Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.6#112
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#135
Pace64.5#304
Improvement+1.4#123

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#200
First Shot-3.0#266
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#61
Layup/Dunks+0.2#154
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#336
Freethrows-1.1#252
Improvement-1.6#259

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#51
First Shot+4.6#50
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#135
Layups/Dunks+3.8#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#128
Freethrows+2.7#40
Improvement+3.0#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 284   Houston Baptist W 91-69 91%     1 - 0 +11.1 +3.8 +5.6
  Nov 15, 2015 116   New Mexico L 74-83 63%     1 - 1 -8.7 +0.8 -9.6
  Nov 18, 2015 197   Tennessee Tech W 76-63 80%     2 - 1 +7.9 -5.5 +13.0
  Nov 21, 2015 341   Mississippi Valley W 85-46 96%     3 - 1 +21.7 +4.1 +16.7
  Nov 24, 2015 306   Robert Morris W 81-71 OT 92%     4 - 1 -2.4 +4.1 -6.8
  Nov 28, 2015 237   @ Air Force L 64-66 OT 70%     4 - 2 -3.7 -9.4 +5.7
  Dec 02, 2015 222   UTEP W 73-59 83%     5 - 2 +7.5 -4.8 +12.1
  Dec 05, 2015 108   @ Long Beach St. L 53-67 37%     5 - 3 -6.8 -12.7 +5.0
  Dec 13, 2015 164   Wyoming L 59-62 75%     5 - 4 -6.2 -14.0 +7.6
  Dec 16, 2015 116   @ New Mexico L 61-79 40%     5 - 5 -11.9 -13.0 +2.0
  Dec 19, 2015 222   @ UTEP W 73-53 66%     6 - 5 +19.4 +4.5 +16.3
  Dec 21, 2015 183   Oral Roberts W 76-61 77%     7 - 5 +10.8 +4.9 +7.1
  Dec 23, 2015 20   @ Baylor L 70-85 10%     7 - 6 +2.8 +0.0 +3.6
  Jan 02, 2016 98   @ UC Irvine L 52-54 32%     7 - 7 +6.5 -7.1 +13.3
  Jan 07, 2016 282   @ Utah Valley W 78-66 79%     8 - 7 1 - 0 +7.0 +1.5 +5.4
  Jan 09, 2016 134   @ Grand Canyon L 75-79 44%     8 - 8 1 - 1 +1.1 +11.1 -10.4
  Jan 14, 2016 253   UMKC W 65-64 87%     9 - 8 2 - 1 -7.4 -12.6 +5.2
  Jan 16, 2016 348   Chicago St. W 80-62 97%     10 - 8 3 - 1 -1.1 -0.7 -0.3
  Jan 21, 2016 292   @ Seattle W 68-60 81%     11 - 8 4 - 1 +2.3 +1.7 +1.2
  Jan 23, 2016 110   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-67 2OT 38%     12 - 8 5 - 1 +7.8 -5.2 +12.9
  Jan 30, 2016 347   UT Rio Grande Valley W 92-68 97%     13 - 8 6 - 1 +5.1 +13.6 -7.3
  Feb 04, 2016 134   Grand Canyon W 70-50 67%     14 - 8 7 - 1 +19.2 +1.3 +19.1
  Feb 06, 2016 282   Utah Valley W 98-74 91%     15 - 8 8 - 1 +13.2 +12.4 -0.8
  Feb 13, 2016 348   @ Chicago St. W 69-55 93%     16 - 8 9 - 1 +0.7 -3.4 +5.3
  Feb 15, 2016 24   @ Wichita St. L 41-71 10%     16 - 9 -12.5 -15.0 -1.0
  Feb 18, 2016 110   Cal St. Bakersfield W 63-55 60%     17 - 9 10 - 1 +9.0 -6.3 +15.3
  Feb 20, 2016 292   Seattle W 70-57 91%     18 - 9 11 - 1 +1.4 -5.5 +6.9
  Feb 27, 2016 253   @ UMKC W 62-61 73%     19 - 9 12 - 1 -1.6 -10.2 +8.7
  Mar 05, 2016 347   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 83-44 93%     20 - 9 13 - 1 +26.0 -0.2 +24.7
  Mar 11, 2016 253   UMKC W 78-64 81%     21 - 9 +8.5 +9.2 +0.7
  Mar 12, 2016 110   Cal St. Bakersfield L 54-57 49%     21 - 10 +0.9 -5.9 +6.4
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 100.0% 100.0
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%