Pre-tourney Rankings
Yale
Ivy League
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.0#60
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#68
Pace66.4#271
Improvement+3.9#36

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#102
First Shot-0.4#190
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#16
Layup/Dunks-1.7#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#87
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#231
Freethrows+1.5#75
Improvement+2.3#73

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#35
First Shot+5.0#43
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#56
Layups/Dunks+1.6#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#5
Freethrows+0.9#103
Improvement+1.6#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round25.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 189   Fairfield W 70-57 84%     1 - 0 +11.4 -0.7 +12.7
  Nov 16, 2015 298   Sacred Heart W 99-77 96%     2 - 0 +10.2 +12.4 -3.7
  Nov 19, 2015 193   @ Lehigh W 79-67 78%     3 - 0 +12.9 +5.5 +7.3
  Nov 22, 2015 19   @ SMU L 69-71 20%     3 - 1 +16.1 +5.6 +10.4
  Nov 25, 2015 17   @ Duke L 61-80 18%     3 - 2 -0.4 -4.2 +3.1
  Nov 29, 2015 131   @ Albany L 54-88 64%     3 - 3 -28.7 -15.9 -12.8
  Dec 02, 2015 343   Bryant W 79-40 98%     4 - 3 +21.6 +0.2 +22.5
  Dec 05, 2015 152   Vermont W 72-54 85%     5 - 3 +15.9 -2.7 +18.8
  Dec 09, 2015 109   @ Illinois L 65-69 58%     5 - 4 +2.8 -5.6 +8.5
  Dec 13, 2015 41   @ USC L 56-68 32%     5 - 5 +1.8 -5.7 +6.3
  Dec 30, 2015 351   @ Central Connecticut St. W 62-42 98%     6 - 5 +5.1 -15.2 +21.5
  Jan 02, 2016 320   @ Hartford W 88-53 94%     7 - 5 +26.8 +6.8 +19.2
  Jan 06, 2016 223   NJIT W 83-65 92%     8 - 5 +11.5 +13.1 -0.3
  Jan 16, 2016 266   Brown W 77-68 95%     9 - 5 1 - 0 -0.4 -8.0 +7.0
  Jan 22, 2016 266   @ Brown W 90-66 88%     10 - 5 2 - 0 +20.5 +10.9 +8.9
  Jan 29, 2016 245   Penn W 81-58 93%     11 - 5 3 - 0 +15.3 +13.6 +4.1
  Jan 30, 2016 76   Princeton W 79-75 67%     12 - 5 4 - 0 +8.6 +1.9 +6.5
  Feb 05, 2016 123   Columbia W 86-72 81%     13 - 5 5 - 0 +13.9 +10.0 +4.0
  Feb 06, 2016 275   Cornell W 83-52 95%     14 - 5 6 - 0 +20.7 +11.6 +11.4
  Feb 12, 2016 229   @ Dartmouth W 75-65 83%     15 - 5 7 - 0 +8.9 +3.8 +5.2
  Feb 13, 2016 172   @ Harvard W 67-55 74%     16 - 5 8 - 0 +14.2 +4.7 +10.7
  Feb 19, 2016 76   @ Princeton L 63-75 45%     16 - 6 8 - 1 -1.6 -9.9 +8.9
  Feb 20, 2016 245   @ Penn W 79-58 85%     17 - 6 9 - 1 +19.1 +10.3 +9.9
  Feb 26, 2016 172   Harvard W 59-50 88%     18 - 6 10 - 1 +5.4 -4.3 +11.0
  Feb 27, 2016 229   Dartmouth W 76-71 OT 92%     19 - 6 11 - 1 -1.9 -1.1 -1.0
  Mar 04, 2016 275   @ Cornell W 88-64 89%     20 - 6 12 - 1 +19.5 +12.3 +7.0
  Mar 05, 2016 123   @ Columbia W 71-55 63%     21 - 6 13 - 1 +21.7 +5.7 +17.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 6.0 13.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.8 0.0 5.9 20.9 56.7 16.4 0.0
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 5.9 20.9 56.7 16.4 0.0