Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#51
Expected Predictive Rating+13.4#25
Pace71.4#139
Improvement+0.0#176

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#94
First Shot+2.4#104
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#119
Layup/Dunks+2.5#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows+1.8#64
Improvement-0.4#200

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#27
First Shot+7.0#15
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#197
Layups/Dunks+2.1#91
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#50
Freethrows+3.7#12
Improvement+0.4#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 2.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.2% n/a n/a
Second Round44.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 172   Harvard W 76-64 89%     1 - 0 +8.4 +2.8 +5.3
  Nov 18, 2015 109   Illinois W 60-59 80%     2 - 0 +2.0 -4.6 +6.7
  Nov 21, 2015 266   Brown W 94-73 95%     3 - 0 +11.6 +10.9 -0.1
  Nov 23, 2015 223   NJIT W 83-76 93%     4 - 0 +0.5 -1.3 +1.1
  Nov 26, 2015 78   Evansville W 74-64 62%     5 - 0 +17.0 +5.8 +11.2
  Nov 27, 2015 12   Arizona W 69-65 27%     6 - 0 +20.4 +5.4 +15.1
  Nov 29, 2015 2   Michigan St. L 64-77 17%     6 - 1 +7.3 +0.8 +6.1
  Dec 02, 2015 320   Hartford W 89-66 98%     7 - 1 +9.0 +3.1 +4.9
  Dec 05, 2015 90   @ Rhode Island W 74-72 53%     8 - 1 +11.2 +13.1 -1.7
  Dec 09, 2015 206   Boston College W 66-51 92%     9 - 1 +9.2 -5.0 +14.3
  Dec 12, 2015 343   Bryant W 74-67 99%     10 - 1 -10.4 -9.3 -1.3
  Dec 19, 2015 214   Rider W 73-65 93%     11 - 1 +1.8 -6.5 +7.6
  Dec 21, 2015 162   @ Massachusetts W 90-66 75%     12 - 1 +26.9 +17.0 +9.1
  Dec 31, 2015 31   @ Butler W 81-73 30%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +23.3 +13.0 +10.3
  Jan 02, 2016 209   St. John's W 83-65 92%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +11.9 +3.7 +6.7
  Jan 05, 2016 93   Marquette L 64-65 75%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +2.0 -9.6 +11.7
  Jan 12, 2016 43   @ Creighton W 50-48 36%     15 - 2 3 - 1 +15.6 -15.0 +30.7
  Jan 16, 2016 28   Seton Hall L 72-81 48%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +1.4 -3.3 +5.9
  Jan 19, 2016 31   Butler W 71-68 52%     16 - 3 4 - 2 +12.5 +4.0 +8.6
  Jan 24, 2016 5   @ Villanova W 82-76 OT 14%     17 - 3 5 - 2 +27.8 +11.9 +15.3
  Jan 26, 2016 15   Xavier L 68-75 39%     17 - 4 5 - 3 +5.9 -4.3 +10.7
  Jan 30, 2016 70   @ Georgetown W 73-69 46%     18 - 4 6 - 3 +14.9 -0.8 +15.4
  Feb 02, 2016 170   @ DePaul L 70-77 77%     18 - 5 6 - 4 -4.7 -3.4 -1.2
  Feb 06, 2016 5   Villanova L 60-72 28%     18 - 6 6 - 5 +4.0 -8.5 +13.0
  Feb 10, 2016 93   @ Marquette L 91-96 2OT 55%     18 - 7 6 - 6 +3.8 +0.8 +4.2
  Feb 13, 2016 70   Georgetown W 75-72 68%     19 - 7 7 - 6 +8.1 +6.9 +1.3
  Feb 17, 2016 15   @ Xavier L 74-85 20%     19 - 8 7 - 7 +7.7 -1.6 +11.0
  Feb 25, 2016 28   @ Seton Hall L 52-70 27%     19 - 9 7 - 8 -1.7 -11.0 +9.3
  Feb 27, 2016 170   DePaul W 87-66 89%     20 - 9 8 - 8 +17.5 +12.2 +5.3
  Mar 02, 2016 43   Creighton W 70-66 58%     21 - 9 9 - 8 +11.8 +1.0 +10.8
  Mar 05, 2016 209   @ St. John's W 90-76 83%     22 - 9 10 - 8 +13.8 +15.5 -2.6
  Mar 10, 2016 31   Butler W 74-60 41%     23 - 9 +26.4 +16.3 +12.3
  Mar 11, 2016 5   Villanova L 68-76 20%     23 - 10 +10.9 +6.9 +3.6
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 98.2% 98.2% 7.8 0.0 2.5 34.1 40.8 18.4 2.5 0.1 1.8 98.2%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 98.2% 0.0% 98.2% 7.8 0.0 2.5 34.1 40.8 18.4 2.5 0.1 1.8 98.2%