Pre-tourney Rankings
Nevada
Mountain West
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#141
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#118
Pace76.9#53
Improvement-1.0#228

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#283
First Shot-4.4#299
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#155
Layup/Dunks-1.3#238
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.7#347
Freethrows+1.6#70
Improvement-3.7#319

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#37
First Shot+6.6#20
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#244
Layups/Dunks+1.9#100
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#33
Freethrows-0.4#197
Improvement+2.7#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 166   Coastal Carolina W 73-56 58%     1 - 0 +16.6 -1.8 +17.8
  Nov 15, 2015 252   Montana St. W 83-62 76%     2 - 0 +15.5 +3.7 +11.8
  Nov 17, 2015 68   @ Hawaii L 75-76 19%     2 - 1 +10.1 +0.1 +10.1
  Nov 21, 2015 218   @ Pacific W 85-82 2OT 59%     3 - 1 +2.4 +0.5 +1.4
  Nov 25, 2015 259   Portland St. W 76-73 84%     4 - 1 -6.0 -8.4 +2.1
  Nov 28, 2015 268   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 66-75 70%     4 - 2 -12.6 -15.0 +3.2
  Dec 05, 2015 57   @ Oregon St. L 62-66 16%     4 - 3 +8.3 -5.9 +14.3
  Dec 12, 2015 254   Drake W 79-71 83%     5 - 3 -0.4 +1.4 -1.6
  Dec 18, 2015 232   Santa Clara W 72-69 80%     6 - 3 -4.2 -5.6 +1.4
  Dec 22, 2015 24   @ Wichita St. L 69-98 8%     6 - 4 -11.5 +0.3 -8.5
  Dec 30, 2015 116   @ New Mexico L 76-88 34%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -5.9 -5.3 +1.0
  Jan 02, 2016 164   Wyoming W 71-68 69%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -0.2 -6.7 +6.4
  Jan 06, 2016 102   @ Fresno St. L 63-85 27%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -14.0 -8.9 -3.9
  Jan 09, 2016 237   @ Air Force W 86-63 63%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +21.3 +6.2 +13.1
  Jan 13, 2016 94   Boise St. L 67-74 45%     8 - 7 2 - 3 -4.1 -8.1 +4.5
  Jan 20, 2016 164   @ Wyoming W 75-69 47%     9 - 7 3 - 3 +8.6 -4.2 +12.4
  Jan 23, 2016 115   UNLV W 65-63 55%     10 - 7 4 - 3 +2.5 -8.5 +10.8
  Jan 26, 2016 53   San Diego St. L 54-57 31%     10 - 8 4 - 4 +3.8 -8.0 +11.7
  Jan 30, 2016 133   @ Utah St. W 89-84 37%     11 - 8 5 - 4 +10.2 +12.6 -2.6
  Feb 06, 2016 142   @ Colorado St. L 67-76 40%     11 - 9 5 - 5 -4.7 -14.6 +10.8
  Feb 10, 2016 237   Air Force W 72-52 81%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +12.5 +2.6 +11.4
  Feb 13, 2016 102   Fresno St. W 77-72 OT 48%     13 - 9 7 - 5 +7.2 -1.8 +8.5
  Feb 17, 2016 248   @ San Jose St. W 61-55 65%     14 - 9 8 - 5 +3.9 -13.2 +16.8
  Feb 20, 2016 115   @ UNLV L 91-102 OT 33%     14 - 10 8 - 6 -4.7 -2.5 +1.0
  Feb 24, 2016 133   Utah St. W 73-68 59%     15 - 10 9 - 6 +4.3 -3.7 +8.0
  Feb 28, 2016 142   Colorado St. W 87-80 OT 63%     16 - 10 10 - 6 +5.5 -8.7 +12.7
  Mar 02, 2016 94   @ Boise St. L 57-76 25%     16 - 11 10 - 7 -10.2 -14.0 +4.7
  Mar 05, 2016 116   New Mexico L 66-71 56%     16 - 12 10 - 8 -4.7 -11.1 +6.6
  Mar 10, 2016 116   New Mexico W 64-62 44%     17 - 12 +5.2 -5.6 +10.8
  Mar 11, 2016 53   San Diego St. L 55-67 22%     17 - 13 -2.2 -10.3 +8.6
Projected Record 17.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%