Pre-tourney Rankings
Gonzaga
West Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+24.3#1
Expected Predictive Rating+27.0#1
Pace72.9#60
Improvement+1.7#95

Offense
Total Offense+12.6#3
First Shot+13.3#1
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#219
Layup/Dunks+10.3#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#152
Freethrows+2.7#35
Improvement+0.7#141

Defense
Total Defense+11.7#2
First Shot+11.5#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#165
Layups/Dunks+4.1#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#280
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#10
Freethrows+3.7#14
Improvement+1.0#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 13.1% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 62.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 96.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round99.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen86.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight66.0% n/a n/a
Final Four48.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game34.4% n/a n/a
National Champion24.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 190   Utah Valley W 92-69 99%     1 - 0 +19.1 +8.9 +7.5
  Nov 14, 2016 80   San Diego St. W 69-48 96%     2 - 0 +24.7 +1.9 +22.8
  Nov 18, 2016 285   Bryant W 109-70 99.6%    3 - 0 +28.7 +20.3 +5.0
  Nov 24, 2016 303   Quinnipiac W 82-62 99%     4 - 0 +11.0 -1.2 +11.0
  Nov 25, 2016 8   Florida W 77-72 69%     5 - 0 +24.2 +16.9 +7.4
  Nov 27, 2016 17   Iowa St. W 73-71 74%     6 - 0 +19.6 +16.9 +2.9
  Dec 01, 2016 344   Mississippi Valley W 97-63 99.9%    7 - 0 +14.9 +6.5 +6.3
  Dec 03, 2016 19   Arizona W 69-62 77%     8 - 0 +23.7 +11.3 +13.1
  Dec 07, 2016 156   Washington W 98-71 98%     9 - 0 +25.0 +15.5 +7.5
  Dec 10, 2016 105   Akron W 61-43 97%     10 - 0 +19.3 -6.7 +28.5
  Dec 18, 2016 61   Tennessee W 86-76 91%     11 - 0 +19.1 +15.4 +3.3
  Dec 21, 2016 145   South Dakota W 102-65 98%     12 - 0 +35.6 +16.0 +14.8
  Dec 29, 2016 292   Pepperdine W 92-62 99.6%    13 - 0 1 - 0 +19.2 +9.0 +9.5
  Dec 31, 2016 227   @ Pacific W 81-61 98%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +18.4 +13.4 +6.4
  Jan 05, 2017 104   @ San Francisco W 95-80 94%     15 - 0 3 - 0 +21.5 +20.4 -0.2
  Jan 12, 2017 170   Loyola Marymount W 93-55 99%     16 - 0 4 - 0 +35.4 +17.8 +16.8
  Jan 14, 2017 22   St. Mary's W 79-56 84%     17 - 0 5 - 0 +36.7 +29.3 +12.2
  Jan 19, 2017 110   @ Santa Clara W 88-57 95%     18 - 0 6 - 0 +36.7 +23.4 +14.9
  Jan 21, 2017 265   Portland W 73-52 99%     19 - 0 7 - 0 +12.2 +7.5 +7.6
  Jan 23, 2017 265   @ Portland W 83-64 99%     20 - 0 8 - 0 +15.3 +13.0 +3.0
  Jan 26, 2017 240   San Diego W 79-43 99%     21 - 0 9 - 0 +28.6 +8.5 +22.9
  Jan 28, 2017 292   @ Pepperdine W 96-49 99%     22 - 0 10 - 0 +41.3 +14.4 +25.3
  Feb 02, 2017 74   @ BYU W 85-75 90%     23 - 0 11 - 0 +20.1 +10.0 +9.3
  Feb 04, 2017 110   Santa Clara W 90-55 98%     24 - 0 12 - 0 +35.7 +29.8 +10.3
  Feb 09, 2017 170   @ Loyola Marymount W 90-60 97%     25 - 0 13 - 0 +32.4 +15.5 +15.7
  Feb 11, 2017 22   @ St. Mary's W 74-64 71%     26 - 0 14 - 0 +28.7 +19.4 +10.6
  Feb 16, 2017 104   San Francisco W 96-61 97%     27 - 0 15 - 0 +36.4 +23.0 +11.9
  Feb 18, 2017 227   Pacific W 82-61 99%     28 - 0 16 - 0 +14.3 -0.6 +13.1
  Feb 23, 2017 240   @ San Diego W 96-38 98%     29 - 0 17 - 0 +55.7 +33.4 +29.1
  Feb 25, 2017 74   BYU L 71-79 95%     29 - 1 17 - 1 -3.0 +1.2 -4.2
  Mar 04, 2017 227   Pacific W 82-50 99%     30 - 1 +27.8 +10.5 +18.4
  Mar 06, 2017 110   Santa Clara W 77-68 96%     31 - 1 +12.2 +13.9 -0.8
  Mar 07, 2017 22   St. Mary's W 74-56 78%     32 - 1 +34.2 +12.1 +22.9
Projected Record 32.0 - 1.0 17.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.4 62.2 33.8 3.8 0.2
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.4 62.2 33.8 3.8 0.2