Pre-tourney Rankings
Monmouth
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#85
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#65
Pace80.2#16
Improvement-1.9#263

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#118
First Shot+2.3#112
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#184
Layup/Dunks+0.3#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#113
Freethrows+2.3#35
Improvement-1.7#261

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#63
First Shot+4.9#46
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#233
Layups/Dunks+3.4#44
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#103
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
Freethrows-0.2#182
Improvement-0.2#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.9% n/a n/a
First Round1.4% n/a n/a
Second Round0.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 63   @ UCLA W 84-81 OT 32%     1 - 0 +14.4 -0.5 +14.4
  Nov 16, 2015 41   @ USC L 90-101 24%     1 - 1 +2.8 +9.4 -5.0
  Nov 21, 2015 230   @ Drexel W 82-74 77%     2 - 1 +6.9 +8.7 -2.0
  Nov 26, 2015 36   Notre Dame W 70-68 31%     3 - 1 +13.6 -0.2 +13.9
  Nov 27, 2015 58   Dayton L 70-73 39%     3 - 2 +6.4 +3.7 +2.8
  Nov 29, 2015 41   USC W 83-73 34%     4 - 2 +20.9 +2.9 +16.7
  Dec 04, 2015 231   @ Canisius L 86-96 77%     4 - 3 0 - 1 -11.2 -3.1 -6.8
  Dec 06, 2015 303   @ Niagara W 56-42 88%     5 - 3 1 - 1 +7.6 -16.2 +24.2
  Dec 13, 2015 199   Wagner W 73-54 86%     6 - 3 +13.9 +1.2 +12.9
  Dec 15, 2015 70   @ Georgetown W 83-68 34%     7 - 3 +25.9 +9.7 +15.2
  Dec 20, 2015 271   @ Rutgers W 73-67 84%     8 - 3 +1.9 -2.4 +4.1
  Dec 23, 2015 275   @ Cornell W 78-69 85%     9 - 3 +4.5 -5.1 +8.7
  Dec 28, 2015 251   @ Army L 84-91 81%     9 - 4 -9.5 -6.6 -1.5
  Jan 04, 2016 231   Canisius W 81-66 89%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +8.0 -2.2 +9.7
  Jan 09, 2016 288   Quinnipiac W 88-74 94%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +2.9 -0.4 +0.8
  Jan 11, 2016 189   @ Fairfield W 86-74 69%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +13.3 +10.8 +2.2
  Jan 15, 2016 101   @ Iona W 110-102 44%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +16.2 +11.6 +2.5
  Jan 18, 2016 119   Siena W 85-69 73%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +16.1 +6.9 +8.3
  Jan 21, 2016 239   @ Manhattan L 71-78 79%     14 - 5 6 - 2 -8.7 -1.8 -6.9
  Jan 24, 2016 300   Marist W 83-72 95%     15 - 5 7 - 2 -1.1 -4.6 +2.8
  Jan 28, 2016 288   @ Quinnipiac W 66-51 86%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +9.7 -7.3 +16.3
  Jan 30, 2016 207   St. Peter's W 73-57 87%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +10.1 +2.9 +7.7
  Feb 01, 2016 119   @ Siena W 93-87 52%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +12.0 +15.3 -3.8
  Feb 05, 2016 189   Fairfield W 91-67 85%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +19.5 +3.4 +13.0
  Feb 09, 2016 300   @ Marist W 87-61 88%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +19.7 +5.6 +13.5
  Feb 12, 2016 214   @ Rider W 79-78 75%     21 - 5 13 - 2 +0.6 +4.2 -3.7
  Feb 15, 2016 239   Manhattan W 79-70 90%     22 - 5 14 - 2 +1.4 -3.4 +4.0
  Feb 19, 2016 101   Iona L 67-83 66%     22 - 6 14 - 3 -13.6 -14.5 +2.9
  Feb 21, 2016 207   @ St. Peter's W 82-75 OT 74%     23 - 6 15 - 3 +6.9 +11.0 -4.2
  Feb 26, 2016 214   Rider W 79-58 88%     24 - 6 16 - 3 +14.8 +0.7 +12.8
  Feb 28, 2016 303   Niagara W 77-68 95%     25 - 6 17 - 3 -3.2 -6.7 +2.6
  Mar 04, 2016 214   Rider W 59-48 82%     26 - 6 +7.7 -12.3 +20.2
  Mar 06, 2016 189   Fairfield W 76-63 78%     27 - 6 +11.4 -2.1 +12.9
  Mar 07, 2016 101   Iona L 76-79 55%     27 - 7 +2.3 +0.8 +1.6
Projected Record 27.0 - 7.0 17.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 4.0% 4.0% 11.3 2.8 1.1 0.0 96.0 4.0%
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.0% 0.0% 4.0% 11.3 2.8 1.1 0.0 96.0 4.0%