Pre-tourney Rankings
BYU
West Coast
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#74
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#83
Pace86.0#4
Improvement-3.7#322

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#77
First Shot+3.2#79
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#135
Layup/Dunks-2.3#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#272
Freethrows+3.2#19
Improvement-2.1#283

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#70
First Shot+3.4#73
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#135
Layups/Dunks+7.3#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#152
Freethrows+1.6#78
Improvement-1.6#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.5% n/a n/a
First Round1.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2016 76   Princeton W 82-73 62%     1 - 0 +13.4 +5.1 +7.5
  Nov 17, 2016 343   Coppin St. W 96-59 98%     2 - 0 +18.7 -3.6 +16.0
  Nov 19, 2016 201   Coastal Carolina W 81-65 87%     3 - 0 +11.2 -4.8 +13.8
  Nov 21, 2016 244   Saint Louis W 92-62 88%     4 - 0 +25.0 +8.7 +12.8
  Nov 23, 2016 100   Valparaiso L 89-92 62%     4 - 1 +1.4 +7.9 -6.1
  Nov 26, 2016 190   Utah Valley L 101-114 86%     4 - 2 -16.9 +3.2 -16.8
  Nov 30, 2016 121   Utah St. W 77-63 69%     5 - 2 +16.4 +0.2 +15.3
  Dec 03, 2016 58   USC L 84-91 43%     5 - 3 +2.3 +6.5 -3.5
  Dec 07, 2016 184   Weber St. W 77-66 85%     6 - 3 +7.5 +1.6 +6.3
  Dec 10, 2016 72   Colorado W 79-71 59%     7 - 3 +13.2 +3.1 +9.7
  Dec 17, 2016 64   Illinois L 73-75 46%     7 - 4 +6.5 +5.6 +0.9
  Dec 20, 2016 332   Idaho St. W 84-58 97%     8 - 4 +10.5 -6.1 +14.3
  Dec 22, 2016 122   Cal St. Bakersfield W 81-71 77%     9 - 4 +9.8 +8.1 +1.0
  Dec 29, 2016 110   Santa Clara W 89-59 75%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +30.7 +15.9 +14.3
  Dec 31, 2016 170   @ Loyola Marymount W 81-76 69%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +7.4 +12.2 -4.6
  Jan 05, 2017 22   @ St. Mary's L 68-81 15%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +5.7 +14.0 -10.1
  Jan 07, 2017 227   Pacific W 91-62 90%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +22.3 +10.6 +10.2
  Jan 12, 2017 104   San Francisco W 85-75 72%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +11.4 +13.9 -2.7
  Jan 14, 2017 240   @ San Diego L 75-88 82%     13 - 6 4 - 2 -15.3 +0.0 -15.1
  Jan 19, 2017 292   Pepperdine W 99-70 95%     14 - 6 5 - 2 +18.2 +8.7 +6.8
  Jan 21, 2017 227   @ Pacific W 62-47 81%     15 - 6 6 - 2 +13.4 -5.6 +20.3
  Jan 26, 2017 110   @ Santa Clara L 68-76 57%     15 - 7 6 - 3 -2.3 -2.3 +0.2
  Jan 28, 2017 170   Loyola Marymount W 85-77 83%     16 - 7 7 - 3 +5.4 -0.7 +4.9
  Feb 02, 2017 1   Gonzaga L 75-85 10%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +11.8 +6.1 +6.5
  Feb 04, 2017 265   Portland W 73-62 93%     17 - 8 8 - 4 +2.2 -4.4 +6.3
  Feb 09, 2017 292   @ Pepperdine L 83-99 89%     17 - 9 8 - 5 -21.7 -1.9 -18.5
  Feb 11, 2017 104   @ San Francisco W 68-52 54%     18 - 9 9 - 5 +22.5 +0.4 +21.8
  Feb 16, 2017 240   San Diego W 82-70 91%     19 - 9 10 - 5 +4.6 +6.6 -1.8
  Feb 18, 2017 22   St. Mary's L 57-70 28%     19 - 10 10 - 6 +0.7 -3.4 +2.8
  Feb 23, 2017 265   @ Portland W 97-78 85%     20 - 10 11 - 6 +15.3 +18.8 -4.5
  Feb 25, 2017 1   @ Gonzaga W 79-71 5%     21 - 10 12 - 6 +34.9 +19.7 +15.3
  Mar 04, 2017 170   Loyola Marymount W 89-81 77%     22 - 10 +7.9 +13.9 -6.3
  Mar 06, 2017 22   St. Mary's L 50-81 21%     22 - 11 -14.8 -6.4 -13.7
Projected Record 22.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 2.5% 2.5% 11.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 97.5 2.5%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.5% 0.0% 2.5% 11.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 97.5 2.5%