Pre-tourney Rankings
Evansville
Missouri Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.0#78
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#86
Pace71.1#147
Improvement-1.9#268

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#109
First Shot+4.4#61
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#306
Layup/Dunks+6.2#5
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#338
Freethrows+3.2#13
Improvement-4.2#329

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#59
First Shot+3.8#63
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#93
Layups/Dunks+0.4#162
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#74
Freethrows+1.4#80
Improvement+2.3#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2015 338   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-65 98%     1 - 0 -1.6 -5.2 +2.5
  Nov 21, 2015 138   Belmont W 93-88 78%     2 - 0 +4.0 +4.3 -0.9
  Nov 26, 2015 51   Providence L 64-74 38%     2 - 1 +0.0 -1.9 +1.9
  Nov 27, 2015 232   Santa Clara W 69-57 85%     3 - 1 +7.7 -3.5 +11.7
  Nov 29, 2015 98   UC Irvine W 75-56 55%     4 - 1 +24.6 +8.3 +16.7
  Dec 01, 2015 295   Alabama St. W 88-56 95%     5 - 1 +20.2 +7.4 +12.0
  Dec 05, 2015 174   @ Murray St. W 85-81 OT 68%     6 - 1 +6.2 +2.6 +3.2
  Dec 08, 2015 66   @ Arkansas L 76-89 34%     6 - 2 -1.9 +5.5 -6.8
  Dec 12, 2015 341   Mississippi Valley W 95-60 98%     7 - 2 +17.7 +2.1 +10.4
  Dec 17, 2015 241   Norfolk St. W 84-70 91%     8 - 2 +6.4 +12.1 -4.5
  Dec 20, 2015 102   @ Fresno St. W 85-77 46%     9 - 2 +16.0 +9.4 +5.9
  Dec 22, 2015 315   Alabama A&M W 91-70 96%     10 - 2 +7.7 +2.6 +3.4
  Dec 30, 2015 165   Indiana St. W 70-62 83%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +4.7 -5.2 +9.3
  Jan 02, 2016 221   @ Missouri St. W 76-59 77%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +16.4 +3.1 +12.9
  Jan 06, 2016 24   @ Wichita St. L 64-67 16%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +14.5 +10.5 +3.6
  Jan 09, 2016 314   Bradley W 67-35 96%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +18.8 +0.1 +21.5
  Jan 12, 2016 254   Drake W 84-65 92%     14 - 3 4 - 1 +10.6 +4.0 +6.5
  Jan 15, 2016 121   @ Illinois St. W 66-55 54%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +16.9 -3.1 +19.7
  Jan 19, 2016 175   Loyola Chicago W 74-66 84%     16 - 3 6 - 1 +4.3 +4.7 +0.0
  Jan 24, 2016 165   @ Indiana St. L 65-82 67%     16 - 4 6 - 2 -14.5 -1.1 -13.8
  Jan 28, 2016 135   @ Southern Illinois W 85-78 OT 58%     17 - 4 7 - 2 +11.9 +7.5 +3.9
  Jan 31, 2016 24   Wichita St. L 65-78 33%     17 - 5 7 - 3 -1.4 -5.6 +5.7
  Feb 03, 2016 80   @ Northern Iowa L 54-57 39%     17 - 6 7 - 4 +6.9 -5.8 +12.3
  Feb 06, 2016 221   Missouri St. W 83-64 89%     18 - 6 8 - 4 +12.5 +4.7 +6.9
  Feb 11, 2016 121   Illinois St. L 60-70 75%     18 - 7 8 - 5 -10.0 -11.5 +1.7
  Feb 14, 2016 175   @ Loyola Chicago W 74-73 68%     19 - 7 9 - 5 +3.2 +5.8 -2.6
  Feb 17, 2016 254   @ Drake W 80-74 82%     20 - 7 10 - 5 +3.4 +8.1 -4.4
  Feb 20, 2016 135   Southern Illinois W 83-71 77%     21 - 7 11 - 5 +11.1 +4.0 +6.3
  Feb 23, 2016 314   @ Bradley W 67-55 90%     22 - 7 12 - 5 +4.7 -3.8 +8.3
  Feb 27, 2016 80   Northern Iowa L 52-54 61%     22 - 8 12 - 6 +2.1 -9.8 +11.6
  Mar 04, 2016 221   Missouri St. W 66-56 84%     23 - 8 +6.5 -2.9 +9.9
  Mar 05, 2016 165   Indiana St. W 68-42 76%     24 - 8 +25.6 +6.6 +21.8
  Mar 06, 2016 80   Northern Iowa L 54-56 50%     24 - 9 +5.0 -3.1 +7.7
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%