Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.4#21
Expected Predictive Rating+14.2#32
Pace58.0#343
Improvement-0.6#202

Offense
Total Offense+12.3#7
First Shot+13.1#2
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#233
Layup/Dunks+1.3#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#90
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.9#9
Freethrows+1.4#84
Improvement+3.0#38

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#69
First Shot+3.2#74
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#84
Layups/Dunks+4.4#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-8.5#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#31
Freethrows+3.7#13
Improvement-3.6#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 41.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round67.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen29.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.0% n/a n/a
Final Four5.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 336   Howard W 76-58 99%     1 - 0 +1.1 +7.8 -4.3
  Nov 13, 2016 205   IUPUI W 77-65 97%     2 - 0 +6.6 +3.5 +3.8
  Nov 17, 2016 28   Marquette W 79-61 62%     3 - 0 +31.3 +4.5 +26.3
  Nov 18, 2016 13   SMU W 76-54 45%     4 - 0 +39.7 +23.8 +20.0
  Nov 23, 2016 33   @ South Carolina L 46-61 56%     4 - 1 +0.0 -8.0 +5.9
  Nov 26, 2016 216   Mount St. Mary's W 64-47 97%     5 - 1 +10.9 +0.9 +12.9
  Nov 30, 2016 36   Virginia Tech L 70-73 75%     5 - 2 +6.2 +5.4 +0.5
  Dec 03, 2016 252   Kennesaw St. W 82-55 98%     6 - 2 +19.1 +18.2 +5.6
  Dec 06, 2016 63   Texas W 53-50 83%     7 - 2 +9.0 -6.1 +15.5
  Dec 10, 2016 12   @ UCLA L 84-102 35%     7 - 3 +2.3 +28.1 -28.1
  Dec 13, 2016 314   Central Arkansas W 97-53 99%     8 - 3 +31.2 +19.2 +14.7
  Dec 17, 2016 325   Maryland Eastern Shore W 98-49 99%     9 - 3 +35.5 +25.6 +13.6
  Dec 22, 2016 106   Furman W 68-62 92%     10 - 3 +7.2 +7.9 +0.4
  Jan 01, 2017 65   @ Iowa L 83-86 OT 70%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +8.0 +14.1 -6.1
  Jan 04, 2017 79   Penn St. W 72-69 88%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +6.8 +12.3 -5.2
  Jan 07, 2017 43   Maryland L 70-77 76%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +1.8 +9.6 -8.6
  Jan 11, 2017 64   @ Illinois L 69-85 70%     11 - 6 1 - 3 -5.0 +16.6 -24.6
  Jan 14, 2017 99   Nebraska W 91-85 91%     12 - 6 2 - 3 +7.9 +21.9 -14.0
  Jan 17, 2017 23   @ Wisconsin L 64-68 43%     12 - 7 2 - 4 +14.3 +11.9 +1.8
  Jan 21, 2017 64   Illinois W 66-57 84%     13 - 7 3 - 4 +15.0 +5.9 +10.2
  Jan 26, 2017 38   Indiana W 90-60 76%     14 - 7 4 - 4 +39.1 +38.7 +7.1
  Jan 29, 2017 44   @ Michigan St. L 62-70 60%     14 - 8 4 - 5 +5.9 +5.9 -1.3
  Feb 04, 2017 71   Ohio St. L 66-70 85%     14 - 9 4 - 6 +1.3 +2.4 -1.7
  Feb 07, 2017 44   Michigan St. W 86-57 77%     15 - 9 5 - 6 +37.8 +26.9 +14.0
  Feb 12, 2017 38   @ Indiana W 75-63 59%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +26.2 +14.9 +12.7
  Feb 16, 2017 23   Wisconsin W 64-58 62%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +19.2 +8.6 +11.4
  Feb 19, 2017 32   @ Minnesota L 78-83 OT 55%     17 - 10 7 - 7 +10.2 +16.0 -5.8
  Feb 22, 2017 116   @ Rutgers W 68-64 85%     18 - 10 8 - 7 +9.3 +10.4 -0.5
  Feb 25, 2017 16   Purdue W 82-70 55%     19 - 10 9 - 7 +27.1 +24.4 +3.7
  Mar 01, 2017 40   @ Northwestern L 65-67 59%     19 - 11 9 - 8 +12.0 +12.6 -0.9
  Mar 05, 2017 99   @ Nebraska W 93-57 81%     20 - 11 10 - 8 +43.0 +36.2 +11.0
  Mar 09, 2017 64   Illinois W 75-55 77%     21 - 11 +28.5 +19.8 +11.8
  Mar 10, 2017 16   Purdue W 74-70 OT 45%     22 - 11 +21.6 +9.7 +11.9
  Mar 11, 2017 32   Minnesota W 84-77 64%     23 - 11 +19.6 +22.2 -2.4
  Mar 12, 2017 23   Wisconsin W 71-56 53%     24 - 11 +30.7 +21.6 +12.0
Projected Record 24.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.6 0.0 0.1 4.3 36.6 52.1 6.7 0.2
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.6 0.0 0.1 4.3 36.6 52.1 6.7 0.2