W 91-72 97%     13 - 4 5 - 0 +3.9 -7.6 -7.6
  Jan 22, 2015 233   @ Eastern Illinois W 77-62 75%     14 - 4 6 - 0 +14.1 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 24, 2015 251   @ SIU Edwardsville W 60-54 78%     15 - 4 7 - 0 +3.9 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 29, 2015 146   Eastern Kentucky W 85-78 OT 77%     16 - 4 8 - 0 +5.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Jan 31, 2015 187   Tennessee Martin W 65-62 84%     17 - 4 9 - 0 -1.3 -2.1 -2.1
  Feb 05, 2015 235   Southeast Missouri St. W 82-72 88%     18 - 4 10 - 0 +3.2 -3.4 -3.4
  Feb 07, 2015 317   @ Austin Peay W 82-72 89%     19 - 4 11 - 0 +3.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Feb 12, 2015 251   SIU Edwardsville W 78-46 90%     20 - 4 12 - 0 +24.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Feb 14, 2015 235   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 94-92 OT 75%     21 - 4 13 - 0 +1.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Feb 21, 2015 317   Austin Peay W 89-54 95%     22 - 4 14 - 0 +22.2 -6.4 -6.4
  Feb 26, 2015 233   Eastern Illinois W 65-57 88%     23 - 4 15 - 0 +1.3 -3.3 -3.3
  Feb 28, 2015 187   @ Tennessee Martin W 73-67 67%     24 - 4 16 - 0 +7.5 +0.7 +0.7
  Mar 06, 2015 153   Morehead St. W 80-77 70%     25 - 4 +3.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Mar 07, 2015 149   Belmont L 87-88 68%     25 - 5 +0.3 +0.6 +0.6
Projected Record 25.0 - 5.0 16.0 - 0.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 100.0% 1.4% 1.4% 11.8 0.3 1.1 0.0 98.6 1.4%
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.4% 0.0% 1.4% 11.8 0.3 1.1 0.0 98.6 1.4%