Pre-tourney Rankings
Samford
Southern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#224
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#251
Pace70.1#173
Improvement-3.0#296

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#206
First Shot-0.6#199
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#245
Layup/Dunks+3.3#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#326
Freethrows+1.9#54
Improvement-1.5#253

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#228
First Shot-1.7#221
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#231
Layups/Dunks-0.2#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#127
Freethrows-2.5#323
Improvement-1.5#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 11   @ Louisville L 45-86 2%     0 - 1 -21.1 -18.8 +0.7
  Nov 21, 2015 258   Kennesaw St. W 77-65 70%     1 - 1 +3.0 -6.8 +8.9
  Nov 23, 2015 285   Troy W 83-79 66%     2 - 1 -4.0 +4.8 -8.9
  Nov 24, 2015 290   @ North Texas W 74-72 57%     3 - 1 -3.6 -3.1 -0.5
  Nov 25, 2015 217   Idaho W 75-58 49%     4 - 1 +13.6 -1.0 +13.8
  Nov 28, 2015 228   @ Austin Peay L 73-74 39%     4 - 2 -2.0 +3.9 -6.0
  Dec 01, 2015 293   @ Jacksonville St. W 77-71 58%     5 - 2 +0.2 +2.1 -1.9
  Dec 04, 2015 30   @ Texas L 49-59 5%     5 - 3 +5.7 -6.3 +10.1
  Dec 12, 2015 350   @ Florida A&M W 86-67 84%     6 - 3 +4.5 +10.0 -5.9
  Dec 18, 2015 265   South Alabama L 70-72 2OT 70%     6 - 4 -11.3 -15.9 +5.0
  Dec 20, 2015 79   @ Nebraska W 69-58 11%     7 - 4 +20.9 +5.1 +16.5
  Jan 02, 2016 190   @ Mercer L 50-69 32%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -17.9 -15.5 -5.6
  Jan 05, 2016 323   The Citadel W 94-74 84%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +5.7 -7.4 +9.2
  Jan 09, 2016 187   @ Wofford L 64-69 31%     8 - 6 1 - 2 -3.6 -7.3 +3.5
  Jan 11, 2016 168   @ Furman L 57-77 28%     8 - 7 1 - 3 -17.6 -14.0 -4.0
  Jan 14, 2016 155   East Tennessee St. L 77-81 44%     8 - 8 1 - 4 -6.2 -3.1 -3.0
  Jan 16, 2016 194   Western Carolina W 84-68 55%     9 - 8 2 - 4 +11.0 +10.5 +0.7
  Jan 21, 2016 304   @ VMI L 76-83 60%     9 - 9 2 - 5 -13.4 -0.5 -12.8
  Jan 24, 2016 210   @ UNC Greensboro L 78-86 37%     9 - 10 2 - 6 -8.2 +0.7 -8.6
  Jan 30, 2016 106   Chattanooga L 56-63 30%     9 - 11 2 - 7 -5.3 -9.5 +3.4
  Feb 01, 2016 190   Mercer L 70-85 54%     9 - 12 2 - 8 -19.7 -4.2 -16.1
  Feb 04, 2016 168   Furman L 65-67 49%     9 - 13 2 - 9 -5.4 -4.2 -1.4
  Feb 06, 2016 187   Wofford L 75-78 53%     9 - 14 2 - 10 -7.4 -1.3 -6.2
  Feb 08, 2016 323   @ The Citadel W 95-86 68%     10 - 14 3 - 10 +0.5 +9.2 -9.2
  Feb 11, 2016 155   @ East Tennessee St. L 90-94 OT 24%     10 - 15 3 - 11 -0.4 +9.2 -9.2
  Feb 13, 2016 194   @ Western Carolina L 71-76 33%     10 - 16 3 - 12 -4.1 -3.0 -1.0
  Feb 18, 2016 210   UNC Greensboro L 77-82 OT 59%     10 - 17 3 - 13 -11.1 -12.7 +2.5
  Feb 20, 2016 304   VMI W 73-67 79%     11 - 17 4 - 13 -6.3 -10.0 +3.4
  Feb 27, 2016 106   @ Chattanooga L 66-77 15%     11 - 18 4 - 14 -3.5 +0.4 -4.3
  Mar 04, 2016 304   VMI W 92-85 OT 71%     12 - 18 -2.3 -0.7 -2.8
  Mar 05, 2016 106   Chattanooga L 54-59 21%     12 - 19 -0.4 -10.2 +9.3
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%