Pre-tourney Rankings
Troy
Sun Belt
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#285
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#291
Pace70.9#151
Improvement-5.1#337

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#302
First Shot-5.1#306
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#178
Layup/Dunks+0.2#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#266
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#245
Freethrows-1.4#275
Improvement-4.6#337

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#253
First Shot-3.0#264
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#160
Layups/Dunks-2.1#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#320
Freethrows+0.7#117
Improvement-0.5#211
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 215   @ South Florida W 82-77 24%     1 - 0 +4.5 -3.4 +7.0
  Nov 19, 2015 117   UAB L 63-79 22%     1 - 1 -15.7 -16.9 +2.8
  Nov 23, 2015 224   Samford L 79-83 34%     1 - 2 -7.7 +1.6 -9.2
  Nov 24, 2015 217   Idaho L 63-69 33%     1 - 3 -9.4 -13.6 +4.6
  Nov 25, 2015 290   @ North Texas W 86-74 41%     2 - 3 +6.4 +1.1 +4.1
  Dec 01, 2015 302   Southern Miss W 69-59 66%     3 - 3 -2.2 -6.8 +5.0
  Dec 05, 2015 228   Austin Peay L 71-80 45%     3 - 4 -15.8 -6.1 -9.8
  Dec 10, 2015 28   @ Seton Hall L 69-78 2%     3 - 5 +7.3 +4.9 +2.5
  Dec 22, 2015 67   Mississippi L 80-83 OT 7%     3 - 6 +5.1 -3.0 +8.6
  Dec 30, 2015 257   Arkansas St. L 81-84 54%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -11.9 -2.3 -9.4
  Jan 02, 2016 77   Arkansas Little Rock L 61-67 13%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -1.8 -1.5 -1.0
  Jan 07, 2016 198   @ Georgia St. L 68-72 21%     3 - 9 0 - 3 -3.3 -2.8 -0.5
  Jan 09, 2016 216   @ Georgia Southern L 88-93 OT 24%     3 - 10 0 - 4 -5.5 +4.0 -8.9
  Jan 14, 2016 107   Texas Arlington L 63-90 19%     3 - 11 0 - 5 -25.5 -9.1 -15.8
  Jan 16, 2016 219   Texas St. W 66-57 44%     4 - 11 1 - 5 +2.6 -3.5 +6.7
  Jan 21, 2016 139   @ Louisiana Monroe L 74-85 12%     4 - 12 1 - 6 -6.2 +5.5 -12.1
  Jan 23, 2016 126   @ Louisiana L 65-88 11%     4 - 13 1 - 7 -17.5 -10.2 -6.0
  Jan 26, 2016 265   South Alabama L 58-66 55%     4 - 14 1 - 8 -17.3 -11.2 -6.6
  Jan 28, 2016 260   Appalachian St. L 71-75 54%     4 - 15 1 - 9 -13.1 -13.2 +0.5
  Feb 04, 2016 77   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 49-72 6%     4 - 16 1 - 10 -12.9 -9.0 -8.1
  Feb 06, 2016 257   @ Arkansas St. W 71-70 32%     5 - 16 2 - 10 -2.1 -0.6 -1.4
  Feb 11, 2016 216   Georgia Southern L 71-77 44%     5 - 17 2 - 11 -12.3 -6.6 -5.6
  Feb 13, 2016 198   Georgia St. W 54-53 39%     6 - 17 3 - 11 -4.1 -16.4 +12.3
  Feb 16, 2016 265   @ South Alabama W 61-54 33%     7 - 17 4 - 11 +3.5 -10.2 +13.7
  Feb 20, 2016 260   @ Appalachian St. L 74-78 32%     7 - 18 4 - 12 -7.2 -0.3 -7.0
  Feb 25, 2016 126   Louisiana L 63-73 23%     7 - 19 4 - 13 -10.3 -11.8 +1.6
  Feb 27, 2016 139   Louisiana Monroe L 51-66 25%     7 - 20 4 - 14 -16.1 -18.1 +0.6
  Mar 03, 2016 219   @ Texas St. L 57-78 24%     7 - 21 4 - 15 -21.6 -10.6 -12.4
  Mar 05, 2016 107   @ Texas Arlington L 55-90 8%     7 - 22 4 - 16 -27.6 -13.6 -13.6
Projected Record 7.0 - 22.0 4.0 - 16.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16 100.0% 100.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%