Pre-tourney Rankings
Pacific
West Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#218
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#271
Pace66.5#266
Improvement+2.4#79

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#238
First Shot-1.9#235
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#238
Layup/Dunks-0.8#220
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#194
Freethrows-0.4#207
Improvement-2.5#291

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#191
First Shot-1.6#216
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#102
Layups/Dunks+3.4#40
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#238
Freethrows-4.7#348
Improvement+4.8#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 12   @ Arizona L 61-79 3%     0 - 1 +1.3 -7.2 +9.4
  Nov 17, 2015 268   Cal St. Fullerton L 76-77 72%     0 - 2 -10.4 -4.8 -5.6
  Nov 21, 2015 141   Nevada L 82-85 2OT 41%     0 - 3 -4.2 +1.8 -5.5
  Nov 28, 2015 205   Eastern Washington L 63-70 47%     0 - 4 -9.9 -13.6 +3.4
  Nov 29, 2015 278   @ Sacramento St. L 71-79 54%     0 - 5 -12.6 -4.7 -7.7
  Dec 04, 2015 98   UC Irvine L 67-70 28%     0 - 6 -0.3 +1.7 -2.2
  Dec 12, 2015 102   @ Fresno St. L 52-71 14%     0 - 7 -11.0 -15.6 +4.3
  Dec 15, 2015 122   @ Green Bay L 88-93 19%     0 - 8 +0.8 +4.9 -3.4
  Dec 21, 2015 232   Santa Clara W 73-72 OT 64%     1 - 8 1 - 0 -6.2 -1.1 -5.1
  Dec 23, 2015 202   @ San Francisco L 76-89 35%     1 - 9 1 - 1 -12.7 +1.6 -14.5
  Dec 31, 2015 263   San Diego W 77-75 71%     2 - 9 2 - 1 -7.2 +0.6 -7.9
  Jan 02, 2016 50   BYU L 67-81 15%     2 - 10 2 - 2 -6.6 +0.2 -7.3
  Jan 07, 2016 129   @ Pepperdine L 76-81 20%     2 - 11 2 - 3 +0.3 +3.1 -2.6
  Jan 09, 2016 208   @ Loyola Marymount W 60-58 37%     3 - 11 3 - 3 +1.8 -9.2 +11.2
  Jan 14, 2016 39   @ St. Mary's L 62-78 6%     3 - 12 3 - 4 -2.1 +1.1 -5.4
  Jan 21, 2016 203   Portland W 70-61 58%     4 - 12 4 - 4 +3.3 -5.3 +8.9
  Jan 23, 2016 27   Gonzaga L 61-71 10%     4 - 13 4 - 5 +0.6 -8.2 +8.8
  Jan 30, 2016 39   St. Mary's L 65-68 14%     4 - 14 4 - 6 +5.0 -2.7 +7.6
  Feb 04, 2016 263   @ San Diego L 43-54 49%     4 - 15 4 - 7 -14.4 -21.1 +5.2
  Feb 06, 2016 50   @ BYU W 77-72 7%     5 - 15 5 - 7 +18.3 +5.7 +12.3
  Feb 11, 2016 208   Loyola Marymount L 72-77 60%     5 - 16 5 - 8 -11.0 +1.4 -12.8
  Feb 13, 2016 129   Pepperdine L 63-65 OT 38%     5 - 17 5 - 9 -2.5 -14.9 +12.6
  Feb 18, 2016 27   @ Gonzaga L 68-90 4%     5 - 18 5 - 10 -5.6 +1.1 -6.5
  Feb 20, 2016 203   @ Portland L 67-80 36%     5 - 19 5 - 11 -12.9 -12.6 +0.7
  Feb 25, 2016 202   San Francisco W 79-70 58%     6 - 19 6 - 11 +3.5 +1.3 +2.3
  Feb 27, 2016 232   @ Santa Clara L 65-69 42%     6 - 20 6 - 12 -5.4 -5.3 -0.3
Projected Record 6.0 - 20.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%