Pre-tourney Rankings
Big South
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
125 UNC Asheville 100.0%   15   20 - 11 12 - 6 20 - 11 12 - 6 +2.7      -2.2 224 +4.9 53 76.6 55 +1.2 148 -1.3 4
149 High Point 0.0%   18 - 10 13 - 5 18 - 10 13 - 5 +1.0      +3.9 83 -3.0 256 65.9 280 +0.9 152 +0.6 2
154 Winthrop 0.0%   20 - 9 13 - 5 20 - 9 13 - 5 +0.8      +2.6 104 -1.8 220 80.2 17 +1.8 141 +1.4 1
166 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   15 - 11 12 - 6 15 - 11 12 - 6 -0.4      -0.8 192 +0.4 165 67.1 249 -0.8 174 -0.1 3
227 Radford 0.0%   14 - 15 9 - 9 14 - 15 9 - 9 -3.9      -1.2 197 -2.7 244 66.7 262 -2.3 201 -4.0 7
233 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   14 - 16 10 - 8 14 - 16 10 - 8 -4.3      -3.0 245 -1.3 203 72.8 105 -3.6 219 -3.8 6
280 Liberty 0.0%   10 - 19 10 - 8 10 - 19 10 - 8 -7.6      -3.3 253 -4.3 290 59.9 344 -6.7 267 -2.6 5
291 Longwood 0.0%   7 - 23 5 - 13 7 - 23 5 - 13 -8.6      -3.0 246 -5.6 313 72.6 108 -10.9 313 -10.0 9
296 Campbell 0.0%   9 - 18 5 - 13 9 - 18 5 - 13 -8.9      -2.9 241 -6.0 318 69.7 184 -9.4 296 -10.1 10
299 Charleston Southern 0.0%   6 - 21 5 - 13 6 - 21 5 - 13 -9.0      -4.2 284 -4.8 298 70.4 163 -10.1 308 -10.0 8
318 Presbyterian 0.0%   8 - 20 5 - 13 8 - 20 5 - 13 -10.8      -7.5 326 -3.3 262 68.9 203 -9.6 301 -10.2 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
UNC Asheville 3.0 100.0
High Point 1.0 100.0
Winthrop 1.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 3.0 100.0
Radford 7.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 5.0 100.0
Liberty 5.0 100.0
Longwood 8.0 100.0
Campbell 8.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 8.0 100.0
Presbyterian 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
UNC Asheville 12 - 6 100.0
High Point 13 - 5 100.0
Winthrop 13 - 5 100.0
Coastal Carolina 12 - 6 100.0
Radford 9 - 9 100.0
Gardner-Webb 10 - 8 100.0
Liberty 10 - 8 100.0
Longwood 5 - 13 100.0
Campbell 5 - 13 100.0
Charleston Southern 5 - 13 100.0
Presbyterian 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UNC Asheville
High Point 100.0% 100.0
Winthrop 100.0% 100.0
Coastal Carolina
Radford
Gardner-Webb
Liberty
Longwood
Campbell
Charleston Southern
Presbyterian


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UNC Asheville 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 5.2 94.3 0.5
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UNC Asheville 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 6.0% 0.1 94.0 6.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0