Pre-tourney Rankings
Baylor
Big 12
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.9#20
Expected Predictive Rating+15.1#17
Pace66.6#263
Improvement+0.2#170

Offense
Total Offense+10.3#13
First Shot+6.5#34
After Offensive Rebound+3.8#7
Layup/Dunks+2.1#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#242
Freethrows+2.3#38
Improvement-0.5#208

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#58
First Shot+1.8#116
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#4
Layups/Dunks+5.7#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
Freethrows+0.5#134
Improvement+0.7#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 27.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 96.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round75.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen39.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight15.9% n/a n/a
Final Four6.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.6% n/a n/a
National Champion1.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 54   Stephen F. Austin W 97-55 78%     1 - 0 +48.8 +25.4 +22.5
  Nov 16, 2015 10   @ Oregon L 67-74 31%     1 - 1 +12.9 -1.3 +14.5
  Nov 20, 2015 261   Jackson St. W 77-60 98%     2 - 1 +7.9 -0.5 +7.3
  Nov 23, 2015 325   Savannah St. W 100-61 99%     3 - 1 +24.4 +22.0 +0.7
  Nov 27, 2015 257   Arkansas St. W 94-72 98%     4 - 1 +13.1 +11.6 +0.1
  Dec 02, 2015 335   Prairie View W 80-41 99%     5 - 1 +22.7 +6.5 +17.9
  Dec 06, 2015 25   Vanderbilt W 69-67 63%     6 - 1 +13.5 +8.6 +5.1
  Dec 08, 2015 340   Northwestern St. W 75-62 99%     7 - 1 -3.8 +1.8 -3.6
  Dec 19, 2015 16   @ Texas A&M L 61-80 36%     7 - 2 -0.3 -3.1 +3.2
  Dec 23, 2015 112   New Mexico St. W 85-70 90%     8 - 2 +15.7 +11.6 +3.4
  Dec 29, 2015 186   Texas Southern W 72-59 95%     9 - 2 +8.6 -3.1 +12.0
  Jan 02, 2016 1   @ Kansas L 74-102 19%     9 - 3 0 - 1 -3.8 +6.1 -7.6
  Jan 05, 2016 82   Oklahoma St. W 79-62 85%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +20.9 +19.5 +3.4
  Jan 09, 2016 18   @ Iowa St. W 94-89 37%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +23.3 +15.5 +7.3
  Jan 13, 2016 113   TCU W 82-54 90%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +28.6 +23.9 +8.6
  Jan 16, 2016 40   @ Texas Tech W 63-60 54%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +16.8 +2.5 +14.7
  Jan 20, 2016 49   Kansas St. W 79-72 2OT 76%     14 - 3 5 - 1 +14.4 +3.4 +10.4
  Jan 23, 2016 8   Oklahoma L 72-82 51%     14 - 4 5 - 2 +4.8 +8.2 -3.7
  Jan 27, 2016 82   @ Oklahoma St. W 69-65 69%     15 - 4 6 - 2 +13.7 +7.9 +6.1
  Jan 30, 2016 62   Georgia W 83-73 81%     16 - 4 +15.8 +19.5 -3.2
  Feb 01, 2016 30   Texas L 59-67 69%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +1.9 -0.3 +1.0
  Feb 06, 2016 6   @ West Virginia L 69-80 26%     16 - 6 6 - 4 +10.7 +9.6 +0.8
  Feb 10, 2016 49   @ Kansas St. W 82-72 56%     17 - 6 7 - 4 +23.3 +14.9 +8.1
  Feb 13, 2016 40   Texas Tech L 66-84 75%     17 - 7 7 - 5 -10.0 +0.5 -11.8
  Feb 16, 2016 18   Iowa St. W 100-91 OT 59%     18 - 7 8 - 5 +21.5 +24.1 -3.1
  Feb 20, 2016 30   @ Texas W 78-64 47%     19 - 7 9 - 5 +29.7 +14.0 +15.9
  Feb 23, 2016 1   Kansas L 60-66 37%     19 - 8 9 - 6 +12.4 +9.0 +2.0
  Feb 27, 2016 113   @ TCU W 86-71 79%     20 - 8 10 - 6 +21.4 +17.0 +4.0
  Mar 01, 2016 8   @ Oklahoma L 71-73 29%     20 - 9 10 - 7 +18.6 +10.7 +7.8
  Mar 05, 2016 6   West Virginia L 58-69 46%     20 - 10 10 - 8 +4.9 -2.2 +6.2
  Mar 10, 2016 30   Texas W 75-61 58%     21 - 10 +26.8 +8.7 +18.1
  Mar 11, 2016 1   Kansas L 66-70 27%     21 - 11 +17.3 -1.0 +18.5
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.1 0.0 2.9 24.1 37.5 32.2 3.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.1 0.0 2.9 24.1 37.5 32.2 3.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%