Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue
Big Ten
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.6#16
Expected Predictive Rating+16.7#20
Pace70.9#96
Improvement-1.1#231

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#28
First Shot+7.0#23
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#76
Layup/Dunks-0.2#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#52
Freethrows+2.1#50
Improvement+0.0#188

Defense
Total Defense+9.2#11
First Shot+7.4#15
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#18
Layups/Dunks+0.5#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#30
Freethrows+5.1#2
Improvement-1.1#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 28.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 98.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round79.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen44.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight20.0% n/a n/a
Final Four9.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.2% n/a n/a
National Champion1.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 319   McNeese St. W 109-65 99%     1 - 0 +30.9 +18.6 +7.6
  Nov 14, 2016 2   Villanova L 76-79 42%     1 - 1 +16.6 +10.6 +6.1
  Nov 18, 2016 128   Georgia St. W 64-56 95%     2 - 1 +7.4 -4.4 +12.3
  Nov 22, 2016 121   Utah St. W 85-64 91%     3 - 1 +23.4 +14.1 +9.6
  Nov 23, 2016 78   Auburn W 96-71 85%     4 - 1 +31.6 +19.3 +11.1
  Nov 26, 2016 294   NJIT W 79-68 99%     5 - 1 +0.0 -2.8 +2.3
  Nov 30, 2016 7   @ Louisville L 64-71 34%     5 - 2 +14.8 +3.9 +10.7
  Dec 03, 2016 203   Morehead St. W 90-56 97%     6 - 2 +29.1 +14.0 +15.5
  Dec 06, 2016 114   Arizona St. W 97-64 91%     7 - 2 +36.1 +19.8 +15.5
  Dec 10, 2016 245   Cleveland St. W 77-53 98%     8 - 2 +16.4 +3.7 +12.6
  Dec 17, 2016 25   Notre Dame W 86-81 58%     9 - 2 +20.5 +16.7 +3.6
  Dec 19, 2016 296   Western Illinois W 82-50 99%     10 - 2 +20.8 +8.5 +13.7
  Dec 21, 2016 293   Norfolk St. W 91-45 99%     11 - 2 +35.1 +13.3 +20.6
  Dec 28, 2016 65   Iowa W 89-67 86%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +27.9 +5.5 +19.4
  Jan 01, 2017 32   Minnesota L 82-91 OT 76%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +1.1 +7.2 -5.1
  Jan 05, 2017 71   @ Ohio St. W 76-75 76%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +11.3 +6.4 +5.0
  Jan 08, 2017 23   Wisconsin W 66-55 67%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +24.2 +6.8 +18.2
  Jan 12, 2017 65   @ Iowa L 78-83 74%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +6.0 +12.9 -7.1
  Jan 17, 2017 64   Illinois W 91-68 86%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +29.0 +25.7 +3.9
  Jan 21, 2017 79   Penn St. W 77-52 90%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +28.8 +11.4 +18.1
  Jan 24, 2017 44   @ Michigan St. W 84-73 64%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +24.9 +24.9 +0.9
  Jan 29, 2017 99   @ Nebraska L 80-83 84%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +4.0 +13.3 -9.4
  Feb 01, 2017 40   Northwestern W 80-59 80%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +29.9 +19.3 +12.3
  Feb 04, 2017 43   @ Maryland W 73-72 64%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +14.9 +3.6 +11.3
  Feb 09, 2017 38   @ Indiana W 69-64 63%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +19.2 +5.0 +14.5
  Feb 14, 2017 116   Rutgers W 74-55 94%     21 - 5 10 - 3 +19.2 +6.7 +13.0
  Feb 18, 2017 44   Michigan St. W 80-63 80%     22 - 5 11 - 3 +25.8 +11.8 +14.0
  Feb 21, 2017 79   @ Penn St. W 74-70 OT 80%     23 - 5 12 - 3 +12.9 +2.7 +9.8
  Feb 25, 2017 21   @ Michigan L 70-82 45%     23 - 6 12 - 4 +6.9 +8.8 -2.9
  Feb 28, 2017 38   Indiana W 86-75 79%     24 - 6 13 - 4 +20.1 +16.8 +3.6
  Mar 05, 2017 40   @ Northwestern W 69-65 64%     25 - 6 14 - 4 +18.0 +11.9 +6.5
  Mar 10, 2017 21   Michigan L 70-74 OT 55%     25 - 7 +12.4 +0.6 +11.8
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.9 0.2 5.6 22.9 45.5 23.8 1.9 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.9 0.2 5.6 22.9 45.5 23.8 1.9 0.0 100.0%