Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas
Southeastern
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#35
Expected Predictive Rating+14.5#27
Pace70.7#102
Improvement-3.7#321

Offense
Total Offense+8.8#25
First Shot+6.8#27
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#44
Layup/Dunks+4.6#28
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#277
Freethrows+3.7#11
Improvement-0.7#217

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#84
First Shot+3.8#67
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#250
Layups/Dunks+2.9#78
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows-0.7#214
Improvement-3.0#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 10.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.8% n/a n/a
Second Round49.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.8% n/a n/a
Final Four1.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 148   Purdue Fort Wayne W 92-83 89%     1 - 0 +7.5 +8.8 -2.0
  Nov 14, 2016 144   Southern Illinois W 90-65 89%     2 - 0 +23.6 +11.7 +10.5
  Nov 18, 2016 81   Texas Arlington W 71-67 79%     3 - 0 +7.6 +2.7 +5.1
  Nov 22, 2016 32   @ Minnesota L 71-85 38%     3 - 1 +1.2 +5.8 -4.0
  Nov 28, 2016 216   Mount St. Mary's W 89-76 94%     4 - 1 +6.9 +14.0 -7.2
  Dec 01, 2016 228   Stephen F. Austin W 78-62 95%     5 - 1 +9.2 +6.8 +2.9
  Dec 03, 2016 288   Austin Peay W 99-62 97%     6 - 1 +26.5 +13.3 +12.1
  Dec 06, 2016 53   Houston W 84-72 67%     7 - 1 +19.5 +16.9 +3.0
  Dec 10, 2016 248   North Florida W 91-76 96%     8 - 1 +7.2 +5.4 +0.5
  Dec 17, 2016 63   Texas W 77-74 63%     9 - 1 +11.6 +9.1 +2.3
  Dec 20, 2016 167   North Dakota St. W 71-55 91%     10 - 1 +13.5 -4.9 +18.0
  Dec 22, 2016 246   Sam Houston St. W 90-56 94%     11 - 1 +28.9 +13.7 +13.5
  Dec 29, 2016 8   Florida L 72-81 33%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +7.7 +9.4 -1.7
  Jan 03, 2017 61   @ Tennessee W 82-78 52%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +15.7 +15.3 +0.3
  Jan 07, 2017 4   @ Kentucky L 71-97 16%     12 - 3 1 - 2 -3.5 +7.8 -11.2
  Jan 10, 2017 86   Mississippi St. L 78-84 80%     12 - 4 1 - 3 -2.9 +14.0 -17.4
  Jan 14, 2017 137   Missouri W 92-73 89%     13 - 4 2 - 3 +17.8 +20.5 -2.7
  Jan 17, 2017 66   @ Texas A&M W 62-60 54%     14 - 4 3 - 3 +12.9 +3.6 +9.6
  Jan 21, 2017 173   LSU W 99-86 91%     15 - 4 4 - 3 +10.2 +18.5 -8.7
  Jan 24, 2017 34   @ Vanderbilt W 71-70 39%     16 - 4 5 - 3 +15.9 +11.0 +4.9
  Jan 28, 2017 20   @ Oklahoma St. L 71-99 25%     16 - 5 -9.0 +2.3 -11.5
  Feb 01, 2017 52   Alabama W 87-68 66%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +26.8 +22.3 +4.6
  Feb 04, 2017 137   @ Missouri L 78-83 78%     17 - 6 6 - 4 -1.1 +10.8 -12.0
  Feb 07, 2017 34   Vanderbilt L 59-72 59%     17 - 7 6 - 5 -3.2 +3.2 -9.0
  Feb 11, 2017 173   @ LSU W 78-70 82%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +10.3 -0.5 +10.4
  Feb 15, 2017 33   @ South Carolina W 83-76 39%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +22.0 +22.9 -0.9
  Feb 18, 2017 70   Mississippi W 98-80 74%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +23.3 +18.9 +2.8
  Feb 22, 2017 66   Texas A&M W 86-77 73%     21 - 7 10 - 5 +14.8 +20.7 -5.6
  Feb 25, 2017 78   @ Auburn W 79-68 61%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +20.2 +11.1 +9.4
  Mar 01, 2017 8   @ Florida L 65-78 18%     22 - 8 11 - 6 +8.7 +8.6 -0.6
  Mar 04, 2017 55   Georgia W 85-67 68%     23 - 8 12 - 6 +25.1 +19.4 +6.2
  Mar 10, 2017 70   Mississippi W 73-72 66%     24 - 8 +8.9 +3.4 +5.5
  Mar 11, 2017 34   Vanderbilt W 76-62 49%     25 - 8 +26.3 +4.0 +21.2
  Mar 12, 2017 4   Kentucky L 65-82 23%     25 - 9 +3.0 +0.9 +2.0
Projected Record 25.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 98.8% 98.8% 7.6 0.0 0.7 9.9 39.8 32.0 13.3 2.9 0.2 1.2 98.8%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 7.6 0.0 0.7 9.9 39.8 32.0 13.3 2.9 0.2 1.2 98.8%