Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#265
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#249
Pace64.5#256
Improvement-7.4#351

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#287
First Shot-2.7#257
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#304
Layup/Dunks-1.4#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#249
Freethrows+1.5#78
Improvement-6.0#349

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#219
First Shot+1.3#125
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#344
Layups/Dunks+3.0#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#316
Freethrows+1.6#77
Improvement-1.4#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 307   UC Riverside W 71-55 71%     1 - 0 +3.9 -0.5 +5.1
  Nov 15, 2016 206   @ San Jose St. W 79-66 28%     2 - 0 +12.7 -0.3 +11.8
  Nov 24, 2016 12   UCLA L 77-99 2%     2 - 1 -4.2 -0.8 -0.6
  Nov 25, 2016 47   Dayton L 74-84 6%     2 - 2 +0.9 +1.0 +0.6
  Nov 27, 2016 280   Cal St. Northridge W 96-78 55%     3 - 2 +10.5 +14.0 -4.0
  Dec 03, 2016 72   Colorado L 63-76 14%     3 - 3 -7.8 -8.4 +0.5
  Dec 05, 2016 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 90-89 2OT 72%     4 - 3 -11.4 -6.6 -4.9
  Dec 16, 2016 145   South Dakota W 85-82 24%     5 - 3 +4.1 +7.6 -3.6
  Dec 18, 2016 236   Oregon St. W 53-45 44%     6 - 3 +3.3 -6.7 +12.1
  Dec 20, 2016 250   Portland St. L 75-77 56%     6 - 4 -9.8 +6.0 -16.0
  Dec 22, 2016 256   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 72-77 OT 37%     6 - 5 -7.9 -0.6 -7.2
  Dec 29, 2016 227   @ Pacific W 80-76 33%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +2.4 +20.0 -16.9
  Dec 31, 2016 292   Pepperdine W 73-60 67%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +2.2 -3.8 +6.8
  Jan 05, 2017 110   @ Santa Clara L 42-70 13%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -22.3 -20.1 -6.7
  Jan 12, 2017 22   St. Mary's L 33-74 4%     8 - 7 2 - 2 -27.3 -27.8 -6.2
  Jan 14, 2017 170   Loyola Marymount L 78-79 36%     8 - 8 2 - 3 -3.6 +11.9 -15.7
  Jan 19, 2017 104   @ San Francisco L 50-75 12%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -18.5 -13.7 -6.1
  Jan 21, 2017 1   @ Gonzaga L 52-73 1%     8 - 10 2 - 5 +5.9 -0.5 +3.4
  Jan 23, 2017 1   Gonzaga L 64-83 1%     8 - 11 2 - 6 +2.8 +4.1 -2.0
  Jan 26, 2017 292   @ Pepperdine L 60-78 48%     8 - 12 2 - 7 -23.7 -8.2 -18.5
  Jan 28, 2017 240   San Diego L 52-68 54%     8 - 13 2 - 8 -23.4 -11.2 -16.3
  Feb 02, 2017 110   Santa Clara L 45-60 25%     8 - 14 2 - 9 -14.3 -15.3 -2.8
  Feb 04, 2017 74   @ BYU L 62-73 7%     8 - 15 2 - 10 -0.9 -7.1 +6.4
  Feb 09, 2017 22   @ St. Mary's L 41-51 2%     8 - 16 2 - 11 +8.7 -8.5 +13.8
  Feb 11, 2017 170   @ Loyola Marymount L 60-66 20%     8 - 17 2 - 12 -3.6 -14.2 +11.0
  Feb 16, 2017 227   Pacific L 65-76 52%     8 - 18 2 - 13 -17.7 -14.1 -3.0
  Feb 18, 2017 104   San Francisco L 51-65 23%     8 - 19 2 - 14 -12.6 -15.2 +1.9
  Feb 23, 2017 74   BYU L 78-97 15%     8 - 20 2 - 15 -14.0 +3.8 -16.7
  Feb 25, 2017 240   @ San Diego L 82-85 35%     8 - 21 2 - 16 -5.3 +17.1 -22.7
  Mar 03, 2017 240   San Diego W 60-55 44%     9 - 21 +0.2 -5.5 +6.4
  Mar 04, 2017 22   St. Mary's L 58-81 3%     9 - 22 -6.8 +1.0 -10.9
Projected Record 9.0 - 22.0 2.0 - 16.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16 100.0% 100.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%