Pre-tourney Rankings
UNLV
Mountain West
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#231
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#221
Pace69.2#130
Improvement-3.4#311

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#285
First Shot-4.5#292
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#177
Layup/Dunks-2.8#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#279
Freethrows+1.4#86
Improvement-2.5#301

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#176
First Shot-0.3#171
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#143
Layups/Dunks-2.1#253
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#267
Freethrows+3.9#11
Improvement-0.8#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 241   South Alabama L 68-76 61%     0 - 1 -15.4 -9.2 -5.9
  Nov 16, 2016 307   UC Riverside W 74-62 77%     1 - 1 -0.1 +0.1 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2016 256   Cal St. Fullerton W 77-68 63%     2 - 1 +1.0 +2.4 -1.5
  Nov 22, 2016 323   Northern Arizona W 110-71 80%     3 - 1 +25.7 +19.0 +2.0
  Nov 25, 2016 37   TCU L 59-63 11%     3 - 2 +5.1 -9.6 +14.7
  Nov 26, 2016 229   Western Kentucky W 71-61 59%     4 - 2 +3.2 +0.7 +3.5
  Nov 30, 2016 334   @ Southern Utah W 89-81 73%     5 - 2 -2.8 +6.8 -9.6
  Dec 03, 2016 114   @ Arizona St. L 73-97 17%     5 - 3 -18.4 -3.1 -14.5
  Dec 10, 2016 10   Duke L 45-94 3%     5 - 4 -30.6 -22.4 -7.5
  Dec 14, 2016 309   Incarnate Word W 92-64 77%     6 - 4 +15.6 +6.4 +8.0
  Dec 17, 2016 14   Oregon L 63-83 3%     6 - 5 -2.3 -2.0 -0.2
  Dec 19, 2016 144   Southern Illinois W 68-61 38%     7 - 5 +5.6 -0.9 +7.0
  Dec 22, 2016 6   Kansas L 53-71 3%     7 - 6 -1.1 -11.2 +9.3
  Dec 28, 2016 82   @ Colorado St. L 77-91 12%     7 - 7 0 - 1 -5.4 +5.9 -10.7
  Dec 31, 2016 140   Wyoming W 81-75 38%     8 - 7 1 - 1 +4.8 -0.4 +4.5
  Jan 04, 2017 96   Boise St. L 59-77 26%     8 - 8 1 - 2 -15.8 -12.0 -4.5
  Jan 07, 2017 121   @ Utah St. L 63-79 19%     8 - 9 1 - 3 -11.1 -8.2 -2.8
  Jan 10, 2017 118   @ New Mexico W 71-66 18%     9 - 9 2 - 3 +10.2 +2.0 +8.2
  Jan 17, 2017 80   San Diego St. L 51-64 22%     9 - 10 2 - 4 -9.3 -8.0 -3.4
  Jan 21, 2017 215   Air Force W 87-85 2OT 56%     10 - 10 3 - 4 -4.0 -1.2 -3.1
  Jan 25, 2017 140   @ Wyoming L 65-66 21%     10 - 11 3 - 5 +2.9 +0.6 +2.2
  Jan 28, 2017 206   @ San Jose St. L 72-76 34%     10 - 12 3 - 6 -4.3 -2.1 -2.1
  Feb 01, 2017 118   New Mexico L 77-80 33%     10 - 13 3 - 7 -2.9 +6.2 -9.2
  Feb 04, 2017 82   Colorado St. L 49-69 22%     10 - 14 3 - 8 -16.5 -15.9 -3.0
  Feb 08, 2017 54   @ Nevada L 77-104 7%     10 - 15 3 - 9 -14.7 +3.2 -16.2
  Feb 11, 2017 206   San Jose St. L 74-76 54%     10 - 16 3 - 10 -7.4 +4.2 -11.7
  Feb 19, 2017 80   @ San Diego St. L 64-77 11%     10 - 17 3 - 11 -4.2 +5.3 -10.8
  Feb 22, 2017 215   @ Air Force L 58-81 37%     10 - 18 3 - 12 -24.0 -14.6 -10.4
  Feb 25, 2017 54   Nevada L 58-94 14%     10 - 19 3 - 13 -28.8 -10.6 -19.9
  Mar 01, 2017 121   Utah St. W 66-59 34%     11 - 19 4 - 13 +6.8 -3.8 +11.1
  Mar 04, 2017 98   @ Fresno St. L 59-72 14%     11 - 20 4 - 14 -5.9 -10.2 +4.4
  Mar 08, 2017 80   San Diego St. L 52-62 OT 22%     11 - 21 -6.3 -15.2 +8.9
Projected Record 11.0 - 21.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%