Pre-tourney Rankings
Niagara
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#303
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#312
Pace65.4#292
Improvement+0.0#175

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#319
First Shot-7.1#329
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#158
Layup/Dunks-0.8#217
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#196
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#313
Freethrows-1.7#291
Improvement-0.5#209

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#233
First Shot-2.0#231
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#223
Layups/Dunks-2.6#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#98
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#153
Freethrows-0.8#232
Improvement+0.6#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 118   @ Old Dominion L 50-67 8%     0 - 1 -11.0 -16.1 +4.3
  Nov 15, 2015 44   @ Saint Joseph's L 62-73 3%     0 - 2 +2.6 -10.7 +14.0
  Nov 18, 2015 266   Brown W 75-66 50%     1 - 2 -0.4 -9.3 +8.3
  Nov 21, 2015 152   Vermont L 67-85 17%     1 - 3 -17.2 -9.3 -7.2
  Nov 22, 2015 337   N.C. A&T W 73-72 66%     2 - 3 -12.6 -5.3 -7.2
  Nov 24, 2015 320   @ Hartford L 73-77 46%     2 - 4 -12.2 -3.4 -9.0
  Nov 28, 2015 289   Youngstown St. L 70-88 57%     2 - 5 -29.2 -5.8 -24.6
  Dec 04, 2015 288   Quinnipiac W 76-72 57%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -7.1 +0.8 -8.0
  Dec 06, 2015 85   Monmouth L 42-56 12%     3 - 6 1 - 1 -10.4 -26.7 +16.0
  Dec 09, 2015 209   @ St. John's L 44-48 19%     3 - 7 -4.2 -25.0 +20.7
  Dec 12, 2015 287   LIU Brooklyn L 79-80 OT 56%     3 - 8 -12.0 -6.9 -5.0
  Dec 23, 2015 131   @ Albany L 56-65 9%     3 - 9 -3.7 -5.4 +0.3
  Dec 30, 2015 83   @ St. Bonaventure L 68-82 5%     3 - 10 -4.3 -2.4 -2.0
  Jan 02, 2016 119   @ Siena L 63-75 8%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -6.0 -5.0 -1.5
  Jan 04, 2016 101   @ Iona L 52-65 6%     3 - 12 1 - 3 -4.8 -17.8 +12.9
  Jan 07, 2016 207   St. Peter's W 63-61 37%     4 - 12 2 - 3 -3.9 +4.4 -7.8
  Jan 09, 2016 239   Manhattan W 55-53 43%     5 - 12 3 - 3 -5.6 -13.5 +8.2
  Jan 15, 2016 189   @ Fairfield L 68-73 16%     5 - 13 3 - 4 -3.7 -7.2 +3.7
  Jan 17, 2016 239   @ Manhattan L 64-69 24%     5 - 14 3 - 5 -6.7 -7.2 +0.4
  Jan 22, 2016 231   Canisius L 61-70 41%     5 - 15 3 - 6 -16.0 -14.9 -1.8
  Jan 26, 2016 119   Siena L 70-82 19%     5 - 16 3 - 7 -11.9 -7.7 -3.5
  Jan 28, 2016 300   @ Marist W 69-66 38%     6 - 16 4 - 7 -3.3 -10.1 +6.8
  Jan 30, 2016 288   @ Quinnipiac L 68-82 35%     6 - 17 4 - 8 -19.3 +4.3 -24.9
  Feb 05, 2016 214   Rider L 60-66 38%     6 - 18 4 - 9 -12.2 -9.2 -3.5
  Feb 07, 2016 101   Iona L 61-75 14%     6 - 19 4 - 10 -11.6 -12.5 +1.0
  Feb 12, 2016 207   @ St. Peter's L 59-72 19%     6 - 20 4 - 11 -13.1 -8.2 -5.3
  Feb 14, 2016 214   @ Rider L 59-77 20%     6 - 21 4 - 12 -18.4 -14.5 -3.1
  Feb 18, 2016 300   Marist W 76-72 61%     7 - 21 5 - 12 -8.1 -6.6 -1.5
  Feb 20, 2016 189   Fairfield L 59-71 32%     7 - 22 5 - 13 -16.5 -11.2 -6.5
  Feb 25, 2016 231   @ Canisius L 60-65 22%     7 - 23 5 - 14 -6.2 -15.8 +9.5
  Feb 28, 2016 85   @ Monmouth L 68-77 5%     7 - 24 5 - 15 +0.5 -5.1 +6.4
  Mar 03, 2016 231   Canisius L 97-102 3OT 31%     7 - 25 -9.1 +1.6 -9.8
Projected Record 7.0 - 25.0 5.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%