Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern
Big Ten
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#40
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#35
Pace63.4#279
Improvement-1.7#258

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#63
First Shot+2.1#119
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#31
Layup/Dunks-0.5#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#207
Freethrows+0.6#141
Improvement-2.1#284

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#30
First Shot+6.2#30
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#88
Layups/Dunks+3.8#44
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#124
Freethrows+1.3#96
Improvement+0.5#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 93.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.5% n/a n/a
First Round90.8% n/a n/a
Second Round39.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 344   Mississippi Valley W 94-63 99%     1 - 0 +11.9 +7.0 +4.1
  Nov 14, 2016 186   Eastern Washington W 86-72 91%     2 - 0 +10.4 +9.6 +1.0
  Nov 16, 2016 26   @ Butler L 68-70 27%     2 - 1 +15.8 +6.2 +9.5
  Nov 21, 2016 63   Texas W 77-58 61%     3 - 1 +27.6 +21.7 +8.1
  Nov 22, 2016 25   Notre Dame L 66-70 35%     3 - 2 +11.5 +9.1 +1.8
  Nov 25, 2016 285   Bryant W 86-66 97%     4 - 2 +9.7 +3.3 +5.6
  Nov 28, 2016 29   Wake Forest W 65-58 54%     5 - 2 +17.4 -6.9 +24.4
  Dec 03, 2016 152   DePaul W 80-64 89%     6 - 2 +14.1 +5.2 +8.5
  Dec 11, 2016 189   New Orleans W 83-49 92%     7 - 2 +30.2 +11.9 +18.9
  Dec 14, 2016 339   Chicago St. W 68-64 99%     8 - 2 -13.3 -4.2 -8.7
  Dec 17, 2016 47   Dayton W 67-64 52%     9 - 2 +13.9 +0.6 +13.3
  Dec 20, 2016 205   IUPUI W 87-65 93%     10 - 2 +16.6 +10.4 +6.6
  Dec 22, 2016 219   Houston Baptist W 72-63 94%     11 - 2 +2.8 -5.3 +8.1
  Dec 27, 2016 79   @ Penn St. W 87-77 60%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +18.9 +19.1 -0.5
  Dec 30, 2016 44   @ Michigan St. L 52-61 41%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +4.9 -4.8 +8.1
  Jan 05, 2017 32   Minnesota L 66-70 55%     12 - 4 1 - 2 +6.1 +5.6 +0.3
  Jan 08, 2017 99   @ Nebraska W 74-66 67%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +15.0 +18.0 -1.8
  Jan 12, 2017 116   @ Rutgers W 69-60 72%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +14.3 +7.7 +7.3
  Jan 15, 2017 65   Iowa W 89-54 70%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +40.9 +25.3 +18.7
  Jan 22, 2017 71   @ Ohio St. W 74-72 54%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +12.3 +8.8 +3.6
  Jan 26, 2017 99   Nebraska W 73-61 82%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +13.9 +1.8 +11.9
  Jan 29, 2017 38   Indiana W 68-55 59%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +22.1 +1.7 +21.4
  Feb 01, 2017 16   @ Purdue L 59-80 20%     18 - 5 7 - 3 -0.9 +1.4 -4.0
  Feb 07, 2017 64   Illinois L 61-68 70%     18 - 6 7 - 4 -1.0 -5.2 +4.0
  Feb 12, 2017 23   @ Wisconsin W 66-59 26%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +25.3 +13.8 +12.5
  Feb 15, 2017 43   Maryland L 64-74 60%     19 - 7 8 - 5 -1.2 -2.5 +0.9
  Feb 18, 2017 116   Rutgers W 69-65 85%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +4.2 +14.4 -9.3
  Feb 21, 2017 64   @ Illinois L 50-66 52%     20 - 8 9 - 6 -5.0 -9.3 +2.3
  Feb 25, 2017 38   @ Indiana L 62-63 39%     20 - 9 9 - 7 +13.2 -0.5 +13.6
  Mar 01, 2017 21   Michigan W 67-65 41%     21 - 9 10 - 7 +15.9 +9.5 +6.7
  Mar 05, 2017 16   Purdue L 65-69 36%     21 - 10 10 - 8 +11.1 +7.2 +3.5
  Mar 09, 2017 116   Rutgers W 83-61 79%     22 - 10 +24.8 +28.4 -0.1
  Mar 10, 2017 43   Maryland W 72-64 50%     23 - 10 +19.4 +15.2 +5.4
  Mar 11, 2017 23   Wisconsin L 48-76 34%     23 - 11 -12.3 -7.2 -9.7
Projected Record 23.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 93.7% 93.7% 9.5 0.1 1.9 14.3 27.2 34.9 15.1 0.3 6.3 93.7%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 93.7% 0.0% 93.7% 9.5 0.1 1.9 14.3 27.2 34.9 15.1 0.3 6.3 93.7%