Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Kentucky 100.0%   1   29 - 5 16 - 2 29 - 5 16 - 2 +20.0      +11.5 11 +8.5 18 77.3 19 +20.4 5 +22.4 1
8 Florida 100.0%   3   24 - 8 14 - 4 24 - 8 14 - 4 +19.2      +7.6 32 +11.6 3 69.7 121 +17.0 19 +18.0 2
33 South Carolina 94.6%   9   21 - 10 12 - 6 21 - 10 12 - 6 +12.4      +1.4 130 +11.0 4 67.5 191 +12.2 38 +13.9 3
34 Vanderbilt 96.8%   8   19 - 15 10 - 8 19 - 15 10 - 8 +12.3      +5.6 52 +6.7 36 63.5 277 +10.8 48 +11.9 5
35 Arkansas 98.8%   7   25 - 9 12 - 6 25 - 9 12 - 6 +12.0      +8.8 25 +3.2 84 70.7 102 +14.5 27 +13.9 4
52 Alabama 4.0%   19 - 14 10 - 8 19 - 14 10 - 8 +10.3      +1.5 125 +8.8 16 61.4 315 +8.8 64 +9.8 8
55 Georgia 12.3%   18 - 14 9 - 9 18 - 14 9 - 9 +9.7      +3.4 86 +6.3 38 66.4 216 +10.7 50 +10.9 6
61 Tennessee 0.0%   15 - 16 8 - 10 15 - 16 8 - 10 +9.1      +3.8 71 +5.3 50 70.1 111 +8.4 67 +8.5 9
66 Texas A&M 0.0%   16 - 15 8 - 10 16 - 15 8 - 10 +8.4      +2.3 108 +6.1 42 62.2 306 +7.5 73 +7.8 10
70 Mississippi 0.2%   20 - 13 10 - 8 20 - 13 10 - 8 +7.9      +4.1 65 +3.8 73 75.7 31 +9.2 60 +10.5 7
78 Auburn 0.0%   18 - 14 7 - 11 18 - 14 7 - 11 +6.6      +5.7 50 +0.9 142 79.8 10 +8.0 69 +5.6 11
86 Mississippi St. 0.0%   16 - 16 6 - 12 16 - 16 6 - 12 +5.6      +1.8 120 +3.8 75 68.7 150 +4.7 100 +5.0 12
137 Missouri 0.0%   8 - 24 2 - 16 8 - 24 2 - 16 +1.4      -1.2 201 +2.6 94 67.5 189 -3.2 216 -2.8 14
173 LSU 0.0%   10 - 21 2 - 16 10 - 21 2 - 16 -0.3      +3.4 85 -3.7 272 76.0 27 +2.1 127 -2.3 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Kentucky 1.0 100.0
Florida 2.0 100.0
South Carolina 3.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 5.0 100.0
Arkansas 3.0 100.0
Alabama 5.0 100.0
Georgia 8.0 100.0
Tennessee 9.0 100.0
Texas A&M 9.0 100.0
Mississippi 5.0 100.0
Auburn 11.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 12.0 100.0
Missouri 13.0 100.0
LSU 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kentucky 16 - 2 100.0
Florida 14 - 4 100.0
South Carolina 12 - 6 100.0
Vanderbilt 10 - 8 100.0
Arkansas 12 - 6 100.0
Alabama 10 - 8 100.0
Georgia 9 - 9 100.0
Tennessee 8 - 10 100.0
Texas A&M 8 - 10 100.0
Mississippi 10 - 8 100.0
Auburn 7 - 11 100.0
Mississippi St. 6 - 12 100.0
Missouri 2 - 16 100.0
LSU 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kentucky 100.0% 100.0
Florida
South Carolina
Vanderbilt
Arkansas
Alabama
Georgia
Tennessee
Texas A&M
Mississippi
Auburn
Mississippi St.
Missouri
LSU


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   71.4 27.6 1.0 0.0
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3   2.1 11.0 39.6 37.5 9.3 0.6 100.0%
South Carolina 94.6% 0.0% 94.6% 9   0.0 0.2 5.9 23.7 30.8 25.5 8.4 0.1 5.4 94.6%
Vanderbilt 96.8% 0.0% 96.8% 8   0.0 0.7 14.7 44.2 27.9 8.7 0.5 3.2 96.8%
Arkansas 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 7   0.0 0.7 9.9 39.8 32.0 13.3 2.9 0.2 1.2 98.8%
Alabama 4.0% 0.0% 4.0% 0.9 3.1 0.0 96.0 4.0%
Georgia 12.3% 0.0% 12.3% 0.0 0.0 2.5 9.7 0.1 87.7 12.3%
Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0 0.2 0.0 99.8 0.2%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.2% 75.2% 46.3% 26.4% 13.7% 6.6%
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 92.1% 60.6% 32.5% 17.1% 8.3% 3.9%
South Carolina 94.6% 2.8% 93.3% 44.6% 10.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Vanderbilt 96.8% 0.1% 96.8% 48.7% 10.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Arkansas 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 49.6% 11.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Alabama 4.0% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia 12.3% 12.2% 5.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 5.1 0.1 7.6 78.3 13.6 0.4 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 5.0 0.2 9.8 83.8 6.2 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 3.3 0.0 1.2 14.5 40.8 35.3 8.1 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 94.3% 1.7 5.7 34.1 46.3 12.7 1.1 0.0
Elite Eight 69.5% 0.9 30.5 50.5 17.7 1.3 0.0
Final Four 42.1% 0.5 57.9 37.8 4.3 0.1
Final Game 22.0% 0.2 78.0 21.3 0.7
Champion 10.7% 0.1 89.3 10.7