Pre-tourney Rankings
Ivy League
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
60 Yale 100.0%   13   21 - 6 13 - 1 21 - 6 13 - 1 +9.0      +2.7 102 +6.3 35 66.4 271 +8.7 68 +14.2 1
76 Princeton 1.4%   21 - 6 12 - 2 21 - 6 12 - 2 +7.5      +5.9 47 +1.6 128 70.2 170 +8.5 72 +10.1 2
123 Columbia 0.0%   19 - 10 10 - 4 19 - 10 10 - 4 +2.8      +5.1 57 -2.3 229 63.4 328 +3.1 122 +5.3 3
172 Harvard 0.0%   12 - 16 6 - 8 12 - 16 6 - 8 -0.7      -3.4 261 +2.8 103 66.2 274 -2.2 197 -2.8 4
229 Dartmouth 0.0%   9 - 18 4 - 10 9 - 18 4 - 10 -4.0      -3.4 255 -0.6 187 68.0 231 -7.4 279 -6.5 6
245 Penn 0.0%   10 - 17 5 - 9 10 - 17 5 - 9 -4.8      -3.1 248 -1.7 215 69.6 187 -6.0 254 -4.1 5
266 Brown 0.0%   7 - 20 3 - 11 7 - 20 3 - 11 -6.5      -1.4 202 -5.1 307 74.8 71 -10.1 307 -8.5 8
275 Cornell 0.0%   9 - 18 3 - 11 9 - 18 3 - 11 -7.4      -4.0 281 -3.3 261 77.8 34 -5.2 243 -8.3 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.0 100.0
Princeton 2.0 100.0
Columbia 3.0 100.0
Harvard 4.0 100.0
Dartmouth 6.0 100.0
Penn 5.0 100.0
Brown 7.0 100.0
Cornell 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 13 - 1 100.0
Princeton 12 - 2 100.0
Columbia 10 - 4 100.0
Harvard 6 - 8 100.0
Dartmouth 4 - 10 100.0
Penn 5 - 9 100.0
Brown 3 - 11 100.0
Cornell 3 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 100.0% 100.0
Princeton
Columbia
Harvard
Dartmouth
Penn
Brown
Cornell


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 5.9 20.9 56.7 16.4 0.0
Princeton 1.4% 0.0% 1.4% 0.9 0.5 0.0 98.6 1.4%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 25.7% 8.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Princeton 1.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 98.6 1.4
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.4 0.6
2nd Round 25.8% 0.3 74.2 25.8 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 8.5% 0.1 91.5 8.5 0.0
Elite Eight 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0