Pre-tourney Rankings
Kentucky
Southeastern
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.0#4
Expected Predictive Rating+20.4#5
Pace77.3#19
Improvement-6.9#350

Offense
Total Offense+11.5#11
First Shot+9.3#12
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#36
Layup/Dunks+7.5#4
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#256
Freethrows+4.0#5
Improvement-1.8#268

Defense
Total Defense+8.5#18
First Shot+7.3#17
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#56
Layups/Dunks+0.2#165
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#15
Freethrows+2.0#63
Improvement-5.1#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 18.5% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 71.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 99.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen75.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight46.3% n/a n/a
Final Four26.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game13.7% n/a n/a
National Champion6.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 228   Stephen F. Austin W 87-64 98%     1 - 0 +16.2 +7.8 +6.9
  Nov 13, 2016 196   Canisius W 93-69 98%     2 - 0 +19.7 +13.3 +6.0
  Nov 15, 2016 44   Michigan St. W 69-48 79%     3 - 0 +32.4 +0.5 +31.4
  Nov 20, 2016 209   Duquesne W 93-59 98%     4 - 0 +28.5 +7.0 +17.6
  Nov 23, 2016 245   Cleveland St. W 101-70 99%     5 - 0 +23.4 +15.2 +4.3
  Nov 25, 2016 211   Tennessee Martin W 111-76 98%     6 - 0 +29.4 +18.2 +6.6
  Nov 28, 2016 114   Arizona St. W 115-69 93%     7 - 0 +49.1 +22.9 +19.3
  Dec 03, 2016 12   UCLA L 92-97 68%     7 - 1 +10.2 +11.4 -0.6
  Dec 07, 2016 100   Valparaiso W 87-63 94%     8 - 1 +25.9 +8.2 +15.5
  Dec 11, 2016 187   Hofstra W 96-73 96%     9 - 1 +22.0 +10.8 +9.5
  Dec 17, 2016 3   North Carolina W 103-100 48%     10 - 1 +23.6 +28.3 -5.0
  Dec 21, 2016 7   @ Louisville L 70-73 43%     10 - 2 +18.8 +9.3 +9.4
  Dec 29, 2016 70   @ Mississippi W 99-76 82%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +33.4 +17.5 +12.7
  Jan 03, 2017 66   Texas A&M W 100-58 90%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +47.8 +33.7 +14.8
  Jan 07, 2017 35   Arkansas W 97-71 84%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +35.5 +25.9 +9.6
  Jan 10, 2017 34   @ Vanderbilt W 87-81 69%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +20.9 +21.3 -0.5
  Jan 14, 2017 78   Auburn W 92-72 92%     15 - 2 5 - 0 +24.1 +20.6 +3.9
  Jan 17, 2017 86   @ Mississippi St. W 88-81 86%     16 - 2 6 - 0 +15.1 +14.0 +0.7
  Jan 21, 2017 33   South Carolina W 85-69 83%     17 - 2 7 - 0 +25.9 +23.4 +2.7
  Jan 24, 2017 61   @ Tennessee L 80-82 79%     17 - 3 7 - 1 +9.7 +6.8 +3.1
  Jan 28, 2017 6   Kansas L 73-79 62%     17 - 4 +10.9 +5.7 +5.2
  Jan 31, 2017 55   Georgia W 90-81 OT 88%     18 - 4 8 - 1 +16.1 +13.1 +2.2
  Feb 04, 2017 8   @ Florida L 66-88 43%     18 - 5 8 - 2 -0.3 +2.1 -0.9
  Feb 07, 2017 173   LSU W 92-85 97%     19 - 5 9 - 2 +4.2 +8.6 -4.9
  Feb 11, 2017 52   @ Alabama W 67-58 75%     20 - 5 10 - 2 +21.8 +9.4 +13.1
  Feb 14, 2017 61   Tennessee W 83-58 89%     21 - 5 11 - 2 +31.6 +14.3 +17.3
  Feb 18, 2017 55   @ Georgia W 82-77 77%     22 - 5 12 - 2 +17.2 +12.6 +4.3
  Feb 21, 2017 137   @ Missouri W 72-62 92%     23 - 5 13 - 2 +13.9 +3.8 +10.2
  Feb 25, 2017 8   Florida W 76-66 63%     24 - 5 14 - 2 +26.7 +15.6 +11.3
  Feb 28, 2017 34   Vanderbilt W 73-67 83%     25 - 5 15 - 2 +15.8 +5.5 +10.2
  Mar 04, 2017 66   @ Texas A&M W 71-63 80%     26 - 5 16 - 2 +18.9 +15.8 +4.3
  Mar 10, 2017 55   Georgia W 71-60 83%     27 - 5 +20.7 +6.8 +14.2
  Mar 11, 2017 52   Alabama W 79-74 82%     28 - 5 +15.3 +18.5 -3.0
  Mar 12, 2017 35   Arkansas W 82-65 77%     29 - 5 +29.0 +12.7 +16.4
Projected Record 29.0 - 5.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 71.4 27.6 1.0 0.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.3 71.4 27.6 1.0 0.0